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The Golden State Warriors (14-9) take on the Houston Rockets (16-8) in a quarterfinal of the Emirates NBA Cup Wednesday. Tip-off from Toyota Center is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Warriors lead 2-0
The Warriors split a back-to-back — both at home — with the Minnesota Timberwolves with the latest being a 114-106 victory as 1.5-point favorites Sunday and the Over (216) cashing. G Stephen Curry had 30 points and 8 assists while going 5-for-11 from 3-point land. G Buddy Hield stepped up with 27 points while going 7-for-13 from deep. The Warriors defeated the Rockets Thursday 99-93, covering as 4-point home underdogs.
The Rockets won the final game on a 1-2 road trip Sunday when they took down the Los Angeles Clippers 117-106, covering as 3-point favorites with the Over (214.5) hitting. G Jalen Green scored a game-high 31 points, while F Amen Thompson knocked down a season-high 22 points with 8 boards and 4 assists. The Rockets have played 5 of the last 6 on the road and are 4-2 in that span.
Warriors at Rockets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 3:35 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rockets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +2.5 (-115) | Rockets -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Warriors at Rockets key injuries
Warriors
- G De’Anthony Melton (knee) out
- G Moses Moody (knee) out
- F Andrew Wiggins (ankle) questionable
Rockets
- C Steven Adams (knee) questionable
- C Alperen Sengun (knee) questionable
- G Cam Whitmore (wrist) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Rockets picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockets 108, Warriors 103
Moneyline
The Warriors (+110) have won 15 consecutive meetings with the Rockets, including twice this season without Curry. F Jonathan Kuminga stepped up with 33 and 23 points.
Yes, the Warriors have won 15 in a row in the head-to-head series, the second-longest win streak in the NBA for any team against an opponent — the New York Knicks are first with a 16-game run vs. the Detroit Pistons. The Rockets last beat the Warriors Feb. 20, 2020.
This time, it’s different. The Rockets are deeper, they’re 9-3 at home and have the second-best defensive rating in the game. They had 6 different players score in double figures in their last game. The Warriors just can’t depend on Hield to hit 7 3-pointers every night.
So, I’m going with the Rockets, but the spread is the better option. Instead, let’s take JONATHAN KUMINGA OVER 24.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS + ASSISTS. He went for 42 P+R+A Thursday against Houston.
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Against the spread
I’m going with ROCKETS -2.5 (-105) here at a better value than the -135 ML. Defense reigns supreme.
Over/Under
The Warriors are 2-8 O/U in their last 10, and the Rockets are 6-4. The Under is 5-3 in the last 8 meetings between the teams. This is the highest total in this matchup this season.
Take the UNDER 222.5 (-115).
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