The Los Angeles Lakers welcome the Golden State Warriors to Crypto.com Arena Saturday for Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinals series. The series is tied 1-1. Tip is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Lakers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors beat the Lakers 127-100 Thursday, covering as a 7-point home favorite. G Klay Thompson scored 30 points and hit 8 threes in 31 minutes of action. Golden State evened the series up at one game apiece following a 117-112 loss in Game 1 on Tuesday. Golden State is 4-5 against the spread (ATS) in 9 postseason games.
The Lakers wasted a 14-point 1st quarter from superstar F LeBron James in Game 2. He ended with 23 points on 10-for-18 shooting. The Lakers are 5-3 ATS in their 8 postseason games and are 3-1 ATS at home, only failing to cover at home as 8.5-point favorites in a 108-102 play-in win over the Minnesota Timberwolves in the play-in tournament on April 11.
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Warriors at Lakers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Lakers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +3.5 (-115) | Lakers -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Warriors at Lakers key injuries
Warriors
- None
Lakers
- F Anthony Davis (foot) probable
- F LeBron James (foot) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Lakers picks and predictions
Prediction
Lakers 119, Warriors 111
Moneyline
AVOID.
The Warriors’ lackluster road play all throughout the regular season is cause for concern, and their +125 moneyline is bound to be a public darling.
The Lakers’ (-165) moneyline is too pricey.
Against the spread
BET LAKERS -3.5 (-105).
The Warriors have been bad on the road this season and were 2-2 ATS on the road in the 1st round. Golden State is a league-worst 13-31 ATS on the road this season, including the playoffs. It also has yet to cover back-to-back games in the postseason.
The Lakers have not suffered back-to-back ATS losses this postseason. They should have what it takes to bounce back Saturday — especially at home where they are 24-21 ATS.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 227.5 (-110).
The postseason totals for both teams are split down the middle, going a combined 9-9 O/U in their 18 postseason games. However, the season-long trends including the postseason point to the Over. Golden State is 49-39-3 O/U this season while LA is 48-43-0 O/U.
These teams also rank 2nd (Warriors) and 5th (Lakers) in pace in the postseason and 1st and 4th respectively in the regular season. They should push the ball and score effectively. Back the OVER 227.5 (-110).
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