Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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A NFC North rivalry hits Thursday Night Football as the Detroit Lions (11-1) host the Green Bay Packers (9-3). Kickoff is scheduled at 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video) from Ford Field in Motown. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Packers vs. Lions odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Two storied franchises in arguably the NFL’s most competitive division showcase their second matchup of the season. The Lions prevailed 24-14 in the first contest during rainy, wet conditions at Lambeau Field in Week 9, on the back of touchdowns by WR Amon-Ra St. Brown and RB Jahmyr Gibbs.

Since its only loss of the season, Week 2 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-16, Detroit has rattled off 10 straight wins, a streak punctuated by its 23-20 escape in which the Chicago Bears botched a chance to tie or win in Lions territory in the final minutes.

The Packers rolled over the Miami Dolphins 30-17 at chilly Lambeau Field on Thanksgiving night to notch their seventh win in eight games.

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Packers at Lions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Packers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Lions -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Packers +3.5 (-115) | Lions -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Packers at Lions key injuries

Packers

  • CB Jaire Alexander (knee) questionable
  • WR Romeo Doubs (concussion) questionable
  • RB Josh Jacobs (calf) questionable

Lions

  • CB Carlton Davis III (knee) probable
  • DL DJ Reader (shoulder) questionable

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Packers at Lions picks and predictions

Prediction

Lions 27, Packers 23

Moneyline

The biggest difference will be whether Alexander can suit up for the Packers and help contain the passing game. The lockdown cornerback has not yet played a divisional opponent this season, and his presence could force Detroit to adjust.

However, the Lions rank 7th in EPA per rush (0.03), so they’re comfortable in adjusting by leaning on Gibbs and RB David Montgomery. Green Bay can, of course, hold its own with Jacobs, as long as he’s healthy.

Even with Green Bay’s offensive stock matching Detroit’s almost position-for-position, siding against the Lions on their home turf would be a mistake.

Detroit’s (-178) ML listed on FanDuel Sportsbook offers better value than BetMGM in this market.

BET LIONS (-178) at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Against the spread

Books and bettors have generally priced Detroit correctly this season; the Lions have compiled a 9-3 record ATS. Green Bay has split the difference at 6-6.

The Packers will naturally keep this close, but in a toss-up, take the lesser juice ATS.

BET LIONS -3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

These squads are an identical 5-6-1 on the O/U, which likely has transpired because of their excellent run games that can slow down the pace and, in turn, scoring totals.

Many will point to the full week of rest for these teams after each played on Thanksgiving to favor a higher-octane offensive performance, and the above prediction credits plenty of touchdowns. This game will also take place indoors instead of in weather elements, which impacted their first meeting this year.

However, especially if Alexander plays, these 2 teams likely will try to eat as much clock as possible on the ground.

BET UNDER 51.5 (-110).

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Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Green Bay Packers (3-5) visit the Detroit Lions (1-6) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Packers vs. Lions odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

This has been a season of misery for both teams.

QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers come into this game on a 4-game losing streak, including last week’s 27-17 loss against the Buffalo Bills. The loss of WR Davante Adams (to Las Vegas in the offseason) was a major blow and another blow came at the trade deadline when the Packers stayed pat and did nothing to help their lingering situation on offense.

The Lions came into the season with so much promise. After going 3-14 in 2021, the try-hard team was supposed to be better. Instead, Dan Campbell’s squad is 1-6 and traded away their starting tight end (T.J. Hockenson) to the division-rival Minnesota Vikings.

Games between these NFC North teams are always fun and this will be no different. But now, instead of Green Bay being atop the division and looking down on the Lions, they are right next to each other at the bottom of the division.

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Packers at Lions odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:18 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Packers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Lions +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Packers -4 (-108) | Lions +4 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Packers at Lions key injuries

Packers

  • OL David Bakhtiari (knee) questionable
  • LB De’Vondre Campbell (knee) questionable
  • WR Randall Cobb (ankle) out — injured reserve
  • OL Elgton Jenkins (knee) questionable
  • WR Allen Lazard (shoulder) questionable
  • QB Aaron Rodgers (thumb) questionable
  • LB Preston Smith (shoulder) questionable
  • WR Christian Watson (concussion) questionable

Lions

  • OL Taylor Decker (back) questionable
  • DB Charles Harris (groin) questionable
  • CB AJ Parker (hip) questionable
  • WR Josh Reynolds (back) questionable
  • RB D’Andre Swift (ankle, shoulder) questionable
  • TE Brock Wright (concussion) questionable

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Packers at Lions picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 34, Lions 28

Moneyline

PASS.

The Packers’ -200 ML is too high to make a wager.

Against the spread

LEAN PACKERS -4 (-108).

Rodgers is the most talented QB in NFL history. The 4-game losing streak he and the Packers are on is the longest of his career. Going against a bad Lions team this week, Rodgers will get back on track and the Packers will return to their winning ways.

The Lions have all but folded it in on the season with the trade of TE Hockenson to the Vikings. With Swift ailing as well as WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit’s health on offense is in question.

After going up 21-0 to Miami Sunday, Detroit let the game go and lost 31-27. It will not go up by 21 in this game and it will not lose by less than 4. TAKE PACKERS -4 (-108).

Over/Under

BET OVER 49.5 (-108).

This number is a bit high, and it is likely to come down before game time. Even if it does not, I love it.

Detroit and its porous defense allow points. The offense for Detroit also likes to score points. The Lions are 5-2 to the Over on the season and this game will make it 6-2.

When Green Bay is clicking, it is efficient. It scores a lot of points on few drives. They will be clicking in this game and the scoring will hit the Over in this divisional matchup. OVER 49.5 (-108) is my FAVORITE PLAY in this game.

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Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Green Bay Packers (13-3) and Detroit Lions (2-13-1) wrap up their regular seasons with a Week 18 meeting Sunday at Ford Field in the Motor City. The kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Packers vs. Lions odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Green Bay clinched a first-round bye and a home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs after crushing a QB Kirk Cousins-less Minnesota Vikings 37-10 on Sunday Night Football last weekend.

It’s unclear how long the Packers will play MVP frontrunner Aaron Rodgers, RB Aaron Jones and superstar WR Davante Adams. Green Bay is 12-4 ATS and 7-9 O/U.

Detroit was eliminated from playoff contention long ago and got rolled 51-29 in Week 17 by the Seattle Seahawks.

Lions QB Jared Goff has missed the last two games and his status for Week 18 is up in the air. The Lions are 10-6 ATS and 6-10 O/U.

The Packers stormed past the Lions 35-17 at Lambeau Field as 11.5-point favorites in Week 2 with 21 unanswered second-half points.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 18 picks and predictions

Packers at Lions odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Packers -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Lions +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Packers -3.5 (+100) | Lions +3.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Packers at Lions key injuries

Packers

  • OT David Bakhtiari (knee) questionable
  • RB Aaron Jones (knee) questionable
  • LB De’Vondre Campbell (elbow) questionable
  • DL Kingsley Keke (illness) out
  • CB Jaire Alexander (shoulder) out

Lions

  • QB Jared Goff (knee) questionable
  • Jonah Jackson (elbow/knee) questionable
  • LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin (shoulder) questionable
  • WR Josh Reynolds (thigh) questionable
  • TE Brock Wright (groin) questionable
  • DE Michael Brockers (neck) questionable
  • FB Jason Cabinda (knee) out

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Packers at Lions odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Lions 24, Packers 17

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Lions (+140) since I like Detroit plus the points and will typically sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover.

However, this just isn’t a good enough payout to take the Lions outright since we still don’t know Goff’s status.

Green Bay is reportedly planning to send its starters out for at least a few series. I don’t trust Detroit backup QB Tim Boyle enough to lead the Lions past the Packers, even against Green Bay’s second-string defense.

Against the spread

BET the LIONS +3.5 (-125) for 1 unit because they are one of the best ATS teams in the NFL despite being mathematically eliminated from the playoffs for a long time.

Detroit first-year head coach Dan Campbell has done an awesome job having his team prepped every week and the Lions have played hard in most games this season.

Also, the Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games in Detroit and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games versus the Lions.

Detroit was ahead of Green Bay at the end of the first half in their Week 2 meeting before squandering the game after halftime.

The Lions outgained the Packers 344-323 but lost the turnover battle 2-0, committed nine penalties for 78 yards and were stopped on both fourth-down attempts.

I expect Detroit to have a better 60-minute performance against a Green Bay team that’ll probably rest its good players after a few series.

The LIONS +3.5 (-125) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 44.5 (-110) for a half-unit because Detroit plays at the second-slowest pace in the NFL (seconds per snap) and Green Bay plays the third-slowest pace, according to Football Outsiders.

Lastly, there’s been some reverse line movement headed south of the total. Nearly 70% of the action is on the Over but this total has been lowered from the 45.5-point opener according to pregame.com. It’s a red flag whenever we see sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

Also seeNFL Week 18 odds and lines

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Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions odds Week 14 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Green Bay Packers (9-3) visit the Detroit Lions (5-7) on Sunday for a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff at Raymond James Stadium. Below, we preview the Packers-Lions betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Packers at Lions: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:57 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Packers -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Lions +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Packers -9 (-110) | Lions +9 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Packers at Lions: Game notes

  • The Packers are coming off a 30-16 win against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 13. They have won their past two games by an average of 15.0 points per game and covered the spread in both. It’s Green Bay’s first time with consecutive covers since going 4-0 ATS to open the season.
  • Green Bay lost its most recent road game, falling in Week 11 at the Indianapolis Colts 34-31 in overtime. They Packers are 4-2 SU/ATS in six road outings to date, with the Over also 4-2 in those six contests.
  • These teams met at Lambeau Field Sept. 20 in Week 2 with the Pack doubling up the Lions 42-21 to coast to a cover as 7-point favorites.
  • The Lions won 34-30 at the Chicago Bears last week, avenging a disappointing Week 1 loss. The victory was the first for interim head coach Darrell Bevell, who took the reins for the fired Matt Patricia after the Week 12 Thanksgiving Day debacle – a 41-25 home loss to the Houston Texans.
  • Detroit has posted a 1-4 SU/ATS mark in five games at Ford Field this season, and they’re 1-3 SU/ATS in four games inside the NFC North Division. Green Bay is 3-1 SU/ATS in four divisional games to date.

Packers at Lions: Key injuries

Packers

  • WR Equanimeous St. Brown (knee, concussion) questionable
  • S Darnell Savage (groin) questionable
  • TE Jace Sternberger (concussion) out

Lions

  • OT Tyrell Crosby (ankle) out
  • WR Kenny Golladay (hip) out
  • CB Jeff Okudah (groin) out
  • DL John Penisini (shoulder) questionable
  • QB Matthew Stafford (thumb) questionable
  • RB D’Andre Swift (illness) questionable

Packers at Lions: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Packers 34, Lions 27

Money line (?)

The Packers (-450) will cost four and a half times your potential return, and even though they’re up against the lowly Lions (+350), that’s a risky proposition for any road team in the NFL. AVOID.

Against the spread (?)

The LIONS +9 (-110) were able to pick up a victory on the road last week against the Bears, and the firing of Patricia served as a wake-up call. Can they carry over the momentum against the high-octane Packers -9? Detroit is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings vs. Green Bay, and 5-2 ATS across the past seven home meetings in the series.

Over/Under (?)

OVER 54.5 (-110) is the way to go here, as these teams generally combine for plenty of points. The Lions are hurting without Golladay, but they were able to win without him last week. Whether or not Swift plays is inconsequential, too, as they showed they can score plenty of points with trusty veteran RB Adrian Peterson in the backfield.

The Over has connected in seven of the past 10 meetings in this series, and four of the previous five at Ford Field, too.

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