Grizzlies Kings odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (23-45) kick off a 4-game road trip Monday against the Sacramento Kings (38-28). Tip-off from Golden 1 Center is at 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Kings lead 2-0

The Grizzlies have lost 2 games in a row and 4 of their last 5. They are coming off a 118-112 home loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder Saturday but covered the 10.5-point spread as underdogs. They are 13th in the conference and trail the No. 10 seed for a play-in berth by 13 games.

The Kings have won 4 of their last 6 but had a 2-game winning streak snapped in their last outing, a 98-91 home loss to the New York Knicks Saturday as 3-point favorites. They are 6th in the West, holding on to the final guaranteed playoff spot by percentage points over the Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns.

Grizzlies at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +425 (bet $100 to win $425) | Kings -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +10.5 (-105) | Kings -10.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at Kings key injuries

Grizzlies

G Luke Kennard (personal) out
G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
G Scotty Pippen Jr. (shin) out
G Marcus Smart (finger) out
C Lamar Stevens (adductor) out
F Vince Williams Jr. (knee) doubtful

Kings

F Trey Lyles (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 109, Grizzlies 102

Moneyline

The Grizzlies have been better on the road (15-18) than at home (8-27) this season and won 3 of their last 7 games, but they are 5-18 in their last 23.

Meanwhile, the Kings (-600) have won 4 of their last 6 games and are 8-5 in their last 13.

The Kings won both meetings in Memphis earlier this season, 123-92 Dec. 31 and 103-94 Jan. 29.

There is no reason to believe a banged-up Grizzlies squad will beat a healthy Kings team in the middle of the playoff race.

But backing the Kings at -600 doesn’t make for a good bet.

PASS.

Against the spread

Each team covered the spread in 1 of the 2 meetings this season in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are 33-35 ATS overall this season and 19-14 ATS on the road. Of their last 8 losses, 4 have been by more than 10 points.

Only 3 of the Kings’ last 8 wins have been by more than 10. They are 13-19 ATS at home.

Expect the Grizzlies to keep this within 10 points.

BET GRIZZLIES +10.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Neither of the previous 2 meetings this season reached the projected total for this matchup.

Four of the Kings’ last 6 games have had totals higher than 221 points.

But the Grizzlies have only had 1 of their last 5 games go higher than 221 points. They have averaged 100.8 points per game over their last 5 contests.

BET UNDER 221.5 (-115).

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Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (31-15) and Sacramento Kings (26-19) meet Monday at Golden 1 Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies failed to cover the spread as 8.5-point favorites Sunday in a 112-110 loss at the Phoenix Suns. G Ja Morant scored a game-high 27 points as Memphis lost back-to-back games after winning 11 straight. The Grizzlies are 4-0 against the spread (ATS) vs. the Kings in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.

The Kings failed to cover as 5.5-point home favorites Saturday in a 129-127 loss vs. the Philadelphia 76ers. G De’Aaron Fox finished with a team-high 31 points as Sacramento’s 6-game win streak came to an end. The Kings are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. teams with a winning record.

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Grizzlies at Kings odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Kings +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -1.5 (-105) | Kings +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 246.5 (O: -105 | U: -105)

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Grizzlies at Kings key injuries

Grizzlies

Not yet submitted

Kings

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 130, Kings 120

Moneyline

PASS.

The Grizzlies (-120) should win, but there is no need to pay the extra juice on the moneyline when Memphis should win by margin. Bet the spread or total instead.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-105).

Despite losing 2 straight, Memphis is still one of the best teams in the league and has played well in Sacramento recently. The Grizzlies should come out prepared vs. the Kings after underestimating the Suns Sunday and losing a very winnable game. Memphis is 4-2 ATS on the 2nd night of a back-to-back and should be able to get a statement win vs. a Kings team that may start regressing toward the mean. Lay the points.

Over/Under

BET OVER 246.5 (-105).

This is a high number, but both teams are top 5 in points per game this season and have been hitting the Over on similar totals. The Over is 8-2 in Memphis’ last 10 games and 2 of the totals that went Over were set at 240 points or higher. These teams tend to play high-scoring games vs. each other in Sacramento, with the Over hitting in 5 of the last 6 meetings, and Monday’s matchup should be another offensive showcase.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (3-1) visit the Sacramento Kings (0-3) at Golden 1 Center Thursday. Tip is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies come into this game off a 134-124 beatdown of the Brooklyn Nets Monday as 1-point favorites. Their other wins were by 3 points over New York Knicks to open the season and by 7 over the Houston Rockets Friday. Memphis lost to the Dallas Mavericks by 41 in between the Houston and Brooklyn victories.

Memphis is led by MVP candidate G Ja Morant. Morant is averaging 35.3 points per game and has scored 38 or more points in 2 of the 4 games. F Jaren Jackson Jr. has remained sidelined and is likely to remain so until early 2023.

The Kings have struggled to start the season and lost to the Golden State Warriors 130-125 Sunday, coving as 10-point underdogs. They also have a 2-point loss to the Los Angeles Clippers and a 7-point loss to the Portland Trail Blazers on their resume.

Sacramento is led by star G De’Aaron Fox, who is averaging 31.7 points per game and is shooting 59.4% from the field. First-round pick F Keegan Murray is 2nd on the team with 17.5 points per game on 54.2% shooting.

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Grizzlies at Kings odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Kings +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -3.5 (-112) | Kings +3.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Grizzlies at Kings key injuries

Grizzlies

G Danny Green (knee) out
F Jalen Jackson Jr. (foot) out
G John Konchar (shoulder) questionable
G/F Ziaire Williams (knee) out

Kings

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Kings 116

Moneyline

PASS.

This line seems like a trap as the 3-1 Grizzlies (-165) are clearly the better team. However, the Kings have kept games close this season, and I’d rather back them on the spread.

Against the spread

BET KINGS +3.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies have the league’s 24th-best net rating following their 41-point loss to the Mavericks. The winless Kings have taken on the defending champs and still sit 20th.

Memphis’ defense has taken a major blow this season with Jackson out, and will struggle on the road against a team that will look to push the pace and has been able to keep games close.

The Kings rank 11th in effective field goal percentage and are 7th in defensive rebounding rate which should limit what was a key strength for the Grizzlies last season.

Sacramento is the more rested side and at home, both of which should aid its ability to keep this game close.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 235.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies haven’t played well defensively this season, but Fox shooting 59% from the field is not a realistic percentage to sustain. The Kings are not the 11th-best shooting team in the NBA and should regress.

Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have actually slowed the pace this season, ranking 19th in the NBA. Expect a slow game and at least some shooting regression.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (18-11) wrap up their short two-game road trip Friday against the Sacramento Kings (12-17). Tip-off is 10 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Kings odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Grizzlies are one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now. They have won four straight games and nine of their last 10. G Ja Morant has been out for all 10 of those games. He missed time with a knee injury and now is in health and safety protocols.

The Kings snapped a three-game losing skid with a 119-105 home win over the Washington Wizards Wednesday. Five players on the team average double figures in scoring, led by G De’Aaron Fox with 21.4 points per game.

Grizzlies at Kings odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:23 a.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Kings +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -5.5 (-115) | Kings +5.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Grizzlies at Kings key injuries

Grizzlies

F Santi Aldama (calf) questionable
F Brandon Clarke (knee) out
G Sam Merrill (ankle) out
G Ja Morant (knee, health and safety protocols) out
F Ziaire Williams (ankle) out

Kings

F Marvin Bagley III (health and safety protocols) out
G Terence Davis (health and safety protocols) out
G De’Aaron Fox (health and safety protocols) doubtful
G Tyrese Haliburton (back) questionable
C Richaun Holmes (eye) doubtful
F Louis King (health and safety protocols) out
C Alex Len (health and safety protocols) doubtful
C Chimezie Metu (knee) questionable

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Grizzlies at Kings odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 115, Kings 101

Money line

The Grizzlies are the hottest team in the league right now, even without their best player.

The Kings’ roster is decimated by an outbreak of COVID-19. Between health and safety protocols and injuries, six players have been ruled out or are doubtful to play. Sacramento has struggled against good teams and Memphis is a good team.

Take the GRIZZLIES (-240).

Against the spread

Memphis is fourth in the league at 18-11 ATS this season. They have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 games.

The Kings are 1-3 ATS in their last four games and 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games.

Take the GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Grizzlies are 4-6 O/U and have allowed just 95 points per game across their last 10 games.

The Kings have had seven of their last 11 games go Over the projected total and five of their last six have had totals of 224 or more.

However, with so many players out and the Grizzlies holding opponents to so few points, take UNDER 221.5 (-112).

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Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Sacramento Kings (12-13) host the Memphis Grizzlies (10-11) Sunday at Golden 1 Center. The tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Kings NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Memphis’ injury issues have caused a bit of a slide as the Grizzlies lost five of their last seven games to start February. Their defense has regressed this month and is dead-last in opponent’s effective field-goal shooting (eFG%) and 24th in opponent’s FTA rate.

The Kings have dropped two straight after winning four consecutive games to start the month. Sacramento PG De’Aaron Fox has been amazing this month, averaging 31.6 points and 9.0 assists in his five games in Feb. He missed the Kings’ previous game against the Orlando Magic which they lost 123-112.

Sacramento was 3-1 against Memphis last season and has won and covered the spread in five of the last six head-to-head meetings.

Grizzlies at Kings: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Kings -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies -1.5 (-105) | Kings +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 228.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Grizzlies at Kings: Key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (calf) questionable
PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
SG Desmond Bane (personal) out
PG De’Anthony Melton (shoulder) out

Kings

PF Marvin Bagley III (calf) questionable
PG De’Aaron Fox (knee) questionable

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Grizzlies at Kings: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Kings 123, Grizzlies 116

Money line (ML)

The Kings have a slightly better winning percentage because they are slightly better as a team. Sacramento shoots much better from the field (9th in eFG%, Memphis is 20th) and gets to the charity stripe at a much higher rate (sixth in free-throw rate, Memphis is 30th).

Fox’s availability is crucial information before wagering on this game. He balled out last season against the Grizzlies, scoring 25.0 points per game on 54.5% field-goal shooting (52.6% from deep) with a 126 offensive rating in four games.

I’d have to pass if Fox cannot play because Memphis has been terrible recently and I’m not betting on the Grizzlies until they get healthier. If Fox can play, I lean SACRAMENTO (-105) on the money line only because I could see an outright Kings win being a little too pricey so I’d just take them to cover the spread.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the spread because if Fox can play then the Kings are probably -130 to -140 on the money line and I’d rather bet that than fuss with the points.

If the money line goes above -140 that means Fox is active, the market is hammering the Kings because of that news and then Sacramento laying points becomes the play. The bottom line is you either bet the Kings or pass on the sides.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE the OVER 228.5 (-115) for 1 unit because these teams are like mirror images of each other and the closeness of their profiles equals an exciting, high-scoring affair.

Three of the four Grizzlies-Kings meetings last season went Over the total and Memphis has gone Over the total in four straight. Sacramento has a 4-1 O/U record as a home favorite this season.

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Also see:

NBA G League Ignite: Daishen Nix breaks out in Game 3 vs. 905 (Lonzo Wire)

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