In a featherweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Gabriel Benitez and Billy Quarantillo meet at UFC on ESPN 26 at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 26 Benitez vs. Quarantillo odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims start at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET.
Benitez, a.k.a. “Moggly”, stopped a two-bout skid with a first-round KO/TKO win over Justin Jaynes last time out Dec. 5. Three of the southpaw’s past four fights have finished inside the distance with two knockout wins and one loss via KO/TKO. Six of his 10 fights have resulted in stoppages since he entered the UFC.
Quarantillo was 3-0 across his first three fights at the UFC level, but he suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Gavin Tucker at UFC 256 Dec. 12, in his most recent showing. Six of his past eight professional fights have finished inside the distance including two of his four fights for UFC.
UFC on ESPN 26 Benitez vs. Quarantillo: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Benitez -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Quarantillo +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -185 | Under +150)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -150 | No +125)
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UFC on ESPN 26 Benitez vs. Quarantillo: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Benitez 22-9-0 | Quarantillo 15-3-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
QUARANTILLO (+140) is worth playing as the moderate underdog in this battle. He holds a 7.03-to-4.38 significant strikes landed per minute advantage while also being quite a bit more accurate. Quarantillo owns a 71.54-to-42.25 significant strikes accuracy percentage lead, and he also has the advantage on the ground, too.
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Over/Under (O/U)
The first fight on the main card figures to be a slugfest, and you can expect this bout to go the distance. Two of Quarantillo’s past three fights have needed the judges to make a decision. I think QUARANTILLO ON POINTS (+280) is worth the playing, for a chance to nearly triple up.
In addition, YES (-150): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is also a decent small-unit play.
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