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The FIU Golden Panthers (3-2, 0-2 CUSA) and the New Mexico State Aggies (2-3, 0-1) meet Wednesday at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, N.M. for a Conference USA clash. Kickoff is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the FIU vs. New Mexico State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Golden Panthers were smacked back down to Earth last time out on Sept. 23, falling 38-6 at home against Liberty. That setback halted a 3-game win streak, including covers in the previous 2, both against FBS opponents. The Under is 4-1 in 5 games, including both games inside Conference USA.
The Aggies have alternated losses and wins all season, losing last time out at Hawaii on Sept. 23 by a 20-17 score, pushing at most shops as the Under (55.5) comfortably connected. New Mexico State has hit the Under in the past 3 games, after opening with a pair of Over results.
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FIU at New Mexico State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): FIU +188 (bet $100 to win $188) | New Mexico State -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): FIU +6.5 (-115) | New Mexico State -6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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FIU at New Mexico State picks and predictions
Prediction
New Mexico State 29, FIU 23
Moneyline
New Mexico State (-230) will cost you nearly 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too risky.
FIU (+188) beat UConn in their most recent road game on Sept. 16, winning 24-17 as a 7-point underdog. It also covered against Louisiana Tech in a 22-17 loss in the opener. However, the Golden Panthers struggle to stop the run, allowing 214.0 yards per game, while yielding 447.8 total yards overall.
On the flip side, the Aggies have rolled up 202.2 yards per game on the ground, and that’s the biggest key in determining a winner in this game.
Against the spread
FIU +6.5 (-115) is a strong play, but play it lightly. If FIU was to get to a flat 7, or an even more favorable 7 and a hook, go a little more aggressively then.
The Golden Panthers have covered both games on the road this season. The Aggies are just 1-1 ATS in 2 games at home, while going 2-1-1 ATS in the past 4 games overall.
Over/Under
OVER 48.5 (-110) is the play, but go very lightly.
The Under has hit in 3 in a row for New Mexico State, as the defense has been much better lately. However, QB Diego Pavia and the offense has been much improved. He has completed 63.9% of his pass attempts for 1,073 yards, 10 TD and 4 INT, and he also leads the team with 270 rushing yards.
The Aggies will be able to move the ball at will against the leaky defense of the Golden Panthers. FIU has also cashed the Under in the past 2 games, but it has yielded 38 or more points in 2 of the past 3 games, too. This game should resemble FIU’s 46-39 win against North Texas, as neither team is very good defensively, but it has capable offense.
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