The Florida Gators (6-6) and No. 16 Oregon State Beavers (9-3) clash in the 2022 Las Vegas Bowl Saturday at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Kickoff will be at 2:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Florida vs. Oregon State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Florida lost its last 2 regular-season games and is 2-4 over its last 6. The Gators’ defense has scuffled, allowing 40 or more points in 3 of those 4 setbacks. The UF defense finished the season with 28.8 points allowed per game, 11th in the SEC.
Oregon State — ranked 14th in the College Football Playoff rankings — is on a more solid trend line. The Beavers are 5-1 straight up and 6-0 against the spread over their last 6 games. Four of those covers were by double-digit margins for a squad that improved quite a bit on defense this season. The Beavers head into Saturday ranked 20th in the nation in defending the run (114.0 yards per game).
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Florida vs. Oregon State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Florida +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Oregon State -330 (bet $330 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida +8 (-108) | Oregon State -8 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53 (O: -109 | U: -111)
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Florida vs. Oregon State picks and predictions
Prediction
Oregon State 31, Florida 24
Moneyline
Florida has a lot of players sitting this one out, and that includes starting QB Anthony Richardson. In steps Ohio State transfer QB Jack Miller as the signal caller. It’s still a talented UF roster hitting the field in Las Vegas, but perhaps one without much significant depth.
Oregon State may have a motivational edge here, and the Beavers have the run game to exploit a weakness in Florida’s defense.
Still, this number is a big lean toward OSU that has grown even bigger as we get nearer to kickoff. Consider a line watch and take Florida at +320 or better to capitalize on value, otherwise AVOID.
Against the spread
Florida’s talent base and prep time make, coupled with just too big of a line here which makes the GATORS +8 (-108) a small-confidence play.
Over/Under
Too much gray area with talent sitting this one out. There are some Over signals, but when you adjust for absences the game flow figures to make for a lot of running.
PASS.
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