The Golden State Warriors (26-24) battle the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-26) Wednesday. Tip from Target Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors are coming off a 128-120 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder, covering as 5-point road favorites. They are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) over their last 4 games and 6-3 ATS over their last 9, improving to 24-25-1 ATS on the season. Golden State is led by 2-time MVP G Stephen Curry, who is averaging 29.7 points per game.
The Timberwolves are coming off a 118-111 home loss to the Sacramento Kings, failing to cover as a 1-point underdog. Minnesota is 6-2 ATS over its last 8 games and 25-28 ATS on the season. It is led in scoring by G Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 24.9 points per game.
Golden State recorded a 137-114 victory as a 1.5-point road favorite as the Over (237) connected when these teams had their first meeting on Nov. 27.
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Warriors at Timberwolves odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Timberwolves +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -3.5 (-115) | Timberwolves +3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 238.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Warriors at Timberwolves key injuries
Warriors
- None
Timberwolves
- C Rudy Gobert (groin) questionable
- C Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Timberwolves picks and predictions
Prediction
Timberwolves 119, Warriors 116
Moneyline
SPRINKLE TIMBERWOLVES (+140).
The Warriors have well-documented struggles on the road this season. They have the 3rd worst road record in the Association (6-18) while Minnesota is 18-11 at home.
There is some value in a partial-unit play on the TIMBERWOLVES (+140).
Against the spread
BET TIMBERWOLVES +3.5 (-105).
Minnesota plus the points is my preferred way to play this game. The Warriors are 8-16 ATS on the road this season while Minnesota is 15-14 ATS at home.
Golden State’s weakness is defensive efficiency, ranking 12th in the NBA in opponents’ field-goal percentage (46.9%) and 20th in opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (36.3%).
The Wolves are 4th in the NBA in field-goal percentage (49.2%) and should also abuse the Warriors on the glass. Make sure Gobert is playing prior to playing this, but if he’s active, his dominance on the glass should help them get enough extra opportunities to cover.
Back TIMBERWOLVES +3.5 (-105).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 238.5 (-115).
The Warriors rank first in pace while the Wolves are 7th. However, Minnesota is just 24-29 O/U this season and will be down one of its most efficient scorers with Towns sidelined.
The Timberwolves have gone Under in 4 straight games and are 3-7 O/U in their last 10, while the Warriors are 3-2-1 O/U in their last 6.
Considering the trends, back the UNDER 238.5 (-115).
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