Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Miami Dolphins will travel across the country to face the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday in Week 1 at SoFi Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dolphins vs. Chargers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins are entering their 2nd year under coach Mike McDaniel following a 9-8 finish in 2022 that ended with a loss in the Wild Card round to the Buffalo Bills. Miami is hoping QB Tua Tagovailoa can remain healthy this season after dealing with multiple concussions a season ago.

Expectations are fairly high for the Chargers after registering a 10-7 record last season. After blowing a 27-0 lead in the Wild Card round versus the Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles now has Kellen Moore calling plays on offense, leading many to believe QB Justin Herbert is poised for a stellar season in 2023.

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Dolphins at Chargers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Chargers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +3 (-110) | Chargers -3 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 51 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dolphins at Chargers key injuries

Dolphins

  • OT Terron Armstead (back/ankle/knee) out

Chargers

  • None

Dolphins at Chargers picks and predictions

Prediction

Chargers 34, Dolphins 28

Moneyline

With Herbert and Los Angeles expected to take a step forward this season, I’ll back the CHARGERS (-160) at home in Week 1. The Chargers were a solid 5-3 at home in 2022 compared to the Dolphins producing a 3-7 road record.

Also, CB Jalen Ramsey will miss a decent portion of the season for the Dolphins, which is a major blow to their secondary.

Against the spread

CHARGERS -3 (-110) is the play in this much-anticipated matchup between 2 quarterbacks taken back-to-back in the 1st round of the 2020 NFL draft. The Chargers are the healthier team right now, and Herbert should pick apart a hobbled secondary of the Dolphins.

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Over/Under

OVER 51 (-110) is how I’d bet on the total in this exciting season opener as Herbert is expected to be unleashed in an offense that is tailored to his strengths, which includes pushing the ball down the field more. On the other side, the Dolphins were a much more dynamic offense when Tagovailoa was healthy in 2022.

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Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Dolphins (8-4) face the Los Angeles Chargers (6-6) on Sunday Night Football in Week 14. Kickoff from SoFi Stadium is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dolphins vs. Chargers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins lost 33-17 to the San Francisco 49ers in Week 13 as they fell short of covering as 4.5-point road underdogs. Miami had won 5 straight games before the blowout loss.

The Chargers suffered a 27-20 defeat at the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 13, failing to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. Los Angeles has now lost 3 of its last 4 games.

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Dolphins at Chargers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dolphins -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Chargers +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins -3.5 (-102) | Chargers +3.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54 (O: -113 | U: -107)

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Dolphins at Chargers key injuries

Dolphins

  • T Terron Armstead (toe/pec) questionable
  • WR Tyreek Hill (illness) questionable

Chargers

  • S Derwin James (quad) doubtful
  • DL Sebastian Joseph-Day (knee) doubtful
  • OL Trey Pipkins (knee) doubtful

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Dolphins at Chargers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 31, Chargers 24

Moneyline

The odds for the Dolphins (-170) to win are at a point where I’ll PASS on taking them straight up. However, while I wouldn’t recommend taking Miami to win as a standalone bet at anything lower than -150, it’s fine using the Dolphins to win in a parlay.

Against the spread

With the Chargers struggling to find ways to win games again, DOLPHINS -3.5 (-102) is an enticing wager. Hill may be on the injury report for Miami, but nothing indicates he won’t be available to suit up.

The Dolphins are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing 30 or more points in the previous game and are 10-4 ATS in its last 14 meetings against Los Angeles.

Over/Under

With both of these offenses being capable of scoring a ton of points, OVER 54 (-113) is a fun wager to take in this game. Tagovailoa and the Dolphins should have no issues putting up points against a struggling Chargers defense after scoring only 17 points in Week 13.

The Dolphins have hit the Over in 4 of their last 5 games and in each of their last 4 road games. Meanwhile, the Chargers have gone 10-2 to the Over in their last 12 games following a loss and they’ve gone Over in 5 of their last 6 games against a team with a winning record.

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