Fresno State at San Jose State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Fresno State at San Jose State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Fresno State Bulldogs (8-3, 5-2 MWC) travel to CEFCU Stadium for a Thanksgiving Day game against the San Jose State Spartans (5-6, 3-4) Thursday. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Fresno State vs. San Jose State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Spartans are 3-2 at home this season, so their main struggles have been on the road. San Jose is 5-6 against the spread (ATS) and 6-5 on the over/under (O/U).

Fresno State has rewarded bettors with a 7-4 ATS record this season. The Bulldogs rely heavily on the nation’s 9th-best aerial attack that registers 328.5 yards per game. Fresno State is 5-6 O/U.

Fresno State at San Jose State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Fresno State -290 (bet $290 to win $100) | San Jose State +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Fresno State -7.5 (-102) | San Jose State 7.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Fresno State at San Jose State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Fresno State 34, San Jose State 24

Money line

PASS on the money line.

I don’t quite envision an upset, but Fresno State backers should still be reluctant to take -290 odds.

Against the spread

BET on FRESNO STATE -7.5 (-102) was it’s getting the less juice, yet the Bulldogs appear to be the better side.

San Jose’s defense may not be able to stop the passing game as it ranks just 63rd in the county in passing yards allowed per game with 225.9.

Fresno State has the way more impressive schedule as well, taking down San Diego State by 10, UCLA by 3 and losing to Oregon by just 7.

Given fans should be as confident in what San Jose’s 5-6 record shows, I’d back the team that’s looked better and should be able to move the ball with ease.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 52.5 (-107) as San Jose’s offense can also pass at a capable rate, and its turnovers have been limited this season.

Hanging onto the ball is crucial to both staying in games and racking up the points and both teams do a good job with that and have recorded 12 or fewer turnovers.

Both defenses give up around 21 points per game, yet Fresno State’s pace-pushing offense puts up 33 points per game.

Given this should be a high-volume game in terms of passing, I’d lean towards the over for a small unit.

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