FC Dallas (6 wins, 4 losses, 5 draws) welcomes Nashville SC (8-3-4) to Toyota Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
Nashville SC sits 2nd in the Eastern Conference but at +12, it does have the conference’s best goal differential. It is led by F Hany Mukhtar, who has 9 goals in 15 matches. It is coming off a 3-1 win over the Crew at home, has won 3 straight games and 5 of its last 6. Nashville hasn’t lost since April 15.
FC Dallas, on the other hand, is led by F Jesus Ferreira, who has 9 goals in 15 matches as well. It sits 4 on the Western Conference table and is coming off a 2-1 loss to Sporting KC. FC Dallas is 2-1-2 over its last 5 games. It is 4-1-2 at home this season.
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FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: FC Dallas +138 (bet $100 to win $138) | Nashville SC +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +200
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +100 | U: -145)
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FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC picks and predictions
Prediction
FC Dallas 1, Nashville SC 1
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+200).
FC Dallas has drawn 2 of its last 3 games and 3 of its last 6 games. It has been within 1 expected goal of its opponent in every home game this season, so it has consistently played to the level of its competition despite often coming out on top at home. It will be at home but taking on a superior Nashville side.
Nashville has drawn 2 of 6 road matches and 2 of its last 7 matches in general. It has been within 0.3 expected goals of its opponent in every away game.
Considering both teams have played to the level of their opponent in this situation, take the DRAW (+200).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-145).
Both teams sit outside the top 13 in shots on target, so neither side has been overly aggressive in getting opportunities. They both sit outside the top 13 in shooting percentage as well.
Couple that with Nashville SC’s mere 10 goals allowed, and the Under seems like the better play. Nashville has gone Under in 9 of 15 games this season as well.
FC Dallas is allowing just 1.07 goals per game. It has gone Under in 4 of its last 6 games and has been held to just 1 goal in 4 of its last 5. FC Dallas has allowed under 1 expected goal in 5 straight games.
Put it all together and take the UNDER 2.5 (-145).
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