In a bantamweight bout on the main card, Frankie Edgar meets Marlon Vera Saturday at UFC 268 at Madison Square Garden in New York. Below, we analyze the UFC 268 Edgar vs. Vera odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the early prelims at 6 p.m. ET, with the prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. The main card begins on PPV at 10 p.m. ET.
The veteran Edgar has been spinning his wheels of late, going 1-3 across his last four bouts, starting with a unanimous-decision loss in a title bout July 27, 2019, against Max Holloway at UFC 240. His most recent fight was a 28-second KO/TKO loss Feb. 6 against Cory Sandhagen. Three of Edgar’s last five fights have gone the distance.
Vera has alternated wins and losses across his past five fights, last winning via unanimous decision last time out June 19 against Davey Grant. Three of his past four fights have gone the distance, and four of his last five have ended up going to at least the third round.
UFC 268 Edgar vs. Vera: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:41 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Edgar +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Vera -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -200 | Under +140)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -160 | No +115)
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UFC 268 Edgar vs. Vera: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Edgar (23-9-1) | Vera (17-7-1)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Vera, a.k.a “Chito”, heads into this one looking for a win in consecutive fights for the first time since rattling off five straight wins from Aug. 4, 2018 – Oct. 12, 2019.
I like VERA (-160) to win straight up on the 2-way line, and I think this one also needs the help of the judges. You can also play VERA ON POINTS (+180) in the Method of Victory section for good value.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (-160): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is not terribly out of line, and a good play since I believe Vera wins this one on points. It’s a better value than taking Over 2.5 Rounds (-200), which will cost you two times your initial return and there is just no value there.
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