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A NFC North rivalry hits Thursday Night Football as the Detroit Lions (11-1) host the Green Bay Packers (9-3). Kickoff is scheduled at 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video) from Ford Field in Motown. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Packers vs. Lions odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
Two storied franchises in arguably the NFL’s most competitive division showcase their second matchup of the season. The Lions prevailed 24-14 in the first contest during rainy, wet conditions at Lambeau Field in Week 9, on the back of touchdowns by WR Amon-Ra St. Brown and RB Jahmyr Gibbs.
Since its only loss of the season, Week 2 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-16, Detroit has rattled off 10 straight wins, a streak punctuated by its 23-20 escape in which the Chicago Bears botched a chance to tie or win in Lions territory in the final minutes.
The Packers rolled over the Miami Dolphins 30-17 at chilly Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving night to notch their seventh win in eight games.
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Packers at Lions odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:26 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Packers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Lions -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Packers +3.5 (-115) | Lions -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Packers at Lions key injuries
Packers
- CB Jaire Alexander (knee) questionable
- WR Romeo Doubs (concussion) questionable
- RB Josh Jacobs (calf) questionable
Lions
- CB Carlton Davis III (knee) probable
- DL DJ Reader (shoulder) questionable
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Packers at Lions picks and predictions
Prediction
Lions 27, Packers 23
Moneyline
The biggest difference will be whether Alexander can suit up for the Packers and help contain the passing game. The lockdown cornerback has not yet played a divisional opponent this season, and his presence could force Detroit to adjust.
However, the Lions rank 7th in EPA per rush (0.03), so they’re comfortable in adjusting by leaning on Gibbs and RB David Montgomery. Green Bay can, of course, hold its own with Jacobs, as long as he’s healthy.
Even with Green Bay’s offensive stock matching Detroit’s almost position-for-position, siding against the Lions on their home turf would be a mistake.
Detroit’s (-178) ML listed on FanDuel Sportsbook offers better value than BetMGM in this market.
BET LIONS (-178) at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Against the spread
Books and bettors have generally priced Detroit correctly this season; the Lions have compiled a 9-3 record ATS. Green Bay has split the difference at 6-6.
The Packers will naturally keep this close, but in a toss-up, take the lesser juice ATS.
BET LIONS -3.5 (-105).
Over/Under
These squads are an identical 5-6-1 on the O/U, which likely has transpired because of their excellent run games that can slow down the pace and, in turn, scoring totals.
Many will point to the full week of rest for these teams after each played on Thanksgiving to favor a higher-octane offensive performance, and the above prediction credits plenty of touchdowns. This game will also take place indoors instead of in weather elements, which impacted their first meeting this year.
However, especially if Alexander plays, these 2 teams likely will try to eat as much clock as possible on the ground.
BET UNDER 51.5 (-110).
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