The Atlanta Falcons play host to the Philadelphia Eagles at Mercedes-Benz Stadium Sunday of Week 1. Kickoff will be at 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Eagles vs. Falcons odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.
It’s a new regime in Atlanta after head coach Dan Quinn was fired at the end of a disappointing 2020 campaign in which the Falcons went 4-12 and finished last in the NFC South. Former Tennessee Titans offensive coordinator Arthur Smith now leads the charge.
Philadelphia also made a head coaching change after going 4-11-1 and finishing last in the NFC East. Doug Pederson was replaced by former Indianapolis Colts offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni, who hopes to get the best out of second-year QB Jalen Hurts.
Also see: 2021 NFL team win totals
Eagles at Falcons odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:33 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Eagles +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Falcons -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Eagles +3.5 (-112) | Falcons -3.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Eagles at Falcons key injuries
Eagles
- OL Landon Dickerson (knee) out
- S Rodney McLeod (knee) out
- LB Davlon Taylor (calf) questionable
Falcons
- None
Also see: Underdog Corner
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Eagles at Falcons odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Falcons 28, Eagles 23
Money line
The FALCONS (-190) are just inside the limits of a playable money line bet on home field. Give an edge to Smith in the battle of new head coaches, after he led the Titans to a fourth-ranked 30.7 points per game and fifth-ranked 6.2 yards per play last season.
Veteran RB Mike Davis was signed in the offseason to improve 2020’s woeful rushing attack and TE Kyle Pitts was selected fourth overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. Former MVP QB Matt Ryan has enough weapons to start the season with a win over Hurts and the younger Eagles offense.
Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast (jump to 33:37)
Against the spread
The better value is to back the FALCONS -3.5 (-108) to win by 4 or more points.
Though they registered just 29 sacks and a modest 12 interceptions last season, the Falcons were fourth in ESPN’s team pass rush win rate. Long-time defensive coordinator Dean Pees joins Smith in Atlanta and now leads a unit that underwent considerably less offseason change than in recent years.
The Eagles were just 11th in pass block win rate and QBs Hurts and Carson Wentz were pressured on 27.8% of all dropbacks.
Over/Under
OVER 48.5 (-108) is a strong play. Both teams brought in a former offensive coordinator to be head coach and also used their respective first-round picks on top-tier pass catchers.
Also see: Week 1 staff picks
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