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The Indianapolis Colts (3-3) welcome the Miami Dolphins (2-3) to Lucas Oil Stadium Sunday for NFL Week 7 action. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Dolphins vs. Colts odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Colts beat the Tennessee Titans 20-17 in Week 6 action, closing as a 2.5-point underdog. Indianapolis has closed as an underdog in 3 straight games and is 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in those. They have also played 3 games at home and are 2-1 straight up and 3-0 ATS in those as well. The Colts will be down their starting running back and potentially their top 3 receivers.
The Dolphins have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming off a 15-10 road victory over the New England Patriots in Week 5, having a Week 6 bye. They closed as a 1-point favorite in that game. Miami is just 1-4 ATS on the season and 1-1 ATS on the road. It has struggled given the absence of starting QB Tua Tagovailoa. The Dolphins have scored more than 15 points just once.
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Dolphins at Colts odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Colts -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +3 (-105) | Colts -3 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Dolphins at Colts key injuries
Dolphins
- WR Odell Beckham Jr. (hamstring) questionable
- S Jevon Holland (hand) doubtful
- LB Emmanuel Ogbah (bicep) questionable
- CB Cam Smith (hamstring) questionable
- QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) out
- QB Skylar Thompson (ribs) questionable
Colts
- WR Josh Downs (toe) questionable
- CB Chris Lammons (ankle) out
- WR Alec Pierce (shoulder) questionable
- WR Michael Pittman Jr. (back) questionable
- T Braden Smith (knee) questionable
- RB Jonathan Taylor (ankle) out
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Dolphins at Colts picks and predictions
Prediction
Colts 21, Dolphins 20
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no great value here. The Colts are too injured to take as a sizable moneyline favorite.
The Dolphins bounced back in Week 5 and have had some time to prepare for this one, and they are the less injured side. Still, they haven’t shown enough to take as a moneyline underdog.
Against the spread
BET DOLPHINS +3 (-105).
The Colts are going to be missing many key players. Even if those with questionable tag play, they will still enter short-handed. Indianapolis has had its last 3 games end with a 3-point spread, and all 6 of its games have been one-score finishes. It is 2-1 at home but has yet to close as this size of a favorite.
Expect Indy to allow this to stay close and back DOLPHINS +3 (-105).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 43.5 (-110).
The Dolphins just haven’t found a way to consistently get in the end zone over the last several weeks. They have scored 15 or fewer in 4 straight games and are 1-4 O/U on the season. Similarly, the Colts are 3-3 and 2-3 O/U in their last 5. They have allowed 17 or fewer in 3 of their last 5.
Indianapolis scored just 20 in Week 6 and may be without numerous key weapons Sunday. It has scored 21 or fewer in 3 of its last 5. Considering those trends, back UNDER 43.5 (-110).
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