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The Golden State Warriors (36-33) open a 5-game road trip Sunday against the Minnesota Timberwolves (48-22). Tip-off from Target Center is 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs, Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Timberwolves lead 2-0
The Warriors are 10th in the Western Conference, holding the final spot for the play-in games by a game and a half. They are coming off a 123-111 home loss to the Indiana Pacers on Friday when they were 4.5-point favorites. They have alternated wins and losses over the last 6 games.
The Timberwolves are 3rd in the West, 1 1/2 games out of 1st. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming off a 104-91 home win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday covering the 7.5-point spread as favorites.
Warriors at Timberwolves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Timberwolves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +2.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Warriors at Timberwolves key injuries
Warriors
- None to report
Timberwolves
- G Jaylen Clark (Achilles) out
- G Anthony Edwards (finger) questionable
- C Rudy Gobert (rib) questionable
- C Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Warriors at Timberwolves picks and predictions
Prediction
Timberwolves 109, Warriors 105
Moneyline
The Warriors have been very good on the road. They are 18-13 and have won 10 of their last 12 on the road.
The T-wolves are 24-9 at home but have lost 3 of their last 5 home games. They are 27-17 against teams with winning records while Golden State is 16-25 against winning teams.
You can bet the T-wolves -140 but with only a 2.5-point spread, you can get slightly better odds on an ATS wager.
PASS.
Against the spread
Only 1 of the Wolves’ last 16 wins has been by fewer than 3 points while the Warriors’ last 9 losses have been by 3 points or more.
Golden State, though, does have the best ATS road record in the league at 22-10. They are 11-6 ATS as road dogs.
The T-wolves are 12-15-2 ATS as home favorites, but considering the Warriors’ struggles against teams with winning records and the fact the T-wolves have won only once in their last 16 victories by fewer than 3 points, it’s hard to pick the Warriors to cover.
BET TIMBERWOLVES -2.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The total in their 2 previous meetings were 226 and 205.
The T-wolves have had 4 of their last 5 games stay below 220 total points while 4 straight games for the Warriors have had 220 or more.
Minnesota has held opponents to 104 or fewer points in 4 of their last 5.
BET UNDER 219.5 (-105).
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