Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Utah Jazz (0-1) welcome the Golden State Warriors (1-0) to Delta Center Friday. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Jazz odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Warriors swept 4-0 last season

The Warriors, who traded G Klay Thompson to the Dallas Mavericks in July, opened their season with a dominant 140-104 victory at the Portland Trail Blazers Wednesday, covering as 7.5-point favorites with the Over (222.5) hitting. They poured in 20 triples — out of 48 attempts — for a 41.7% 3-point shooting percentage. G Buddy Hield led the Warriors with 22 points, including five 3’s.

The Jazz, who went 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread (ATS) during the preseason, lost in a heartbreaker to the Memphis Grizzlies 126-124 Wednesday, covering by the hook as 2.5-point home underdogs. F Lauri Markkanen dropped a game-high 35 points, hitting 9-for-15 from the field, 4-for-7 behind the 3-point line and 13 of 14 free throws. Utah — which went just 2-14 over their last 16 games to close the last regular season — had 7 players score double figures in the loss to Memphis.

Warriors at Jazz odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 5:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Warriors -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Jazz +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread: Warriors -2.5 (-115) | Jazz +2.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Warriors at Jazz key injuries

Warriors

  • G Stephen Curry (hip) questionable
  • F Draymond Green (knee) questionable
  • G De’Anthony Melton (chest) questionable

Jazz

  • G Isaiah Collier (hamstring) out
  • G Johnny Juzang (thumb) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Warriors at Jazz picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 121, Jazz 115

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no real rationale here to take the spread or the moneyline over the other.

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS -2.5 (-115).

The Warriors have many of the same key weapons from last season and were among the best road teams in the league a year ago. They were the second-best road ATS team, posting a 27-15 ATS record away from home. Golden State had a massive 36-point road win in its first game as well.

The Jazz played a close battle in their opener but had just 14 turnovers and shot 47.1% from the field. They gave up 126 points on 47.3% shooting to Memphis, and Golden State should have a more competent offense.

BACK WARRIORS -2.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 233.5 (-105).

Both teams can score, which they proved that in their season-opening games Wednesday. The Warriors blasted the Trail Blazers, and while they held Portland to just 104 points, the Trail Blazers don’t have an efficient offense, shooting 39.1% from the field and 23.5% from deep.

The Jazz will make a weaker Warriors defense pay far more than that. In the 4 games between these teams last season, the total was 3-1 O/U. Expect both teams to stay hot from behind the arc. TAKE OVER 233.5 (-105).

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Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (41-13) head to Salt Lake City Wednesday to play the Utah Jazz (33-21). The tip-off at Vivint Smart Home Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Warriors at Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State has won nine consecutive games (4-3-2 against the spread (ATS) with the latest being a 110-98 victory over the Thunder, pushing as 12-point road underdogs in OKC.

Utah is on a 3-game winning streak (2-1 ATS) with victories over the Nuggets, Nets and Knicks. Over the past two weeks, the Jazz are 3-3 straight up (SU) and 2-4 ATS with a minus-2.3 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

The Warriors have won four straight versus the Jazz (3-0-1 ATS) including both meetings earlier this season (123-116 New Year’s Day and 94-92 Jan. 23).

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA Feb. 9 breakdown

Warriors at Jazz odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Warriors +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Jazz -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +1.5 (-108) | Jazz -1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Warriors at Jazz key injuries

Warriors

  • PF Draymond Green (back) out
  • SF Andre Iguodala (back) out
  • SG Klay Thompson (injury management) out
  • James Wiseman (knee) out

Jazz

  • Rudy Gobert (calf) out
  • PF Rudy Gay (back) questionable
  • SF Joe Ingles (knee) out

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Warriors at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 118, Jazz 113

Money line

“LEAN” to the WARRIORS (+102) only because I prefer to take the points with Golden State.

Either way, the Warriors are the right side because they are playing much better and play better versus quality competition.

For instance, Golden State is 11-6 SU versus teams in the top-10 of efficiency differential (per CTG). The Warriors have the best adjusted net rating versus top-10 teams (plus-4.6), per CTG.

On the other hand, Utah is 6-9 SU versus top-10 teams with a minus-2.5 ATS margin, per CTG. The ATS margin applies to this game since it’s priced as a coin-flip.

Against the spread

BET the WARRIORS +1.5 (-108) for 1 unit based on the aforementioned rationale and since this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game with the “wiseguys” on Golden State.

According to Pregame.com, more than 60% of the cash is on the Warriors, but nearly 70% of the bets placed are on the Jazz. Typically, in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the money – especially when it’s fading the public.

Furthermore, Golden State is 15-7-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record (8-5 ATS on the road in those spots) and Utah is 6-15-1 ATS versus winning teams (3-9 ATS at home in those spots).

For the record, the WARRIORS +1.5 (-108) is my preferred bet in this contest.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 223.5 (-115) for a quarter-unit because I’m more comfortable with betting on the Warriors. Also, a majority of the market is betting the Over, and I hate following the herd in sports betting.

But, Golden State is 6-1 O/U in their last seven as underdogs, and the Over has cashed in eight of the past nine Warriors-Jazz meetings. Plus Utah’s defense has been mediocre since Gobert has been sidelined with a leg injury.

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