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March Madness: Grambling vs. Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Grambling vs. Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Grambling Tigers (21-14) and Purdue Boilermakers (29-4) meet in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament Friday. Tip-off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis is set for 7:25 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook ‘s lines around the Grambling vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Grambling, the 16 seed in the Midwest Region, tangled with Montana State in a Wednesday First Four contest in Dayton. The 4½-point underdog Tigers defeated the Bobcats 88-81 in overtime. The champions of the Southwestern Athletic Conference are 4-0 in the postseason and have won 10 of their last 11.

Top-seeded Purdue, which is No. 3 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, was upset by Wisconsin 76-75 in the Big Ten Tournament Friday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Big Ten regular-season champs have cooled a bit on offense of late — especially from looks inside the arc — and are just 1-5 against the spread (ATS) over their last half-dozen games.

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Grambling vs. Purdue odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Grambling +2500 (bet $100 to win $2,500) | Purdue -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grambling +26.5 (-115) | Purdue -26.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grambling vs. Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 77, Grambling 56

Moneyline

There’s no value here: PASS.

Against the spread

Grambling is 7-4 ATS against winning teams. Purdue is 4-15 ATS across its last 19 March games. That includes straight-up losses when favored by double digits each of the last 2 NCAA Tournaments.

This match-up features enough strength-on-strength and weakness-on-weakness that perhaps some of the edge will be softened in Grambling’s shortcomings. Most especially, the Tigers are solid in defending the 3 (PU launches a lot) and their turnover issues (KenPom pegs their rate as No. 338 in NCAA-I) aren’t as likely to be exploited by a stay-at-home Boilermaker defense.

TAKE GRAMBLING +26.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

Purdue will get its rebound-putbacks, its free throws, and likely a decent number of triples. But both teams also tend to settle for a lot of mid-range shots, and the tempo likely will not be fast.

Peg a sliver of a lean on the UNDER 139.5 (-110).

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March Madness: Grambling vs. Montana State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Grambling vs. Montana State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Grambling Tigers (20-14) and Montana State Bobcats (17-17) play for the 16th seed in the Midwest Region when they meet in an NCAA Tournament First Four game Wednesday. Tip-off from UD Arena in Dayton is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Grambling vs. Montana State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Grambling won the SWAC Tournament with a convincing 75-66 victory against Texas Southern in the final Saturday. Grambling covered all 3 games en route to the SWAC title, and it is 9-1 straight up (SU) across the past 10 games, with only an OT loss at Alabama State in the regular-season finale March 9 as the only setback. Grambling is 7-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past 10 games.

Montana State won the Big Sky Tournament as the No. 5 seed, topping Weber State, Sacramento State and rival Montana for the automatic bid. The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in the past 6 games while cashing the Over in 4 of the previous 5 contests.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Grambling vs. Montana State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grambling +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Montana State -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grambling +3.5 (-110) | Montana State -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Grambling vs. Montana State and predictions

Prediction

Montana State 71, Grambling 66

Moneyline

Montana State (-175) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and it is too expensive as a standalone wager in this First Four battle. However, if you were to include the Bobcats as part of a multi-team parlay, it’s not terribly priced out of line.

AVOID as a singular wager.

Against the spread

MONTANA STATE -3.5 (-110) is worth playing lightly in Dayton. The Bobcats have covered 5 of the past 6 games, and they caught fire shooting against Montana in the 2nd half of the Big Sky title game.

Grambling +3.5 (-110) won’t be satisfied just to get to the First Four, but it has already made history just by getting to Dayton. It was 1 of just 2 SWAC teams which hadn’t been to the NCAA Tournament until qualifying this season.

The Tigers are a tempting play, as they’re 7-1 ATS in the past 8 tries as underdogs, but the Bobcats streak in with a little more confidence and better 3-point shooting, which will be key.

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Over/Under

OVER 134.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most. We’ll likely get some nerves, as this is the 1st game to tip off Wednesday night. It generally takes teams a little while to get a lay of the land at UD Arena before the shots start falling.

The Over has a slight 3-2 advantage in the past 5 games for Grambling, while the total went high in all 3 Big Sky tourney games for Montana State while cashing at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 outings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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SWAC Tournament: Texas Southern vs. Grambling odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Texas Southern vs. Grambling odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Texas Southern Tigers (16-15) and Grambling Tigers (19-14) meet in the Southwestern Athletic Conference (SWAC) Tournament Championship Game Saturday at the Bartow Arena in Birmingham, Ala. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU/ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Texas Southern vs. Grambling odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The 3rd-seeded Texas Southern Tigers have picked up wins and covers against Jackson State and Alabama A&M to get back to the SWAC title game. The Tigers are trying to back to the Big Dance for the 4th straight season, and 8th time just since 2014.

Texas Southern has won 3 in a row, and 7 of the past 8 games, while covering at a 7-1 against the spread (ATS) clip since Feb. 19.

The 1st-seeded Grambling Tigers posted wins and covers against Alabama State and Bethune-Cookman to get to the final. Grambling is trying to make history, as it is one of 2 SWAC institutions to never have qualified for the NCAA Tournament.

Grambling has won 8 of the past 9 games, with the only setback an overtime loss at Alabama State in the regular-season finale March 9. Grambling is 9-4 ATS in the past 13 games, including a 66-63 win at Texas Southern on Feb. 17 in the most recent meeting.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Texas Southern vs. Grambling odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Texas Southern -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Grambling +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
Against the spread: Texas Southern -2.5 (-110) | Grambling +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 127.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texas Southern vs. Grambling picks and predictions

Prediction

Grambling 69, Texas Southern 67

Moneyline

GRAMBLING (+116) is going to make history, punching its ticket to the NCAA Tournament, likely the First Four, for the first time in school history.

These Tigers have been red-hot, winning 8 of the past 9 games, with a lone setback in overtime along the way. It isn’t going to be easy, and it might even come down to the final possession, but Grambling is going dancing.

Against the spread

GRAMBLING +2.5 (-110) is worth playing if you’d like a little bit of insurance. Each of the 2 regular-season meetings have been decided by 3 points or less, so it’s unlikely we’ll get a lopsided score either way.

Grambling has really been playing well, and it won the most recent meeting in Houston. The time is now for Grambling to make history.

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Over/Under

OVER 127.5 (-110) is the best play on the board in this SWAC title game.

The Under is 2-0 in the 2 games for Grambling in this tourney, but these Tigers have scored 74 or more points in 3 of the past 6 outings.

For Texas Southern, it has cashed the Over in 4 of the past 5 games, going for 72 or more points in 7 straight outings, while allowing at least 70 points in 4 of the previous 6 contests.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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