Hawks Nuggets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Hawks (36-41) take on the Denver Nuggets (53-24) Saturday. Tip-off from Ball Arena is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Denver leads 1-0 with a 129-122 road win Dec. 11

Atlanta lost 109-95 vs. the Dallas Mavericks Thursday while failing to cover as an 11.5-point road underdog. The Hawks committed 21 turnovers while also having no scorer eclipse the 15-point mark. The Hawks had won back-to-back games before Thursday’s loss.

Denver suffered a 102-100 loss at the hands of the LA Clippers Thursday while failing to cover as a 3.5-point road favorite. C Nikola Jokic continued his MVP campaign with a 36-point, 17-rebound, 10-assist triple double, but he just missed the game-winning 3 at the buzzer. Thursday’s loss ended a streak of back-to-back wins for the Nuggets.

Hawks at Nuggets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hawks +530 (bet $100 to win $530) | Nuggets -720 (bet $720 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +12 (-110) | Nuggets -12 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Nuggets key injuries

Hawks

F Saddiq Bey (knee) out
C Onyeka Okongwu (toe) out
G Trae Young (finger) out

Nuggets

F Aaron Gordon (foot) probable
C Nikola Jokic (hip) probable
G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Hawks at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 118, Hawks 104

Moneyline

PASS.

I expect the Nuggets to pick up the win, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as -720 favorites. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN NUGGETS -12 (-110).

Denver has covered the spread in back-to-back matchups vs. Atlanta and is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Nuggets are also 3-0 ATS in their last 3 vs. the Hawks in Denver. The Nuggets have covered in each of their last 3 matchups with an Eastern Conference opponent.

This is a lean because the Nuggets have been bad ATS lately and subpar on the season.

Over/Under

BET OVER 221.5 (–110).

The Over has hit in each of the last 4 Atlanta-Denver matchups and is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. The Over has also hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these squads in Denver. For Atlanta, the Over is 8-2 in its last 10 overall and 42-35 on the season.

Be aware that the Under has hit in 4 of Denver’s last 5 overall.

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Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (11-12) host the Atlanta Hawks (12-12) Monday at Target Center for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Atlanta has lost three of its last four games (1-3 ATS), all at home, to the New York Knicks, Philadelphia 76ers and Charlotte Hornets. The Hawks are 10-14 ATS and 12-12 O/U with the ninth-best net rating.

Minnesota is on a two-game losing skid, both on the road, with losses coming against the Washington Wizards and Brooklyn Nets. The T-Wolves are 11-12 ATS and 9-14 O/U with the 12th-best net rating.

The Hawks have beaten the T-Wolves in five of their last six meetings (5-1 ATS) including both regular-season games last season. The Over cashed in four of those six contests.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 6 breakdown

Hawks at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Timberwolves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +2.5 (-108) | Timberwolves +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Timberwolves key injuries

Hawks (not officially submitted)

SF Cam Reddish (illness) questionable
SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) out
SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) out

Timberwolves

PG Patrick Beverley (groin) questionable
PG D’Angelo Russell (ankle) questionable
C Karl-Anthony Towns (back) questionable
SF Jaden McDaniels (illness) probable

Hawks at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 112, Hawks 107

Money line

GIMME the TIMBERWOLVES (-140) because the T-Wolves currently have three starters listed as “questionable” on the injury report. I’d rather be stuck with Minnesota’s money line than need it to win by at least 3 points. However, there are several reasons to like the T-Wolves in this spot.

Atlanta struggles against good defenses and Minnesota ranks fifth in defensive efficiency according to CleaningTheGlass.com.The Hawks are 2-6 overall with a minus-5.8 efficiency differential and minus-3.3 ATS margin versus top-10 defenses.

The T-Wolves also perform better at home and the Hawks worse on the road. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS at home against teams with a winning record and is 10th in efficiency differential and seventh in ATS margin at home this season per CleaningTheGlass.com.

Furthermore, the Hawks are 4-8 overall on the road with the 19th-best efficiency differential and 26th-best ATS margin.

This is a bad spot for Atlanta. The Hawks are 6-12 overall when playing with a rest disadvantage, and 7-13 overall on the second of a back-to-back, since the start of last season.

Against the spread

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Timberwolves -2.5 (-112) because they should cover the spread if they win outright. However, as previously mentioned, the money line holds more value for me because of Minnesota’s injury report.

For what it’s worth, there’s “reverse line movement” in Minnesota’s direction despite the lengthy injury report. The T-Wolves opened as 2-point favorites but are getting steamed up despite the unknown game statuses of several starters.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 222.5 (-110) because this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game with the presumed sharp side of the market backing the Under whereas more bets are placed on the Over according to Pregame.com. Typically, in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the cash when it’s opposite the public.

However, Minnesota’s money line is by far my favorite wager in this contest and if you do bet the Under, I’d go light.

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Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (4-8) head to “Mile High City” Friday to play the Denver Nuggets (7-4) at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

This is the final of Atlanta’s four-game Western Conference road swing, but Atlanta’s losing skid started prior to the road trip as the Hawks have lost five straight and seven of their last eight games. The Hawks are 3-9 ATS and 6-6 O/U with the 23rd-best net rating (minus-4.3).

A Nikola Jokic-less Nuggets squad upset the Indiana Pacers 101-98 as 3.5-point home underdogs Wednesday. Jokic was serving a one-game suspension after an in-game altercation with Miami Heat forward Markieff Morris Monday.

The Nuggets have won three consecutive games and are 5-6 ATS and 2-9 O/U with the eighth-best net rating (plus-3.2).

These teams split last year’s season series 1-1 with the home team winning and covering both meetings. The last four Hawks-Nuggets games have gone Over the total.

Hawks at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Nuggets -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +4.5 (+102) | Nuggets -4.5 (-122)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Nuggets key injuries

Hawks

SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (ankle) questionable
SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) questionable

Nuggets

PF Michael Porter Jr. (back) out
PG Jamal Murray (knee) out

Hawks at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 106, Nuggets 102

Money line

PASS on the Hawks (+160) even though I’m betting Atlanta plus the points and generally will sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover. However, I’d need the Hawks’ money line to be north of +175 to take a shot on the road ‘dog.

Against the spread

Atlanta runs plays through the pick-and-roll ball handler at the highest frequency in the league. This happens to be an area of weakness for Denver’s defense who has the fifth-worst defensive effective field goal shooting and 10th-worst points per possession allowed.

The Hawks’ defense has gotten lit up thus far, but Atlanta has played the third-toughest strength of schedule to this point and the Nuggets rank 24th in offensive efficiency.

Atlanta big Clint Capela did a good job defending Jokic in the two Hawks-Nuggets games last year. Jokic only averaged 15.5 points per game (PPG) on 44.4% shooting in those meetings — well below his 26.4 PPG and 56.6% shooting averages last year.

I could see the House rooting for Atlanta to cover since the Hawks have been a major disappointment so far and Denver won its last game even without the reigning MVP.

However, a contrarian mindset can be profitable in sports betting so the play is the HAWKS +4.5 (+102) since the public will most likely be on the Nuggets.

Over/Under

Injuries have hit Denver’s offense hard but the Nuggets have made up for it with improved defense. Denver has the second-best defensive rating in the Association.

The NBA’s new policy to officiate unnatural offensive moves out of the game has lowered free-throw rates across the league. This is why Atlanta’s offense and its leading scorer G Trae Young have struggled to be efficient this season.

Atlanta’s lower free-throw rate plus Denver’s reduced offensive efficiency equals a full-unit wager on the UNDER 215.5 (-110).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (23-22) drop by the Ball Arena for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off with the Denver Nuggets (27-18). Below, we analyze the Hawks-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Atlanta is 2-2 overall and against the spread (ATS) through the first four games of its eight-game Western Conference road trip including a 124-108 whooping of a Stephen Curry-less Golden State Warriors Friday.

The Hawks have been one of the hotter teams in the league since making former assistant Nate McMillan interim head coach March 2. Over that stretch, Atlanta is 9-2 overall and 7-3-1 ATS.

The Nuggets also have split their previous four games straight-up and ATS entering Sunday and are 6-3 overall (4-5 ATS) since the All-Star break.

Atlanta beat Denver 123-115 as 2.5-point home underdogs Feb. 21, and the Hawks have covered three of four and eight of 10 meetings with the Nuggets.

Hawks at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Hawks +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nuggets -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Hawks +4 (-110) | Nuggets -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 222.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Hawks at Nuggets: Key injuries

Hawks

SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) questionable
SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out
SG Lou Williams (acquisition) out

Nuggets

PF Gary Clark (acquisition) probable
C JaVale McGee (acquisition) probable
PF Aaron Gordon (acquisition) questionable
SG Monte Morris (quadriceps) out

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Hawks at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Hawks 116, Nuggets 111

Money line (ML)

Slight LEAN toward HAWKS (+145) for a one-fifth unit, if at all, because I like Atlanta to cover the spread here.

Hawks big Clint Capela is very familiar with Nuggets big Nikola Jokic from his days with the Houston Rockets, and Capela has matched Jokic’s production.

In their 16 head-to-head meetings, Capela is averaging 14.9 points and 10.9 rebounds per game while Jokic is putting up 16.7 points per game on 48.9% shooting with 9.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game.

Jokic is an MVP frontrunner this season, and Capela held him to 15 points on 33.3% shooting in the first Hawks-Nuggets meeting Feb. 21.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely bet the HAWKS +4 (-110) heavier than or instead of the spread.

New head coach McMillan’s scheme seems to be working with this young Atlanta team, and the Hawks play well on the road against quality opponents (5-2 ATS in away games against above-.500 teams).

Also, we have a fade the market play as around 80% of the money wagered is on the Nuggets, but the Hawks have been brought down from getting 4.5 points on the opener, according to Pregame.com.

BET HAWKS +4 (-110)

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER 222.5 (-110) for the same reason I’m betting Atlanta to cover: The market is hammering the Under here.

The Hawks-Nuggets opened up at 228.5 and has been brought down a touchdown by overnight action. While I agree the opening total was too high, my instinct is to fade a market this one-sided.

BET OVER 222.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

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