Gonzaga Saint Mary’s odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Gonzaga Bulldogs (23-6, 13-2 West Coast) and Saint Mary’s Gaels (24-6, 15-0) meet in a key West Coast Conference tussle Saturday night. Tip-off from University Credit Union Pavilion will be at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook ‘s lines around the Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Gonzaga is ranked No. 22 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Bulldogs covered as 4-point favorites in an 86-68 win over San Francisco at Chase Center Thursday. The win marked GU’s 7th in a row, and it snapped a 3-game losing skid against the spread (ATS).

Saint Mary’s, tabbed as 17th in the Coaches Poll, also played Thursday. The Gaels earned an ATS win as 15.5-point favorites; they won 83-57 at Pepperdine. SMC has not lost since Dec. 23; the Gaels are 16-0 since and that includes a 64-62 victory over these Bulldogs Feb. 3.

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Gonzaga +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Saint Mary’s -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Gonzaga +2.5 (-110) | Saint Mary’s -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s picks and predictions

Prediction

Saint Mary’s 71, Gonzaga 67

Moneyline

PASS. A Gaels tag of -140 or lower would make the SMC ML play the best option, but otherwise the ATS action cozies up to more value for the bettor.

Against the spread

GU is 0-3 ATS in games lined with totals in the 140s; the Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS against teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game (PPG).

The Gaels, who allow 58.1 PPG, are 10-5 ATS in WCC action.

It does not happen often, but it does happen. Over the last 3 years, Gonzaga has been an underdog 6 times. The Bulldogs went 1-5 ATS.

Saint Mary’s boasts a strong interior defense and tremendous rebounding. The Bulldogs did a nice job keeping SMC off the glass in the Feb. 3 meeting (just 7 SMC offensive rebounds despite a relatively low shooting percentage). Look for a push in that area and for the Gaels to get a win in 2-possession territory.

TAKE SAINT MARY’S -2.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

When GU has played those defense-1st squads yielding 64 or fewer points, the Under has prevailed with a 5-0 mark.

The Under hit in the 1st meeting, and that was on a total of 138.5. Figure on ultra-slow SMC controlling the pace and on a game without a ton of frees and 3s.

BACK THE UNDER 141.5 (-110).

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 14 Gonzaga Bulldogs (19-4, 8-1 WCC) will look to topple the No. 18 Saint Mary’s Gaels (20-4, 9-0) in Moraga, Calif., Saturday at 10:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Despite the perception that Gonzaga is struggling this season, the Bulldogs are still No. 14 in the nation and have only lost 1 conference game. It was a home loss to Loyola Marymount that ended the nation’s longest home-winning streak at more than 65.

After the 68-67 loss as 16.5-point favorites, the Bulldogs have 3-straight wins and remain just 1 game back of Saint Mary’s in the conference heading into the game Saturday.

Saint Mary’s will come into this game on an 11-game winning streak face a Bulldogs team that knocked them out of the conference tournament last year.

If Saint Mary’s is going to get the Bulldogs, this is the year to do so as Gonzaga seems to be weaker this season compared to the Gaels, who seemingly have everything they need for the victory.

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Gonzaga +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Saint Mary’s -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Gonzaga +3.5 (-115) | Saint Mary’s -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 70, Saint Mary’s 60

Moneyline

Gonzaga leads the nation in scoring offense at 86.4 points while Saint Mary’s ranks 4th in defense at 57.2 points per game. My feeling is that Gonzaga’s offense is too much in this game as the Bulldogs rank 1st in FG % at 52.1% and 16th in 3-point percentage at 38.6%.

F Drew Timme will dominate in the paint, and this will allow Gonzaga to move the ball up and down the floor and score against the Gaels.

Take GONZAGA +135.

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Against the spread

PASS on the spread and stick to the ML.

This should be a Gonzaga victory on Saturday. With Gonzaga being the underdog, I will take the risk on their moneyline for the higher payout.

Over/Under

UNDER 137.5 (-115) is the total to play.

Despite Gonzaga leading the country in scoring, it has not shown in the total plays for the Bulldogs lately.

Following a win, the Bulldogs have gone Under the total in 6 of its last 7 games. The Bulldogs have also gone Under the total in 4 straight on the road against teams with winning records at home and 5 in a row against any team with a straight up win percentage above .600.

Gonzaga will score enough to win but not enough to drag this game to the Over.

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets in a WCC battle.

No. 1 Gonzaga Bulldogs (24-2, 13-0 WCC) visit the No. 23 Saint Mary’s Gaels (23-6, 11-3) Saturday. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (on ESPN). Below, we look at the Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Gonzaga has won 17 in a row, last losing Dec. 4 to now-No. 25 Alabama 91-82 on a neutral floor in Seattle.

The Zags are 8-3-2 against the spread (ATS) since Jan. 1 and 14-10-2 ATS this season. The Bulldogs are a perfect 5-0 on the road. They’re led by C Drew Timme (18.1 points per game) and freshman phenom C Chet Holmgren (14.7 points and team-high 9.8 rebounds per game).

Gonzaga beat Saint Mary’s 74-58 Feb. 12, pushing as a 16-point home favorite. Saint Mary’s is 18-9-1 ATS and a perfect 15-0 straight up at home.

The Gaels are led by F Matthias Tass (12.4 points per game), who is joined by three teammates also averaging double figures in scoring.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:03 p.m. ET.

Money line: Gonzaga -700 (bet $700 to win $100) | Saint Mary’s +470 (bet $100 to win $470)
Against the spread: Gonzaga -10.5 (-120) | Saint Mary’s +10.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 75, Saint Mary’s 62

Money line

PASS.

The -700 price for a Gonzaga win is unplayable, although extremely likely. At home, the Zags beat Saint Mary’s by 16 earlier in the season. Betting on a Gaels’ upset at +470 also isn’t a smart play.

Against the spread

LEAN to GONZAGA -10.5 (-120).

It’s not easy to consistently cover a 30-point spread, but Gonzaga has consistently covered spreads of 15 points or less. In the 15-points or less situation, the Bulldogs covered its last 3 (at San Francisco, at BYU and vs. BYU).

Saint Mary’s has been terrific ATS but lost by 16 in the push last time it played Gonzaga, which led by 13 at the half. Timme was 11-for-16 from the field for the Zags in that matchup.

The Bulldogs are a dominant side and have been reliable in conference play, going 8-3-2 ATS.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 144.5 (-108).

Despite the Zags’ high-pace offense, the Gaels held the Bulldogs to just 74 points in the first meeting. Saint Mary’s has been terrific defensively, ranking 11th in the nation in opponents’ points per game (59.5).

Offensively, the Gaels average just 69.7 points per game. So, as long as they limit the Bulldogs, similar to what they did last time, the Under should be the better play.

Both teams have also consistently hit the Under with Gonzaga 11-15 O/U and Saint Mary’s 13-14-1 O/U.

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Gonzaga Bulldogs at Saint Mary’s Gaels sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 1 Gonzaga Bulldogs (13-0 overall, 4-0 West Coast Conference) visit the Saint Mary’s Gaels (9-4, 0-2) Saturday for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Gonzaga-Saint Mary’s college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:20 a.m. ET.

Money line: Gonzaga -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100) | Saint Mary’s +1050 (bet $100 to win $1,050)
Against the spread/ATS: Gonzaga -15.5 (-115) | Saint Mary’s +15.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s: Three things to know

Gonzaga only led visiting Pepperdine by 4 points at intermission Thursday, but the Zags shot 61% in the second half and cruised to a 90-75 victory. Senior F Corey Kispert and sophomore F Drew Timme led the way with 23 and 20 points, respectively, but Gonzaga failed to cover the 27-point spread. Kispert’s 21.2 points per game lead four Bulldogs in double figures. Star freshman G Jalen Suggs averages 14.4 PPG and team-highs in assists (4.9 APG) and steals (2.5 SPG).
Saint Mary’s enters on a 2-game slide, recently dropping a 62-52 home decision to BYU as a 1-point favorite Thursday. The Gaels went on a 9-minute, 51 seconds scoreless stretch from the 10:36 mark to 45 seconds left in the game, and hit just one field goal in the final 12 minutes. Senior G Tommy Kuhse leads Saint Mary’s in scoring (14.5 PPG), assists (5.5 APG) and steals (1.7 SPG).
Gonzaga is 6-1 in the last seven games vs. Saint Mary’s, including wins in the last three. The Zags, who swept last season’s series, beat the Gaels 84-66 in the WCC title game as 6-point favorites March 10, 2020.

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Gonzaga 92, Saint Mary’s 75

Money line (ML)

PASS. Gonzaga, which has a 17-game win streak dating back to last season, will remain undefeated. However, there’s no way you should ever bet a -2500 money line.

Against the spread (ATS)

GONZAGA -15.5 (-115) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Bulldogs have won their four conference games by margins of 23, 17, 28 and 25 points for an average of 23.3 PPG.

They won last season’s contest at Saint Mary’s 90-60. Expect the same type of result Saturday.

ATS: Gonzaga 6-6-1 | Saint Mary’s 6-7

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 145.5 (-110) is worth backing. Gonzaga leads the nation in scoring at 96.0 PPG and allows 73.2 PPG. Saint Mary’s averages 67.6 PPG and allows 61.0 PPG.

Gonzaga also leads the country in field-goal percentage at 55.4%.

O/U records: Gonzaga 7-6 | Saint Mary’s 5-8

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Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays	29-24 / 11-15
CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays	14-7 / 6-5
*2021 overall record (all sports)* / Strongest plays**	24-12 / 12-7
*2020 overall record (all sports)* / Strongest plays**	178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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