Atlanta Hawks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (22-41) welcome the Atlanta Hawks (28-34) to FedExForum Friday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Grizzlies odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Grizzlies lead 1-0

The Grizzlies won at the Philadelphia 76ers 115-109 Wednesday, covering as a 4-point underdog. Memphis has won 2 in a row after snapping a 5-game losing streak. Memphis has covered 7 of its last 10 games and is 31-32 against the spread (ATS) on the season. It has failed to cover 3 straight at home.

The Hawks beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 112-101 Wednesday, covering as a 3-point home favorite. It was the Hawks’ 2nd win and cover in a row, but they are 2-2 straight up and ATS in the last 4. They are 7-5 ATS in the last 12, but are a poor 21-41 ATS on the season. G Trae Young leads Atlanta with 26.4 points per game.

Hawks at Grizzlies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:56 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks -144 (bet $144 to win $100) | Grizzlies +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Against the spread: Hawks +3 (-108) | Grizzlies +3 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 215 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Grizzlies key injuries

Hawks

  • F Jalen Johnson (ankle) out
  • C Onyeka Okongwu (toe) out
  • G Trae Young (finger) out

Grizzlies

  • G Desmond Bane (ankle) out
  • F Brandon Clark (Achilles) out
  • F GG Jackson (knee) questionable
  • G Luke Kennard (knee) doubtful
  • G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
  • G Marcus Smart (finger) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Hawks at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 111, Hawks 107

Moneyline

LEAN GRIZZLIES (+122).

Memphis F Jaren Jackson Jr. returned after missing 3 games with an injured quad and finished with 30 points and 11 rebounds in Wednesday’s win vs. the 76ers. It was the Grizzlies’ 2nd straight road victory. They upset the Brooklyn Nets 106-102 Monday as 10-point underdogs. Memphis has won 4 of its last 9 as well. While that doesn’t seem great, the Griz are just 22-41 on the season.

The Hawks have lost 2 of their last 4 and 5 of their last 9. In those 9, they are 1-3 on the road and 0-3 on the road against Eastern Conference teams that aren’t in playoff position.

Atlanta’s struggles should continue, so BACK MEMPHIS (+122).

Against the spread

PASS.

The home side moneyline is the better team-specific play here. PASS on taking the spread … unless you really prefer the insurance of taking the points of Memphis +3 (-112).

Over/Under

BET OVER 215 (-110).

The Grizzlies have gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games and have allowed at least 107 points in 3 of those. While Jackson Jr. is a strong defender, he has been a great source of offense, averaging 22.6 points per game.

Atlanta may be without Young, but players like G Dejounte Murray should be able to pick up the slack and continue to push the pace. Atlanta is 33-29 O/U on the season.

Considering the trends for both teams, TAKE OVER 215 (-110).

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Atlanta Hawks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Hawks at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (14-13) and Memphis Grizzlies (17-9) meet Monday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks failed to cover the spread as 3.5-point home favorites in a 123-122 overtime win vs. the Chicago Bulls Sunday. F A.J. Griffin hit a turnaround jumper at the overtime buzzer as Atlanta snapped its 3-game losing streak.

The Hawks are 5-2 against the spread (ATS) vs. the Grizzlies in the last 7  meetings in Memphis.

The Grizzlies pushed as 11-point home favorites in a 114-103 win vs. the Detroit Pistons Friday. F Jaren Jackson Jr. scored a game-high 20 points as Memphis won its 5th consecutive game.

The Grizzlies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

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Hawks at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:09 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Grizzlies -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +8.5 (-120) | Grizzlies -8.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Grizzlies key injuries

Hawks

  • Not yet submitted

Grizzlies

  • Steven Adams (ankle) questionable
  • Desmond Bane (toe) out
  • Ja Morant (thigh) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 115, Hawks 105

Moneyline

PASS.

The Grizzlies (-340) should win, but there is no need to risk more than 3 times your potential profit on the ML. Bet the spread or the total instead.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -8.5 (+100).

The Hawks have not submitted their injury report yet and there is no guarantee whether or not G Ja Morant will play. However, this is a play against Atlanta coming off of an emotional, unlikely overtime win. I expect the Hawks to let down in Memphis after Griffin’s buzzer-beater Sunday.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 227.5 (-110).

The Under is 3-0 in the Grizzlies’ last 3 home games and 5-1 in the Hawks’ last 6 games vs. teams with a winning record. I expect a slower-paced, low-scoring game Monday, especially if more players get ruled out closer to tip-off.

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Atlanta Hawks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (10-9) drop by FedExForum to play the Memphis Grizzlies (9-9) Friday at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Atlanta enters on a six-game win streak (5-1 ATS) with the latest being a 124-106 road beatdown of the San Antonio Spurs Wednesday. Atlanta has the league’s highest offensive efficiency and effective field goal shooting over that span. The Hawks are 8-11 ATS and 9-10 O/U with the 10th-best net rating (plus-1.6).

Memphis has split its previous six games (3-3 ATS) but got drilled 126-113 at home by the Toronto Raptors Wednesday.

The Grizzlies have the worst defensive efficiency and second-worst defensive rebounding rate over that six-game span. Memphis is 10-8 ATS and 10-8 O/U with the 25th-ranked net rating (minus-5.5).

These teams split last year’s season series 1-1 with the road team winning and covering each contest and both sides of the total cashed in those meetings.

Hawks at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Grizzlies -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +1.5 (-115) | Grizzlies +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hawks at Grizzlies key injuries

Hawks

  • PG Trae Young (ankle) probable
  • SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring) questionable
  • SF De’Andre Hunter (wrist) out

Grizzlies

  • SG De’Anthony Melton (groin) questionable

Hawks at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 118, Grizzlies 113

Money line

“LEAN” to the HAWKS (-105) because they have been playing elite basketball over the past couple of weeks and Atlanta’s pick-and-roll action should be very successful against Memphis (more on that below).

However, I cannot fully endorse an Atlanta wager at this time because of how poorly the Hawks have played on the road this season.

Atlanta is 2-8 in road games with minus-8.0 points per 100 possessions and a minus-6.7 spread differential (ranked 28th), according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Against the spread

PASS since the Hawks +1.5 (-115) doesn’t offer much insurance for our Atlanta money line bet. If the Hawks’ spread goes to 2.5 or higher then I’d “lean” towards taking the points with Atlanta.

Over/Under

BET the OVER 225.5 (-115) since it’s my favorite play in the Hawks-Grizzlies contest. Both offenses should get buckets in this matchup.

Atlanta runs the highest frequency of pick-and-roll action through the ball handler, and Memphis has the third-worst efficiency against pick-and-roll action through the ball handler and through the roll man.

The Grizzlies get out in transition at the third-highest rate in the Association and the Hawks’ transition defense only grades in the 17.2nd percentile of efficiency. Also, Memphis scores the most paint points per game and Atlanta ranks 23rd in paint points per game allowed.

The Grizzlies run a lot of offense off screens and the Hawks rank dead-last in defensive efficiency against offense off of screens.

I think the league-wide trend of Unders (cashing at a 59.5% clip) has lowered the Hawks-Grizzlies total despite that the matchup screams “Over”.

The Hawks-Grizzlies combined for 234 points and 244 points in their two meetings last season. The first contest went Under because the total was set at 238.5. The bottom line is this total should be around 230 so I’ll BET the OVER 225.5 (-115) since I’m figuring in roughly 4.5 points of value.

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Atlanta Hawks at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Atlanta Hawks at Memphis Grizzlies NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (1-0) clash with the Memphis Grizzlies (0-1) in a cross-conference matchup in the FedExForum for a 5 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Hawks-Grizzlies NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Hawks at Grizzlies: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:00 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Grizzlies -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Hawks +1.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 236.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Hawks at Grizzlies: Key Injuries

Hawks

  • SF Danilo Gallinari (foot) questionable
  • PG Kris Dunn (knee) out
  • C Onyeka Okongwu (toe) out
  • PG Rajon Rondo (personal) out
  • Clint Capela (Achilles) questionable

Grizzlies

  • PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
  • SF Justise Winslow (hip) out

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Hawks at Grizzlies: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 124, Hawks 114

Money line (ML)

The Hawks looked worthy of their preseason hype in their first game of the season when they crushed the Chicago Bulls 124-104 as 2-point road favorites. Trae Young torched the Bulls for a game-high 37 points on 10-for-12 from the field, and 5-for-6 in threes, with 6 rebounds and 7 assists.

Memphis lost its season-opener at home to the San Antonio Spurs 131-119 as 2-point favorites despite an amazing Ja Morant performance. The reigning NBA Rookie of the Year dropped 44 points on 18 of 27 shootings with 9 assists.

The Grizzlies won and covered in both games against the Hawks last season, which included 17- and 39-point beatdowns. Young struggled in both outings: He had under 20 points in each, shot below 30% from the field, including just 1-of-14 from three, and a combined 12 turnovers in both games.

Atlanta being without its two best defensive guards is going to be a problem vs. Morant who can get to the rim at will. Also, Grizzlies C Jonas Valančiūnas was a nightmare for the Hawks last season: Valančiūnas averaged 21 points, 16 rebounds with a 175 offensive efficiency rating and made 80% of his field goals. Furthermore, who knows how effective Atlanta’s new big, Clint Capela, who is battling an Achilles’ injury, can be, but he will most likely suit up.

GIMME GRIZZLIES (-120) for 1.5 units.

Against the spread (ATS)

PASS ON THE SPREAD. I’d rather pay the extra 10 cents on the dollar than lay 1.5 points with the Grizzlies.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both Hawks-Grizzlies games last season went Under the total, and that mostly falls on an Atlanta team that only averaged 94.5 points in those games. The Hawks had the fourth-highest percentage of Overs last season and had a leisurely 124 in their first game.

Atlanta will almost definitely play with more crispness on offense in this game against a Memphis team that got rolled by the Spurs Wednesday and was 21st in opponent’s points per game last year.

I LEAN” OVER 236.5 (-115) for a quarter-unit.

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