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The Edmonton Oilers (42-21-4) kick off a 3-game road trip against the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-20-9) Saturday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Oilers vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Oilers lead 1-0; Edmonton won 4-2 at home Jan. 16
The Oilers blasted the Buffalo Sabres 8-3 Thursday night as heavy favorites (-230) as the Over (6.5) cashed. The Oilers have picked up at least 1 point in 6 straight outings, going 4-0-2. The Under has cashed in 6 of the past 8 games, and 9 of the previous 12 contests.
The Maple Leafs pounded the Washington Capitals 7-3 in D.C. Wednesday, cashing as moderate road favorites (-125) as the Over (6) hit. Toronto is a healthy 13-4-1 across the previous 18 outings while cashing the Over in each of the past 4 games.
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Oilers at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Oilers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Maple Leafs +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Oilers -1.5 (+180) | Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Oilers at Maple Leafs projected goalies
Stuart Skinner (31-13-4, 2.58 GAA, .908 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Ilya Samsonov (18-6-7, 3.12 GAA, .888 SV%, 2 SO)
Skinner allowed 3 goals on 29 shots in a win against the Sabres, and he obviously received plenty of offensive support in the 8-3 win. He is enjoying a 4-0-2 record, 1.94 GAA and .931 SV% in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance in March.
Samsonov was knocked around for 4 goals on 40 shots in Tuesday’s 4-3 loss in Philadelphia, his 1st loss in regulation in March. He is 4-1-1 with a 2.58 GAA and .915 SV% in 6 starts in the month.
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Oilers at Maple Leafs picks and predictions
Prediction
Oilers 4, Maple Leafs 3
Moneyline
The OILERS (-135) are a solid play as moderate road favorites against the Maple Leafs (+115).
Edmonton has won 2 of the past 3 meetings, but it has won just once in the past 4 trips to Toronto. Still, the Oilers have been on fire offensively, going for an average of 4.8 goals per game in the past 5 outings. This team is humming along, picking up at least 1 point in 11 of the past 12 outings, going 9-1-2. Keep playing the Oilers until they cool down.
Puck line/Against the spread
The Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, if you need a little insurance and can’t play Toronto straight up. That’s too much risk for not enough reward, even if you were to include the Leafs in a multi-team parlay.
AVOID.
Over/Under
OVER 6.5 (-115) is worth playing lightly.
The Over has cashed in 2 of the past 4 outings for the Oilers, with Edmonton going for 7 or more goals in 2 of the contests. While the Under has dominated lately, going 9-3 in the past 12 games for Edmonton, the Over is 2-1-1 in the past 4 trips to Toronto.
The Maple Leafs have hit the Over in each of the past 4 outings while going 5-3 in the past 8 skates on home ice.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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