Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The San Antonio Spurs (13-13) welcome the Atlanta Hawks (14-13) to Frost Bank Center Thursday evening. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Hawks vs. Spurs odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Hawks won 2-0 last season

The Spurs had a 2-game winning streak snapped with a 106-92 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves Sunday, closing as a 4.5-point home underdog. They were led by C Victor Wembanyama, who scored a team-high 20 points. San Antonio has failed to cover in 6 straight games and is just 11-15 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Hawks lost to the Milwaukee Bucks 110-102 on a neutral court in the NBA Cup semifinals Saturday, closing as a 3.5-point underdog. G Trae Young scored a game-high 35 points. Prior to that defeat, Atlanta won 7 of its last 8 games and is 5-5 ATS over its previous 10. It is 11-16 ATS on the season.

Hawks at Spurs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Spurs -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +1.5 (-110) | Spurs -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Hawks at Spurs key injuries

Hawks

  • C Onyeka Okongwu (knee) out
  • G Trae Young (Achilles) probable

Spurs

  • F Keldon Johnson (calf) probable
  • G Tre Jones (shoulder) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Hawks at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 120, Spurs 116

Moneyline

PASS.

While the Hawks’ moneyline might seem like the easy play compared to their spread value, 2 of their last 7 games have ended within 3 points, so getting the small margin on the spread is preferred here.

Against the spread

BET HAWKS +1.5 (-115).

The Hawks have been the far better team over the last few weeks, and they have performed well on the road recently. In their last 4 road games, they have wins over the Cleveland Cavaliers, Charlotte Hornets, Milwaukee Bucks, and New York Knicks, going 3-1 ATS in those. They are 7-7 ATS on the season away from home.

On the other hand, the Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games and have lost 3 of their last 4 outright. San Antonio’s defense has been a major issue, allowing at least 116 points in 4 of its last 5 games.

Considering Young’s ability to score and the Spurs’ inability to defend, take Atlanta here and back HAWKS +1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 233.5 (-115).

The Spurs are 4-1 O/U in their last 5 games, mainly due to their struggling defense. However, they have scored at least 118 points in 3 of their last 5 games as well. San Antonio is 14-12 O/U.

The Hawks are 3-3 O/U in their last 6, scoring at least 119 points in 3 of those 6 games, and 17-10 O/U on the season. They rank third in pace with the Spurs 16th, so this should be a high-tempo game.

Take OVER 233.5 (-115).

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Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (35-35) battle the San Antonio Spurs (18-52) Sunday with tip from AT&T Center set for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Spurs odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks beat the Spurs at home 125-106 on Feb. 11 in their 1st meeting this season. Atlanta covered as a 13-point favorite and the Under 241.5 hit.

Atlanta beat Golden State 127-119 Friday, covering as a 3.5-point favorite while the Under 248 hit. The Hawks are 31-39 against the spread (ATS) this season. They are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games and 6-4 O/U.

San Antonio lost to Memphis 126-120 Friday, covering as an 8.5-point home underdog. It is 3-4 ATS in its last 7 games and 2-5 straight up in that span. The Spurs are 29-41 ATS on the season.

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Hawks at Spurs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks -380 (bet $380 to win $100) | Spurs +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -8.5 (-118) | Spurs +8.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 244.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Hawks at Spurs key injuries

Hawks

  • G Trae Young (knee) questionable

Spurs

  • F Doug McDermott (hip) questionable
  • F Jeremy Sochan (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 130, Spurs 122

Moneyline

AVOID.

Betting on the road favorite at -380 doesn’t make much sense, but the Spurs are in tank mode as well. Both sides here are unplayable.

Against the spread

LEAN SPURS +8.5 (-102).

This is not a position the Hawks have performed well in. They are just 4-8 ATS as a road favorite. While San Antonio isn’t a top-performing side at home, it is 18-17 ATS, so it does cover more than it doesn’t at the AT&T Center.

The Spurs are also 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games and 5-4 in the last 9. They have slightly outperformed expectations lately. With that in mind, take the SPURS +8.5 (-102) for a small unit.

Over/Under

BET OVER 244.5 (-115).

These teams play at an ultra-fast pace and are both near full strength, so the offensive firepower should be on display. The Spurs rank 4th in pace, and the Hawks sit 8th.

The Spurs have gone Over in 6 of their last 7. Their defense ranks last in opponents’ points per game (122.1), opponents’ field goal percentage (50.5%) and opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (39.3%). They just do not defend at a high level.

The Hawks have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 and have scored at least 125 in 2 of their last 3. Atlanta ranks 5th in points per game (117.4) as well and sits 23rd in opponents’ points per game (117.5).

Neither team defends and both like to score. Back the OVER 244.5 (-115) despite the sky-high total.

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Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (23-24) visit the San Antonio Spurs (24-21) Thursday for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off at AT&T Center. Below, we analyze the Hawks-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Atlanta has lost back-to-back games and four of five contests, with the latest being a 117-110 loss to the Phoenix Suns as 5.5-point road underdogs. This is Atlanta’s seventh game of an eight-game Western Conference road swing. It’s just 2-4 straight up and against the spread.

San Antonio just split a two-game road miniseries with the Sacramento Kings by whooping up on Sac-Town 120-106 Wednesday. Over the past two weeks, the Spurs are 2-5 SU and ATS with the losses aside from the Kings all being against winning teams.

The Spurs beat the Hawks handily125-114 in their first meeting this season and easily covered the spread as 2.5-point road underdogs.

Hawks at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Spurs -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Hawks +1 (-115) | Spurs -1 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Hawks at Spurs: Key injuries

Hawks

  • SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) questionable
  • PF John Collins (ankle) out
  • SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out

Spurs

  • SG Lonnie Walker IV (wrist) questionable

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Hawks at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 114, Hawks 109

Money line (ML)

The SPURS (-110) are the play here because they are healthier and match up well with the Hawks.

Atlanta struggles against good defenses and could be without their third- and fourth-highest on-off court net rating players in Collins and Hunter.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Hawks are 5-9 straight up with a minus-5.0 in net points per 100 possessions and the 18th-ranked ATS margin (minus-1.5) vs. top-10 defenses by points per 100 possessions.

Additionally, San Antonio is 11-4 overall vs. Eastern Conference teams with an average score of 112.9-107.0 and Atlanta is 10-12 overall against the Western Conference.

BET SPURS (-110) for 1.25 units.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because San Antonio’s money line is only 5 cents on the dollar more expensive than the spread because this would be considered a “very good spot” for the Spurs.

For example, San Antonio has the highest cover rate and ATS margin against non-conference opponents, the Spurs are 6-2 ATS when laying 1-2.5 points and have covered the spread in 75% of their games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to OVER 220.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit only because market reports indicate a ton of action is on the Over yet the House is moving the total down which suggests they want more Over money.

However, the Hawks have played to the Over in four of their past five games, the Spurs went Over in three of their last five and the assigned officiating crew has a combined 64-35 O/U record this season.

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