Falcons Saints odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Atlanta Falcons (6-3) visit the New Orleans Saints (2-7) Sunday. Kickoff from the Caesars Superdome is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Falcons vs. Saints odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Atlanta has won back-to-back games after handling the Dallas Cowboys 27-21 Nov. 3, covering as a 3.5-point home favorite.

New Orleans has lost 7 games in a row after falling 23-22 at the Carolina Panthers Sunday as a 7-point favorite. QB Derek Carr was 18-of-31 passing for 236 yards with a TD while RB Alvin Kamara carried the ball 29 times for 155 yards.

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Falcons at Saints odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:46 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Falcons -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Saints +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
Against the spread (ATS): Falcons -3.5 (-115) | Saints +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Falcons at Saints key injuries

Falcons

C Drew Dalman (ankle) questionable
WR Drake London (hip) questionable

Saints

S J.T. Gray (back) questionable
CB Kool-Aid McKinstry (hamstring) out
WR Chris Olave (concussion) out
CB Rico Payton (back) questionable
RB Jamaal Williams (groin) doubtful
WR Cedrick Wilson Jr. (shoulder) out

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Falcons at Saints picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 34, Saints 28

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal vaule on the Falcons (-200) to beat a struggling Saints team Sunday.

Against the spread

BET FALCONS -3.5 (-115).

New Orleans is riddled with injuries heading into Week 10. It has failed to cover 5 straight games, scoring 13 or fewer points in 3 of the 5.

Atlanta has won and covered back-to-back games and scored 27 or more points in both victories.

Over/Under

BET OVER 46.5 (-115).

The Falcons have been hot offensively, scoring 26 or more points in 5 of their last 6 games, while their defense has struggled, allowing 20 or more in every game since Week 1. Atlanta has hit the Over in 4 of its last 6 games.

The Saints have allowed 23 or more points in each of their last 6 games.

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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Falcons (5-8) will travel to square off against the New Orleans Saints (4-9) Sunday in Week 15 at Caesars Superdome. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Falcons vs. Saints odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Falcons lost 19-16 to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 13 as they failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. Atlanta is coming off its bye week in Week 14 and rookie QB Desmond Ridder is now the starting signal-caller for the Falcons.

The Saints suffered a 17-16 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 13 despite covering as 3.5-point underdogs. New Orleans is also coming off its bye week as both teams are on a 2-game losing streak entering Sunday’s divisional matchup.

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Falcons at Saints odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Falcons +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Saints -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +4 (-110) | Saints -4 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Falcons at Saints key injuries

Falcons

None

Saints

TE Juwan Johnson (ankle) questionable
DE Cameron Jordan (foot) questionable
CB Marshon Lattimore (abdomen) questionable
OT Ryan Ramczyk (knee) questionable

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Falcons at Saints picks and predictions

Prediction

Saints 24, Falcons 17

Moneyline

Go ahead and AVOID taking the moneyline in this game as the Saints are solid favorites at home. The odds for New Orleans to win aren’t worth taking considering the minimal return you’ll receive if the Saints secure the victory.

Against the spread

SAINTS -4 (-110) is where I’m leaning in this game with the Falcons rolling out a rookie quarterback. There’s a chance New Orleans gets Jordan and Lattimore back on defense, so the Saints could have a nearly fully healthy defense Sunday.

The Falcons are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings against the Saints.

Over/Under

Considering how these teams prefer to play, UNDER 43.5 (-108) is an enticing wager in this matchup. The Falcons prefer to run the ball often, and with a rookie quarterback, they likely won’t change that Sunday.

The Falcons are 4-1 to the Under in their last 5 games while the Saints are 5-1 to the Under in their last 6 games. Also, the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the Falcons, and the Saints when the game is in New Orleans.

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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Falcons (3-4) are on the road in Week 9 facing a division opponent in the New Orleans Saints (5-2), who have won three games in a row. Their game Sunday afternoon kicks off at 1 p.m. ET at Caesars Superdome. Below, we look at the Falcons vs. Saints odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Falcons are coming off a 19-13 loss at home to the Carolina Panthers. They mustered only 213 yards of offense, and QB Matt Ryan was picked off twice in the game. They had won three of their previous four games.

The Saints lost QB Jameis Winston for the rest of the season in their 36-27 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week. He tore his ACL and QB Trevor Siemian finished the game with a touchdown pass, and S P.J. Williams returned an interception 40 yards for a touchdown on the Bucs’ final drive, preventing them from winning the game.

Falcons at Saints odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:40 p.m. ET.

Money line: Falcons +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Saints -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +5.5 (-103) | Saints -5.5 (-117)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Falcons at Saints key injuries

Falcons

WR Calvin Ridley (personal) out
DT Jonathan Bullard (concussion) out

Saints

DE Payton Turner (calf) questionable
QB Jameis Winston (knee) out
WR Ty Montgomery (hamstring) out

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Falcons at Saints odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Saints 20, Falcons 17

Money line

Both teams have actually fared better on the road than at home this season. The Falcons are 2-1 on the road, and the Saints are 2-1 at home but 3-1 on the road.

QB Matt Ryan is 9-16 in his career against the Saints, and the Saints have won six of the last seven contests. The Falcons offense is inconsistent. They have scored at least 30 twice but 17 or fewer three times.

The Saints allow the fourth-fewest points in the league, giving up only 18.3 per game. Even with no Winston at quarterback, the Saints’ defense will carry them.

Take the SAINTS (-270).

Against the spread

The Saints are 4-3 ATS while the Falcons are 3-4 ATS.

The Saints at 1-1 ATS at home this season. The Falcons are 2-1 ATS on the road.

However, the Saints will rely on the defense and running game, which will lead to a closer outcome, even if the Saints ultimately win the game.

Take the FALCONS +5.5 (-103).

Over/Under

The Saints only allow 18.3 points per game. The Falcons are only averaging 21.1 points per game.

The Saints do average 25.1 per contest but that will surely drop with the change to Siemian at quarterback, where the running game will become much more important.

Take UNDER 41.5 (-115).

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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Week 11 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Falcons (3-6) visit the NFC South rival New Orleans (7-2) in Week 11 for the first of two head-to-head meetings in three weeks. Kickoff at Mercedes-Benz Superdome is at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Falcons-Saints betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Falcons at Saints: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:21 p.m. ET.

Money line: Falcons +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Saints -182 (bet $182 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Falcons +3.5 (-110) | Saints -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

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Falcons at Saints: Game notes

Saints QB Drew Brees (ribs, lung, shoulder) is expected to miss the next 2-3 games due to his multiple injuries. It has been reported QB/TE Taysom Hill will draw the Week 11 start under center. He has completed 10 of 18 pass attempts for 205 yards with no touchdowns and one interception in his career.
Hill’s still getting the nod over official backup – and former No. 1 draft pick of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers – QB Jameis Winston, who completed 6 of 10 passes for 63 yards in relief of Brees last week.
The Falcons come off a Week 10 bye which came on the heels of their first two-game winning streak of the season. They’re 3-1 under interim head coach Raheem Morris after an 0-5 start.
The Saints beat the San Francisco 49ers 27-13 at home last week to extend their winning streak to six games.
The two rivals split their head-to-head series last season, with each team winning on the road. Atlanta beat New Orleans 26-9 at the Superdome in Week 10 with QB Matt Ryan throwing for 182 yards and 2 TDs with a pick.

Falcons at Saints: Key injuries

Falcons

DE Dante Fowler (COVID-19) out

Saints

TE Josh Hill (concussion) out
RB Dwayne Washington (back) out
CB Marshon Lattimore (abdomen) questionable

Falcons at Saints: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Falcons 24, Saints 23

Money line (?)

The Saints reported decision to go with Hill over Winston, who has 19,812 yards and 121 touchdowns in 74 games (70 starts), is surprising. As such, the FALCONS (+155) are in an excellent spot for a road upset of their most hated division rival.

Atlanta is getting WR Calvin Ridley back from injury and is at relatively full health following its bye. The Saints enter the week atop the NFC South, while the Falcons essentially need to run the table to have a shot at the postseason. They’ll win a third straight contest to keep hope alive heading into a stretch of playing three of four games at home.

Against the spread (?)

The spread has been plummeting toward the Falcons since the news broke on Hill’s expected start. Atlanta was being spotted 5 points Thursday evening.

I like the FALCONS +3.5 (-110) to win outright as the primary play on this game, so we may as well add the 3 points of insurance in a potential loss. Both teams are 4-5 ATS.

Over/Under (?)

Again, this selection is heavily based on Hill drawing the start over Winston. Winston has long been a friend to Over bettors with his ability to throw down field and his propensity for turnovers to set up points for the opposition.

Expect a simpler game plan for Hill’s first start as a quarterback and a heavy lean on the Alvin Kamara-led run game for the Saints. Back the UNDER 49.5 (-106).

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Also see:

11 QB NFL Draft options for Atlanta (Falcons Wire)
Report: Hill to start at QB (Saints Wire)

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