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The Indiana Fever (20-19) and the Washington Mystics (13-26) meet Thursday in the regular-season finale at Capital One Arena in Washington D.C. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dream vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Fever lead 2-1
The Fever edged the lowly Dallas Wings 110-109 on Sunday, not coming close to covering as a 9.5-point favorite. Indiana has won just 2 of the past 5 games, while going 0-5-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 outings. The Over is 6-2 across the previous 8 contests.
Washington is playing for the 8th and final seed in the playoffs, and it must get past Indiana to possibly make it. It is currently tied with the Chicago Sky, 1 game back of the Atlanta Dream. If 2 teams are tied for the final spot, the tiebreaker is head-to-head record. Washington is 2-2 against Atlanta, while going 3-1 against Chicago.
If all 3 teams are tied for the final spot, the determining factor is record against teams with a winning mark. As it stands, an Atlanta loss, and wins by both Chicago and Washington, would eliminate the Dream.
An Atlanta loss, Washington win and Chicago loss would result in a tie between the Dream and Mystics. Atlanta holds that tiebreaker due to a better record against teams of .500 or better, which is the 3-way tiebreaker.
The Mystics have won just once in the 3 regular-season meetings, but Washington took an 89-84 decision in Indianapolis on July 10 as a 7-point underdog as the Over (168) cashed.
Rookie Caitlin Clark had 29 points, 13 assists, 5 rebounds and 5 steals with 5 3-pointers in the most recent meeting July 10. She is averaging 25.7 PPG, 8.3 APG, 8.3 RPG and 4.3 SPG with 4.7 3PT per game in 3 meetings this season with Washington.
Fever at Mystics odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:39 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Fever +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mystics -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Fever +2.5 (-115) | Mystics -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 164.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Fever at Mystics picks and predictions
Prediction
Mystics 86, Fever 81
Moneyline
WASHINGTON (-140) is playing for the 8th and final seed in the playoffs, and it must get past Indiana (+115) to do it. The Fever managed to hold off the Phoenix Mercury for the 6th seed, but they’re looking to build momentum heading into the playoffs.
The Mystics are at home, however, and that will help them get the job done, although it remains to be seen if they’ll qualify for the playoffs or not.
Against the spread
WASHINGTON -2.5 (-105) is worth playing lightly. The Mystics are 2-1 ATS in 3 meetings this season, while going 3-1 ATS in the past 4 home games against Indiana +2.5 (-115).
The Mystics are 5-2 ATS in the past 7 games, while going 9-3 ATS in the previous 12 outings, too. On the flip side, the Fever are 0-5-1 ATS in the previous 6 contests.
Over/Under
OVER 164.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The Over has cashed at a 6-2 clip in the past 8 games for Indiana, and it has gone for triple digits in 4 of those outings.
While the Over seems like a slam-dunk play based on the info above, the Under is 5-0 in the past 5 games for Washington, while going 9-3 in the previous 12 outings, so be careful.
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