Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Panthers (27-24-6) make the 3rd stop on a 4-game road trip against the Washington Capitals (28-22-6) Thursday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Capitals odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers were stomped 6-2 by the St. Louis Blues Tuesday, getting no love on Valentine’s Day. Florida will be glad to get back to facing Eastern Conference teams, as the Panthers are 5-1-2 across the past 8 games against teams from the East.

The Capitals are playing shorthanded right now, as superstar LW Alex Ovechkin has returned to Russia due to the death of his father. To make matters worse, RW Tom Wilson is sidelined due to a lower-body ailment, and key players D John Carlson and C Nic Dowd are also on the shelf with injuries, too.

Washington has dropped its last 2 games — both at home — falling 4-1 to the San Jose Sharks Sunday and 3-2 Carolina Hurricanes Tuesday. The Caps are averaging just 2 goals per game across the past 8 outings, and unsurprisingly the Under is 5-1-1 in the previous 7 contests.

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Panthers at Capitals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Panthers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Capitals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers -1.5 (+180) | Capitals +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Panthers at Capitals projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (15-14-2, 3.05 GAA, .905 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Darcy Kuemper (16-15-4, 2.59 GAA, .915 SV%, 5 SO)

February is just a little over halfway completed, but Bobrovsky is enjoying his finest month of the season, by far. He is 3-1-0 with a 1.73 GAA and .951 SV% across 4 starts, allowing just 1 goal in 3 of those assignments.

Bob allowed just 2 goals on 43 starts in a 5-2 victory against the Capitals in Sunrise back on Nov. 15.

Kuemper was nipped by the Hurricanes on Tuesday, allowing 3 goals on 30 shots. He has alternated losses and wins across his past 5 starts and has allowed just 4 goals on 58 shots with a 2.03 GAA and .931 SV% in 2 February assignments.

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Panthers at Capitals picks and predictions

Prediction

Panthers 3, Capitals 2

Moneyline

The PANTHERS (-120) are installed as road favorites against the shorthanded Capitals despite that the Cats are 0-6 in the past 6 tries against Metropolitan Division squads. However, Florida is a solid 5-2 in the previous 7 outings when playing on a day of rest and has also won 4 straight meetings in this series.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Capitals +1.5 (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return if you would like some insurance on the shorthanded home side. That’s too much risk, especially with a handful of stars in street clothes in the press box or out of the country.

AVOID.

Over/Under

The UNDER 6.5 (+100) might be the best play on the board, even if the head-to-head trends indicate otherwise.

The Over is 6-1 in the past 7 meetings between these teams in D.C., and 12-3 in the previous 15 overall in the series. However, Washington wasn’t missing most of its top scoring line, a key center and half of its top defensive pairing in those games.

Kuemper will give the Caps a chance to hang in the game. Washington has cashed the Under at a 5-1-1 clip in the past 7 games overall while going 6-0-1 in the past 7 home games.

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Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals Game 6 odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Panthers will try to eliminate the Washington Capitals in  Game 6 of their 1st-round Eastern Conference playoff series Friday. Florida leads 3-2. Puck drop from Capital One Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TBS).  Below, we look at the Panthers vs. Capitals odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Panthers won Game 4 in OT and we felt like that was their awakening to dominate Game 5. They did. After getting down 3-0 early, the Panthers  poured it on in the final 34 minutes to win 5-3. C Carter Verhaeghe has dominated with 4 goals and 3 assists in the last 2 games.

Capitals’ All-Star RW Tom Wilson (lower body) is out again. He has points in each game, but LW Alex Ovechkin has been quiet with just 1 power-play goal in the series on 18 shots. His lack of a spark has been one of the stories of this series, and frankly, Washington could have won it in 5 games.

The Panthers are 0-for-16 on the power play in the 5 games, but continue to grind out wins. They have had 10 players light the lamp in the series.

Panthers at Capitals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:39 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Panthers -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Capitals +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Panthers -1.5 (+130) | Capitals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -140 | U: +112)

Panthers at Capitals projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (39-7-3, 2.67 GAA, .913 SV%, 3 SO – regular season) vs. Ilya Samsonov (23-12-5, 3.02 GAA, .896 SV%, 3 SO – regular season)

Bobrovsky continued his solid play with 30 saves on 33 shots in Game 5. According to MoneyPuck, he has been the 4th-best goalie in the playoffs with 2.4 goals saved above expected. He has a 2.78 GAA and a .902 SV% in the series, which are on par with what he did in the regular season.

Samsonov provided a spark when he emerged in Game 2, but Florida has progressively gotten to him more. He has allowed 1, 3 and 5 goals in the last 3 games, but he is still 5th among playoff goalies with 2.3 goals saved above expected. He has a 2.68 GAA and a .923 SV%, which has kept his team in the series.

[tipico]

Panthers at Capitals picks and predictions

Prediction

Panthers 5, Capitals 2

Money line

Caps RW T.J. Oshie has picked up the slack with 5 goals in the series, but it can’t just be him scoring. There’s a chance the home crowd gets behind Washington and they stay alive. However, the Panthers have 2 colossal comeback wins in a row. They move on Friday, but we’ll PASS on the -175.

Against the spread

The Panthers know this series has been closer than it should have been, and they’re looking to put this one away. Washington can’t hang with them offensively, and Florida has to be feeling good after dropping 5 goals in the back half of Game 5.

LEAN PANTHERS -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 in Washington and 10-3 in the last 13 overall between these teams. The Panthers sense blood, and they’ll start quick and try to put this one away early. Go lightly because both teams have been inconsistent offensively, but LEAN OVER 6.5 (-140).

Or if you’d like to wait until after the puck drops to catch an in-game “live” bet at either Over 6.5 at plus-money or catch an Over 5.5, that was successful a lot in the regular season with Florida games.

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Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals Game 4 odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Panthers (1-2) and Washington Capitals (2-1) face off Monday in Game 4 of their 1st-round Eastern Conference playoff series. Puck drop from Capital One Arena is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TBS).  Below, we look at the Panthers vs. Capitals odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Panthers laid an egg in Game 3 and find themselves in danger of going down 3-1 in the nation’s capital. Panthers stud LW Jonathan Huberdeau got them on the board less than 3 minutes into the game, but they were outscored 6-0 in the final 57 minutes of the game.

A glaring problem for Florida is that it’s now 0-for-9 on the power play in the series. It’ll need to tweak some things to get back in this series.

Capitals goaltender “Sammy” was born as G Ilya Samsonov but had the fans rally around him chanting his name en route to his first career playoff win.  LW Alex Ovechkin and RW T.J. Oshie scored power-play tallies to lead the charge. All-Star RW Tom Wilson missed Game 3, and his status for Game 4 is in serious doubt after missing Sunday’s optional skate with a lower-body injury.

Panthers at Capitals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.

  • Money line: Panthers -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Capitals +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Panthers -1.5 (+133) | Capitals +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -140 | U: +112)

Panthers at Capitals projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (39-7-3, 2.67 GAA, .913 SV%, 3 SO – regular season) vs. Ilya Samsonov (23-12-5, 3.02 GAA, .896 SV%, 3 SO – regular season)

Bobrovsky took a big step back in Game 3 after a strong 2 games at home. He allowed 5 goals on 30 shots. His numbers weren’t as good on the road during the regular season with a 2.81 GAA and .903 SV% while having a 2.57 GAA and .918 SV% at home.

It wouldn’t be a big surprise if they had him on a super short leash or went to G Spencer Knight for this game. He was better on the road with an 11-6-3 record, a 2.50 GAA and .913 SV% against an 8-3-0 record, 3.41 GAA and .899 SV% at home.

Samsonov is the guy now after stopping 29 of 30 shots in the Game 3 win. He was 1-1 against Florida this season with a whopping 11 goals allowed on 91 shots for an .879 SV%. While the numbers aren’t good, the confidence boost after falling behind 1-0 early in Game 3 and shutting the door can’t be ignored.

[tipico]

Panthers at Capitals picks and predictions

Prediction

Capitals 4, Panthers 3

Money line

The Panthers will respond, but they entered these playoffs as the top seed you’d put the least amount of faith in because of their issues keeping teams off the scoreboard.

They can’t execute a power play while the Caps have scored on the PP in each game and are 4-for-12 overall. You have to be able to grind the tight games out in playoff hockey and they haven’t proven that yet. LEAN CAPITALS (+145).

Against the spread

We hit on the Caps’ puck line in Game 3, and I expect this one to cash again. However, the value is on the money line, and the Capitals +1.5 (-170) are a little out of my price range. PASS.

Over/Under

The Under missed in Game 3 because of a Caps goal with under a minute to go in a game that was already in hand. Some bad luck there, but the Under hit in the previous two.

The Panthers are going to throw the kitchen sink at the Caps offensively. However, Washington’s attack has been spread out so well with a crazy 10 players with a goal. They survive a thriller that might need OT. LEAN OVER 6.5 (-140), but go lightly as this series has been pretty unpredictable as far as O/U goes.

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Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals Game 3 odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Panthers (1-1) and Washington Capitals (1-1) face off Saturday in Game 3 of their 1st-round Eastern Conference playoff series. Puck drop from Capital One Arena is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN).  Below, we look at the Panthers vs. Capitals odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Panthers got back into the series with a 5-1 onslaught at home in Game 2 Thursday. C Aleksander Barkov had a goal and an assist to lead the charge. The Panthers are 0-for-6 with the man advantage in the series after they were fifth in the league on the power play.

The Caps are in a pickle with All-Star RW Tom Wilson questionable with a lower-body injury. Wilson left midway through the first period of Game 2 and didn’t return. LW Alex Ovechkin has just 2 assists in the series, but he has 9 shots on goal. He’ll need to carry the load in this one, and he had 50 points at home and 40 on the road this season.

Panthers at Capitals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Panthers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Capitals +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Panthers -1.5 (+112) | Capitals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -140 | U: +112)

Panthers at Capitals projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (39-7-3, 2.67 GAA, .913 SV%, 3 SO – regular season) vs. Vitek Vanecek (20-12-6, 2.67 GAA, .908 SV%, 4 SO – regular season)

Bobrovsky was thought to be one of the biggest question marks entering this series, but he was pretty solid in the first two games. He has stopped 60 of 64 shots with a .938 SV%. His numbers dipped a bit on the road with a 2.81 GAA and .903 SV% during the regular season – he posted a 2.57 GAA and .918 SV% at home.

Vanecek will likely be on a short leash after allowing 5 goals on 19 shots in Game 2. He has a 4.21 GAA and a .863 SV% in the series. His numbers were slightly worse at home this year, which means he won’t have much of an advantage on home ice.

[tipico]

Panthers at Capitals picks and predictions

Prediction

Capitals 3, Panthers 2

Money line

A lot of this decision will hinge on whether Wilson can make it back. The Panthers are a high-scoring team, and the Caps will have to keep a lid on that in order to win.

The Caps have won 4 of the last 7 in the series, but they don’t have a great chance in the series if Wilson can’t make it back.

PASS for now, but if Wilson can go, CAPITALS (+155) is juicy.

Against the spread

There’s a solid price on Washington with a goal of insurance. Before these 2 games in the head-to-head series, the previous 5 were decided by a single goal.

If you’re picking the Caps to win, or if you don’t feel they have enough to get it done, CAPITALS +1.5 (-140) has a decent shot to cash.

Over/Under

The Under has hit in the first 2 games, and there’s some incentive for it to hit a third time at +112.

The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 Florida playoff games as the favorite. The Under is also 4-0-1 in the last five Washington games in the conference quarterfinals.

That’s enough trends for me to sign off on UNDER 6.5 (+112).

Watch: ESPN+ has become a must-have for hockey fans. Get access to more than 1,000 out-of-market NHL games, 75 weekly national games, and more all season. Sign up for ESPN+ now!

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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