The Memphis Grizzlies (32-35) face the New Orleans Pelicans (28-38) Monday at 6:30 p.m. ET in the Orlando bubble. We analyze the Nuggets-Thunder NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
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Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Grizzlies 127, Pelicans 119
Moneyline (ML)
The Grizzlies (+150) lost a heartbreaker to the San Antonio Spurs, 108-106, Sunday. Memphis lost their first two games of the restart but is still the 8-seed in the Western Conference.
One of the teams chasing them is these Pelicans (-182). New Orleans lost to the Utah Jazz and the Los Angeles Clippers in back-to-back games heading into this contest.
The losses were tragic in different ways. The Pelicans had a double-digit lead entering halftime and F Brandon Ingram missed a three at the end of regulation that would’ve won the game. Saturday, you could argue the Clippers took the Pelicans’ souls in the 23-point slaughter.
Each of Memphis’ losses came down to the wire and we are getting a great price in this game. Their implied win probability is 40% plus they split the season series and Memphis’ motivation is more actionable.
We know the Grizzlies have a lot to play for but we don’t know if the Pelicans do. I LOVE GRIZZLIES (+150). New to sports betting? A $50 bet on the Grizzlies (+150) earns a profit of $75 if Memphis upsets New Orleans.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Both are solid against the spread teams. The Pelicans are 17-12 ATS and the Grizzlies are 20-14 ATS against teams below .500. Memphis is 10-5 ATS when getting 1-4.5 points.
Since we are on the Memphis moneyline, let’s BET GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-110) for insurance. New to sports betting? A $110 bet on the Grizzlies +4.5 (-110) returns a $100 profit if Memphis wins or loses by four or fewer points.
Over/Under (O/U)
I LEAN OVER 236.5 (-110) in Grizzlies-Pelicans because the projected totals in their two regular-season meetings were 241.5 and 242.5. The Over/Under record in those games is 1-1, but the Under was by a half-point.
It’s only a lean and not a like because I don’t love playing totals and neither bet has an edge in bubble trends. Through 19 games in the restart, the Over/Under record is 10-9.
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