The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-0 overall, 3-0 ACC) visit the Pittsburgh Panthers (3-3, 2-3) Saturday at Heinz Field for a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff (on ABC). Below, we analyze the Notre Dame-Pittsburgh college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The Fighting Irish are No. 3 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh: Betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Notre Dame -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Pittsburgh +305 (bet $100 to win $305)
- Against the spread/ATS: Notre Dame -10.5 (-110) | Pittsburgh +10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh: Three things to know
- The Irish, 1-3 ATS and 2-2 O/U, escaped an upset bid by visiting Louisville with a 12-7 victory last Saturday. QB Ian Book‘s 13-yard rushing touchdown run late in the third quarter gave Notre Dame – a 15-point favorite – the lead for good. He threw for only 106 yards and finished with 47 yards on the ground, while RB Kyren Williams tallied 127 rushing yards on 25 carries. A big key was the Irish’s ability to control the clock. They had the ball for 36:15, including a game-ending, 14-play drive that ran out the final 7:55.
- The Panthers, 1-4-1 ATS and 4-2 O/U, are on a three-game skid after starting the season 3-0. Last week as the underdogs, they lost to then-No. 12 Miami 31-19, failing to cover the 11.5-point line by a hook. Pitt’s previous two losses were by one point each (31-30 in OT at Boston College and 30-29 vs. NC State). Starting QB Kenny Pickett missed the Miami game after injuring his ankle vs. BC. It’s still unknown if he’ll play Saturday. Redshirt freshman Joey Yellen, an Arizona State transfer, played vs. Miami and completed 22 of 46 passes for 277 yards and a TD.
- The Irish beat the Panthers 19-14 in their last meeting (Oct. 13, 2018) but didn’t cover the 21-point spread. Notre Dame is 5-1 in its last six vs. Pitt, which last beat the Irish 28-21 (three head-to-head meetings ago) at home on Nov. 9, 2013.
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Notre Dame at Pittsburgh: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks
Prediction
Notre Dame 31, Pittsburgh 20
Money line (ML)
AVOID. Notre Dame will win, but the -400 price isn’t a good bet. Laying four times your potential return is not wise. It will take a $4 bet just to win $1 when backing the Notre Dame ML. No thanks. PASS.
Against the spread (ATS)
No matter who plays QB for Pitt, the 10.5-point line is right where it should be. As mentioned above, both teams are losing money for their ATS backers with Notre Dame 1-3 ATS and Pittsburgh 1-4-1. PASS here, too.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 43.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1.5 times your usual wager. The number is low because of Notre Dame’s 12-7 victory in last week’s win. The Irish should get in the end zone at least four times, and as long as the Panthers score two TDs, that’s 42 points.
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| Johnny’s 2020 CFB record / Strongest plays | 1-4 / 0-1 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 121-94-3 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 60-36-1 |
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