The Miami Dolphins (2-8) battle the Cleveland Browns (4-6) at 1 p.m. ET Sunday, as the Browns look for a season-high three-game winning streak. We analyze the Dolphins-Browns sports betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks and tips for the Week 12 matchup.
Dolphins at Browns: Week 12 preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Browns started out 0-3 straight up and against the spread as a favorite, but they’re 2-0 SU/1-0-1 ATS in the past two while favored, both at home.
- The Dolphins went 0-3 ATS in their first three games as double-digit underdogs, but they’re 3-0 ATS in their past three as a dog of 10 or more points.
- The Under is 3-1 in the past four road games for Miami, scoring 14.3 points per game in four outings away from home.
- Cleveland is 2-1 SU/1-1-1 ATS in three games vs. AFC East teams with the Under cashing in each of those outings.
- The Browns rank 16th in total yards allowed (344.0) and sixth in passing yards (216.8) yielded.
- The Dolphins are 31st with 30.5 PPG allowed.
Dolphins at Browns: Key injuries
Dolphins: CB Ken Webster (ankle) is considered doubtful, while DE Taco Charlton (elbow) is listed as questionable.
Browns: S Eric Murray (knee) and DE Olivier Vernon (knee) are listed as out, while LB Joe Schobert (groin) is questionable. Of course, DE Myles Garrett and DT Larry Ogunjobi are suspended, too.
Dolphins at Browns: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:45 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Browns 23, Dolphins 17
Moneyline (?)
The Browns (-556) are overwhelming favorites, but they’re not worth the risk with such a small return on investment. If anything, the Dolphins (+400) would be worth the small-unit play, as you could quadruple your investment if they pull the upset.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the moneyline returns a $1.80 profit with a Cleveland victory.
Against the Spread (?)
The DOLPHINS (+10.5, -110) have covered three in a row as double-digit underdogs. The Browns (-10.5, -110) have struggled in the role as a favorite, and their offense just hasn’t been hitting on all cylinders. As such, they cannot be trusted, even against a struggling team like the Dolphins.
Over/Under (?)
The UNDER 44.5 (-110) is worth a look as neither of the offenses in this game have been particularly consistent. The Under is 9-4 in the past 13 road games for Miami, and 7-3 in the past 10 against losing teams. The Under is 6-2-1 in Cleveland’s past nine against losing teams, and 18-7-1 in its past 26 at home.
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