The Philadelphia Eagles (5-6) look to right the ship for a December run as they travel to play the Miami Dolphins (2-9) at Hard Rock Stadium at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.
Philadelphia at Miami: Week 13 preview, betting trends and notes
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- Scores in Eagles games have hit the under in four of the last five games.
- Miami is 2-5 at home against the spread in its last seven home games.
- The Dolphins have a better record ATS (5-6) than the Eagles (4-7).
- Philadelphia is 2-4 against the moneyline in its last six games, while Miami is 2-12 against the moneyline in its last 14 games.
- The Dolphins have the NFL’s 30th-ranked offense and 30th-ranked defense.
Philadelphia at Miami: Key injuries
Eagles TE Zach Ertz was held out of practice after suffering a hamstring injury. RB Jordan Howard still hasn’t been cleared for contact with a shoulder injury. WR Alshon Jeffery (ankle) returned to practice, but was limited.
In Miami, all of the Dolphins practiced Wednesday, but WRs Allen Hurns (ankle) and Albert Wilson (hip/chest), CBs Ken Webster (ankle) and Ken Crawley (shoulder), and S Steven Parker (groin) were limited.
Philadelphia at Miami: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Philadelphia 31, Miami 10
Moneyline (?)
This has all the makings of a college moneyline with Philadelphia (-455) a massive favorite over Miami (+340). As much as Philly’s offense has struggled and been missing key weapons to the offense for the last month, -455 is a stiff price to pay to get such little return. While we would avoid this one for obvious reasons, if you were to make a bet, the only one that makes sense is a small wager on Miami on the off chance of Fitzmagic from QB Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Against the Spread (?)
The Dolphins have been ugly all season, which is why they’re a 9.5-point home dog (-110 on each team). If the Eagles can’t blow this one out, they don’t deserve to be in the playoffs. Including the Dolphins, four of the Eagles’ final five games are against teams currently 2-9 (Miami, New York Giants and two against Washington). This is a statement game for the Eagles – good or bad – and we think it’s going to be an aggressive statement for a team with a fresh ring. LAY THE 9.5 POINTS.
Over/Under (?)
The O/U is 44.5 points (-115 on the over, -106 on the under). Miami is last in the league in points allowed, giving up 31.5 per game. But the Eagles defense, despite an anemic showing from the Philly offense, held Tom Brady and Russell Wilson to 17 points each in their last two games. Miami’s offense? Fitzpatrick is going to be under attack all day. He may not get 10 points. TAKE THE UNDER … but not by much.
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