The Florida State Seminoles (20-3, 10-2 ACC) travel to Durham, N.C., to battle the Duke Blue Devils (20-3, 10-2) Monday at 7 p.m. ET at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Both teams are coming off emotional wins over rivals. We analyze the Florida State-Duke odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.
Florida State at Duke: Three things you need to know
1. FSU defeated Miami 99-81 Saturday. The eighth-ranked Seminoles (USA TODAY sports men’s basketball coaches poll) have lost just once since Dec. 3. FSU has been on fire from long distance, racking up nine 3’s per game and shooting a robust 41.1% from beyond the arc since the beginning of January. The triples and a fast pace of play have the Seminoles averaging 86.0 points per game over their last half-dozen contests.
2. The No. 7 Blue Devils are coming off an overtime, buzzer-beater win on the road at North Carolina Saturday. Duke hasn’t played at home since Jan. 28. The Blue Devils have logged an effective field-goal percentage (accounts for 33.3% on 3-pointers and 50% on 2-pointers having the same value) over 55% in 8 of 12 home games this season and in 4 of the team’s last 5.
3. The trey-launching Seminoles have their work cut out for them against a Duke defense which is elite in defending the 3-pointer. Over the Devils’ current five-game win streak, they’ve held foes to a 22.1% accuracy mark from 3-point land.
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Florida State at Duke: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Duke 82, Florida State 71
Moneyline (ML)
PASS. Duke is too costly at -400 – every $4 wagered on the Duke ML will profit $1 if it wins. Florida State is +310, offering a little bit more than a 3-to-1 profit if it prevails.
Against the Spread (ATS)
The ‘Noles are 0-3 ATS against teams averaging more than 77.0 PPG. The Blue Devils are 10-6 ATS when playing teams over .500.
DUKE -8.5 (-106) is a solid play. Look for a Blue Devils’ advantage on 3-pointers and free throws with the home team piling up enough to cover.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over is: 4-1 over FSU’s last five road games … 10-3 in Duke home games … a combined 19-6 when FSU or Duke are in games totaled between 140-149.5.
Threes and free throws add up. Look for a total near 150 with 90 seconds remaining. Back the OVER 148.5 (-106).
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