The No. 25 UTSA Roadrunners (7-6) meet the San Diego State Aztecs (6-6) at the Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl Tuesday at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the UTSA vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
UTSA had its undefeated season spoiled by North Texas in the regular-season finale in Denton Nov. 27, falling 45-23. The Roadrunners rebounded with a 49-41 win over Western Kentucky in the Conference USA championship game at the Alamodome Dec. 3.
The Aztecs were destroyed, 46-13, by Utah State in the Mountain West championship game Dec. 4 as 6.5-point favorites as the Over cashed. While San Diego State has won four of the past five games, it is still just 1-4-1 ATS across the past six outings overall.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
UTSA vs. San Diego State odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: UTSA +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | San Diego State -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): UTSA +2.5 (+100) | San Diego State -2.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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UTSA vs. San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions
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Prediction
San Diego State 26, UTSA 20
Money line
SAN DIEGO STATE (-155) is the play in this one. UTSA (+125) was just one game away from an undefeated season, and they had a top-tier offense during the regular season.
However, star RB Sincere McCormick, who rolled up 1,479 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns, has declared for the NFL Draft and opted out. That’s a huge loss for the Roadrunners.
Against the spread
Take SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5 (-125) laying two-and-a-half. While the Aztecs were horrific in the MWC title game, they’ll bounce back nicely, using its defense to top the Roadrunners here. I am concerned about UTSA’s offense, as I think they’ll have a hard time adjusting without its top player.
Over/Under
The play is the UNDER 48.5 (-107). UTSA was going to have trouble moving the ball even with McCormick, as San Diego State ranks 14th in the country with 319.6 total yards allowed per game. It’s second in the nation with just 77.6 rushing yards per game allowed, so QB Frank Harris will have difficulty trying to solve SDSU, too.
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