Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (36-36) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (36-37) on Wednesday at Target Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Timberwolves odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks prevailed as 13.5-point home favorites in a 129-107 win over the Detroit Pistons Tuesday. Atlanta is only 1 game ahead of the Toronto Raptors for the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference.

The Timberwolves edged out the New York Knicks 140-134 Monday to cover as 8-point road underdogs. Minnesota is only half a game behind the Dallas Mavericks for the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference.

The Timberwolves won 136-115 and covered as 4.5-point road underdogs and the Over (241) cashed when these teams first met on March 13.

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Hawks at Timberwolves odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Timberwolves -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +4.5 (-112) | Timberwolves -4.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 241.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Timberwolves key injuries

Hawks

  • Not yet submitted

Timberwolves

  • G Anthony Edwards (ankle) questionable
  • G Jaylen Nowell (knee) questionable
  • F Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 122, Hawks 114

Moneyline

AVOID.

Even though the Timberwolves (-175) are expected to secure the win at home, taking them straight up at the current odds isn’t advised as they should win by margin and provide better value on the spread.

Against the spread

TIMBERWOLVES -4.5 (-108) is the pick in this matchup assuming that one of either or both Edwards or Towns returns Wednesday. The Hawks are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back and G Dejounte Murray could be sidelined again due to an illness.

Atlanta is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games after scoring 125 or more points in its previous game and 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games playing on 0 days of rest.

Over/Under

UNDER 241.5 (-110) is how I’d wager on the total despite these teams being fast-paced squads. Minnesota is 13th in defensive rating and I’m expecting the Timberwolves to be more competitive with them as they desperately need every win they can get ahead of the playoffs.

The Hawks are 12-12 to the Under in their 24 games as road underdogs this season and the Timberwolves are 11-11 to the Under in their 22 games as home favorites.

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Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (7-7) drop by the Target Center Friday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (3-10). Below, we analyze the Hawks-Timberwolves NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Hawks clawed back from a 17-point deficit to beat the Detroit Pistons 123-115 in overtime and cover as 4.5-point favorites at home. Atlanta got amazing performances out of its frontcourt—PF John Collins put up 31 points and 11 rebounds and C Clint Capela dominated the interior with 27 points and 26 rebounds—while All-Star PG Trae Young dropped 38 points with 11 assists. Over their past five games, the Hawks are 3-2 straight-up and against the spread, including a 108-97 win over the Timberwolves in Atlanta  Jan. 18.

Minnesota has been terrible all season, losing three straight and 10 of its last 11 games. The Timberwolves have the second-lowest net rating in the NBA and are in the bottom-10th in effective field goal percentage, defensive rebounding percentage and assist to turnover ratio.

Hawks at Timberwolves: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Timberwolves +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Hawks -6.5 (-105) | Timberwolves +6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Hawks at Timberwolves: Key Injuries

Hawks

  • SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) questionable
  • SF Cam Reddish (knee) questionable
  • SF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) doubtful
  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out

Timberwolves

  • SG Josh Okogie (hamstring) probable
  • PG Ricky Rubio (COVID-19) out
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (COVID-19) out

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Hawks at Timberwolves: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Hawks 117, Timberwolves 113

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight lean to the Timberwolves (+185) since I like Minnesota to cover. Atlanta has a lot more talent and if they can shoot well—keep in mind the Timberwolves are one of the worst defensive teams in the league—this game could get out of hand.

Against the spread (ATS)

While on one hand, you could argue that the first Hawks-Timberwolves meeting was way more lopsided than the final score indicates, the biggest factor in the rematch is the probable absence of SF De’Andre Hunter.

There’s a lot of intriguing pieces on the Hawks, and if they can work out the kinks in their offense, Atlanta should be a lock for at least the postseason play-in tournament for the Eastern Conference.

However, I am here to tell you that Hunter is Atlanta’s best player with the most upside. The NBA is run by wings, and his ability to shoot from deep, finish around the rim and defend positions 1-4 make Hunter special.

Hunter scored a team-high 25 points on 8-of-15 shooting in the first Hawks-Timberwolves game and was key in making Minnesota’s SG Malik Beasley and SF Josh Okogie essentially non-factors.

BetMGM also saw the box score from this game and brought the line down a half-point from that meeting not because the Timberwolves are at home, but because Hunter will probably not be available.

GIMME TIMBERWOLVES +6.5 (-115) for a half-unit (pending final injury report).

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE OVER 225.5 (-115) for 1 unit because BetMGM has overreacted too greatly to the first Hawks-Timberwolves result. In their first meeting this season, the Hawks-Timberwolves’ final score fell short of the 228.5-point projection by 23.5 points.

Bookmakers’ reacted by opening this total at 222 points, and the market has already steamed it up 3.5 points. Also, the previous five Hawks-Timberwolves meetings before the last went Over the total.

Finally, part of me thinks Atlanta’s ninth-best defensive rating is a bit of a mirage, and Hunter is the Hawks’ best on-the-ball defender. The OVER 225.5 (-115) is my favorite play here.

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