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The Philadelphia Flyers (2-6-1) and Boston Bruins (4-4-1) meet Tuesday at TD Garden. The opening puck drop will be at 7 p.m. (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Flyers vs. Bruins odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; Boston won last season’s series 2-1-0
Philadelphia last played on Sunday, losing 4-3 at home to the Montreal Canadiens after a Saturday-night win (7-5 vs. Minnesota Wild) on home ice. Prior to Saturday, the Flyers had lost 6 straight (0-5-1).
The Bruins head into Tuesday’s game after 2 straight off days following a 4-3 overtime win over the Toronto Maple Leafs Saturday. And that triumph snapped a 3-game skid (0-2-1) for Boston. The Bruins allowed just 23 shots on goal, a season-low, in Saturday’s win over the Leafs.
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Flyers at Bruins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at Monday at 6:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Flyers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Bruins -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (-150) | Bruins -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Flyers at Bruins projected goalies
Samuel Ersson (2-2-1, 3.56 GAA, 0.872 SV%) vs. Jeremy Swayman (3-3-1, 2.97 GAA, .900 SV%)
Ersson coughed up 5 goals in 26 shots in the club’s Saturday game. Since stopping 24 of 26 pucks in his Oct. 11 season debut, he has clocked a mere .862 SV%.
Swayman also toiled on Saturday, making 20 saves against 23 Toronto shots. He notched a .925 SV% across 4 games from Oct. 12-22, but has logged a mere .870 SV% in 2 games since.
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Flyers at Bruins picks and predictions
Prediction
Bruins 3, Flyers 2
Moneyline
PASS: The Puck Line offers better relative value in this matchup.
Puck line/Against the spread
Philadelphia opened the season with a West Coast road trip and has overall played a tough slate so far. The Flyers have been undone by a shaky .851 SV% in 5-on-5 play, but Philly is the value side on the puck line with the way its priced.
Overall, the Flyers’ goals for and allowed vs. expected tell a story of a club that may not be over-.500, but not one struggling to the degree it has so far.
Both clubs have had their share of penalty problems, and the Bruins have struggled on the kill, at least in spurts. And just overall, Boston has let a lot of pucks fly toward its net of late. The Bruins have allowed 32-plus shots in 3 of their last 4 games.
BACK THE FLYERS +1.5 (-150).
Over/Under
The goalie matchup could be one that settles with a higher total before puck drop. And it’d be tempting to wait out a potential move to a total of 6.5.
The analytics and the lack of high-danger juice (neither side generates many quality attempts from the slot) point to a game landing on 4 or 5 goals being enough of a probability to make the UNDER 6 (-110) worth a look.
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