In a middleweight bout on the main card, Kevin Holland meets Kyle Daukaus at UFC Fight Night 193 – also known as UFC Vegas 38 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 193: Holland vs. Daukaus odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m. ET.
Holland holds a five-inch reach advantage over his southpaw counterpart. He also holds a 3.74-to-3.23 significant strikes landed per minute advantage.
He has lost back-to-back unanimous-decisions to Derek Brunson and Marvin Vettori, both in main event fights. Three of his last five fights have gone the distance.
Daukaus will be able to find an advantage if he can get this fight to the canvas. He has a 1.75 to 0.92 takedown advantage, and a 1.25 to 0.55 submission average advantage.
He is coming off a unanimous-decision loss to Phil Hawes and is 1-2 since making his UFC debut June 27, 2020. All three of his fights with the company have ended up needing the help of the judges to decide a winner.
UFC Fight Night 193 Holland vs. Daukaus: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Holland -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Daukaus +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -165 | Under +120)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -145 | No +105)
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UFC Fight Night 193 Holland vs. Daukaus: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Holland (21-7-0) | Daukaus (10-2-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
HOLLAND (-180) is right at my personal limit for a money line play, but he is a strong play. He holds the reach advantage, and as long as he can keep this fight upright he is going to get the job done.
Daukaus is a beast on the mat, although Holland does have a pair of submission wins at the UFC level that show he can get it done on the canvas if push comes to shove.
Over/Under (O/U)
Playing YES (-145): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the way to go. Three of Holland’s last five fights have gone the distance, while Daukaus hasn’t had a fight finish inside the distance since arriving at the UFC level.
As such, I like HOLLAND ON POINTS (+195) for the method of victory, giving you a good chance to nearly double up if he can win by wowing the judges.
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