The 3-seed Fordham Rams (25-7) face the 2-seed Dayton Flyers (21-11) Saturday for a semifinal game in the A-10 Tournament. Tip-off from Barclays Center is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Fordham vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
The Rams picked up a 69-61 win over La Salle Thursday, covering as 6-point favorites as the Under (139.5) cashed.
The Flyers edged St. Joseph’s 60-54 in their quarterfinal meeting Thursday but failed to cover as 10.5-point favorites as the Under (135) connected.
Dayton came away with an 82-58 win as a 7.5-point road favorite in these programs’ lone regular-season meeting on Jan. 10. The Over (126) cashed comfortably.
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Fordham vs. Dayton odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Fordham +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Dayton -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Fordham +6.5 (-110) | Dayton -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Fordham vs. Dayton picks and predictions
Prediction
Dayton 70, Fordham 65
Moneyline
Dayton (-270) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward. Even if you include the Flyers in a multi-team parlay, they would suck all the value out of the ticket.
AVOID.
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Against the spread
FORDHAM +6.5 (-110) was atrocious in the only regular-season meeting between these teams, but the longtime A-10 doormat Rams have played great basketball recently.
The Rams are 11-4 ATS in their past 15 games overall while going 5-2 ATS in their last 7 against teams with a winning overall record. Fordham is also 9-2 ATS in the past 11 neutral-site games.
Dayton is just 1-3 ATS in the past 4 games overall and 1-6 ATS in the past 7 neutral-site games. The Flyers should still win, but a one-possession game wouldn’t be shocking.
Over/Under
OVER 130.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 games for Fordham, but the Under is 8-1 in the past 9 games for Dayton. The Over is 12-5 in the past 17 neutral-site games for the Flyers though, and the total did go high in the only regular-season meeting between these teams.
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