In a middleweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Edmen Shahbazyan and Jack Hermansson meet at UFC Fight Night 188 – also known as UFC on ESPN+ 46 and UFC Vegas 27 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 188 Shahbazyan vs. Hermansson odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the main card beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night 188 Shahbazyan vs. Hermansson: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:00 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Shahbazyan +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Hermansson -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -140 | Under +115)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -225)
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UFC Fight Night 188 Shahbazyan vs. Hermansson: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Hermansson 21-6-0 | Shahbazyan 11-1-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
HERNANSSON (-155) steps into the octagon looking to dump the American fighter Shahbazyan (+130). He enters with a three-inch reach advantage, and he holds a 5.03-to-3.85 significant strikes landed per minute lead. Shahbazyan was beaten badly in the third round of the main event against Derek Brunson Aug. 1, last time out.
Shahbazyan has been better on the ground, holding a 4.44-to-1.96 takedown average with a slight takedown accuracy advantage, too.
Hermansson has alternated loses and wins across his past four fights, but he has fought the cream of the crop in the division. Losses to Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier is nothing to be ashamed about, and he has wins over Kelvin Gastelum and Jacare Souza during the four-fight span. He is capable of beating anyone at this level, and he’ll be hungry for a win after a stunning knockdown in the first round, and a unanimous decision to Vettori in the main event Dec. 5, 2020.
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Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-175) is a little on the expensive side, but that’s a nice play. Nine of Hermansson’s past 11 fights have finished inside the distance, while each of Shahbazyan’s past four fights have ended in stoppage with three victories.
I also like HERMANSSON BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+130) for method of victory on the 5-way line at plus-money. In addition, I don’t think this one ends in the first round, but play ROUND 2 (+300) and ROUND 3 (+500) for the fight finish. You do not have to declare a specific winner, but if the fight ends in Rounds 2 or 3, you will lose one end, but still be well ahead.
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