Tyler Higbee ready to step up for the Rams

Tyler Higbee enters the best situation of his career.

Tyler Higbee is certainly no newcomer entering his  sixth season with the Los Angeles Rams, but there are reasons why it should be his best. His first three seasons were mediocre with never more than 25 catches, but then he turned into Cinderella for 2019. Through Week 12, Higbee had just another ho-hum season with a catch or two in each game. Then, he suddenly blew up in epic proportions for the next month and ended with a career-best 69 catches for 734 yards and three touchdowns.

Tyler Higbee, 2019 season

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

That helped win a few fantasy championships to waiver wire hounds who caught him early and rode him on in. Last season calmed down, with only 44 catches for 521 yards and five scores. Still better than any of his first three seasons, but only good enough to rank No. 18 last year.  That was a  disappointment coming off his record year as the No. 8 fantasy tight end.

Higbee became more interesting this season when the Rams let Gerald Everett leave for Seattle. That only leaves behind Johnny Mundt and Jacob Harris to try to replace Everett who turned in around 40 catches for 400 yards in each of the last two seasons. Mundt is no threat with only nine catches over his three seasons. Harris was drafted in the fourth round as the overall  ninth tight end selected.

Harris is a dynasty league target for the future. The 6-5 tight end only weighs 219 pounds which is very light for the position that typically relies on 260-pound players. But Harris ran a 4.39 40-time. While that screams “receiving tight end,” it remains to be seen what he will do at such a light weight that will be a disadvantage if they expect him to block. More than anything, Harris only played football for one year in high school and then two seasons with Central Florida. He brings minimal experience.

The little-used Mundt and the very raw Harris are not going to be a factor for 2021. With Gerald Everett gone, Higbee is in line to step up his workload. And the loss of Cam Akers means that the Rams will be throwing more than they initially intended. With a quarterback new to the system in Matt Stafford.

The outlook for Higbee would be marginal if that five-game span of 2019 never existed. He’d be just another tight end. And there is no certainty that he doesn’t end up as such again this year. But – why did he have that amazing end to 2019? The No. 1 fantasy tight end  over that period, and it wasn’t close.

There are two reasons to consider. First, Higbee hit a stretch in the schedule that included some of the worst secondaries against tight ends. That’s a major factor, with no argument. The passing schedule strength is only average this year and again, with a new quarterback to establish chemistry.

The other factor is relevant. During the Monday night game of Week 12, Everett hyper-extended his knee against the Ravens. He never had another catch that year. Higbee totaled 43 catches over those final five games. Again – the opponents were all weak against the position, so in context it wasn’t quite as mind-blowing as it seemed.

But Higbee enters his seventh season with the Rams in the best situation of his career. Everett is gone, and the rest of the tight ends don’t look like contributors this year. In a position where maybe five or six tight ends offer any advantage, Higbee merits a roster add. Especially if you waited until the later rounds.

Rookie Rundown: TE Kyle Pitts, Florida

Kyle Pitts is a unique difference maker that no one can cover

The quarterbacks may take center stage in this draft, but tight end Kyle Pitts is more interesting and has the highest potential fantasy value. Including for this year.  His draft stock continues to rise, and he’s speculated to go as high as No. 3 overall.

Pitts became the starting tight end for Florida as a sophomore and earned the First Team All-SEC team that year. His 54 receptions led the team.

As a junior, he played only eight games due to a concussion/facial injury but he dominated with 12 touchdowns as their primary receiver. He ended with three 100-yard games last year, including seven catches for 129 yards and a score against Alabama in his final college game.

Pitts won the John Mackey Award as the top college tight end. He was the first tight end to be named as a Fred Biletnikoff award finalist that is given to the top college wide receiver. He skipped the Cotton Bowl and announced for the NFL draft.

Height: 6-6
Weight: 245 pounds
40 time: 4.44 seconds

The ex-Gator generates tremendous interest in the draft. He offers the rare combination of size and speed that recalls Calvin Johnson. He’s a pass-catching tight end that can line up anywhere on the field. He’s already drawn comparisons to Darren Waller and Travis Kelce.

Kyle Pitts Florida stats (2018-2020)

Year Games Catch Yards Avg. TD Runs Yards. TD Total Yards Total TDs
2018 3 3 73 24.3 1 0 0 0 73 1
2019 13 54 649 12.0 5 0 0 0 649 5
2020 8 43 770 17.9 12 0 0 0 770 12

The highest-drafted tight ends in the last ten years were Eric Ebron (2014 – 1.10) and O.J. Howard (2017 – 1.19) along with five other first rounders. The earliest selected tight ends in NFL history were Vernon Davis (2003) and Kellen Winslow Jr. (2004), who were both sixth-overall selections. There is a possibility that Pitts resets that record.

If you think his college stats look low, realize that Kelce only totaled 875 yards and ten touchdowns in his three years at the University of Cincinnati. Waller ended with 971 yards and nine scores in his three years at Georgia Tech. Pitts was phenomenal last season.

Pros

  • “Generational talent”
  • Mismatch against smaller corners and slower linebackers
  • Rare mix of size, speed and athleticism
  • Can play any position
  • Excellent route runner
  • Superior body control when he goes up for a catch
  • Red-zone threat
  • Not only fast but can vary route speed
  • Excellent change-of-direction skills
  • Wingspan still reaches poorly thrown balls
  • Elite acceleration off line
  • Strong, soft hands no matter angle of pass
  • Uses speed, agility, and hands to control the defender
  • Wins contested catches
  • Great work ethic

Cons

  • Not built for in-line blocking
  • Concussion in 2020
  • Not an aggressive blocker

Fantasy outlook

The fantasy outlook for Pitts is exceptionally high in an offensive position that serves up very few difference-makers. And while tight ends typically all but disappear as a rookie, Pitts should be a contributor even as a rookie. Potentially, his first-year role could be significant depending on which offense and passing scheme that he joins.

The consensus is that he’s not only a first-round talent but a slam dunk Top-10 and maybe even a Top-5 pick this year. While previous top picks like Vernon Davis and Kellen Winslow Jr. never produced elite stats, Pitts is considered a better prospect than either.

He enters the NFL when offenses are starting to feature receiving tight ends as primary targets. Like any rookie, his outlook depends greatly on where he ends up and who throws him passes.  But no team spends a Top-10 or Top-5 pick without expecting to optimize the player’s talents.

His perceived value has him as the subject of trade rumors that will last up until the NFL draft. Quarterbacks are expected to dominate the first five picks but Pitts could end up in that group, possibly as the subject of a draft trade. He’s speculated to end up with the Falcons, Dolphins, Lions, Panthers and Cowboys. His first-year fantasy value takes a hit if he lands in Atlanta or Dallas since they are already receiver-rich.

As a fantasy dynasty pick, he could be argued to be the top rookie for 2021. The lifespan of a tight end is much longer than a running back and his path to being a Top-5 player in his position if far greater than any of the 2021 rookie wideouts.