Dolphins Bills odds lines money line against the spread Over Under

AFC Wild Card: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Wild Card odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Dolphins (9-8) battle the Buffalo Bills (13-3) on Saturday on Wild Card Weekend. Kickoff from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Dolphins vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Miami beat the New York Jets 11-6 last Sunday covering as 3.5-point home favorites in 1 one of the biggest bad beats of the season — scoring a safety on the final play of the game due to a fumbled Jets lateral. The Dolphins have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 games and 6 of their last 10. This season, they are 9-8 against the spread (ATS). Miami has the 6th ranked offense this season, averaging 364.5 yards per game (ypg).

The Bills took down the Patriots 35-23 last week, covering as 8-point home favorites. They are currently on a 7-game winning streak, excluding the Cincinnati game which was wiped from the schedule. This season, Buffalo is 8-7-1 ATS. Buffalo’s defense ranked 6th in the league this season, allowing only 319.1 ypg while its offense is ranked 2nd with 397.6 ypg.

The AFC East rivals split the season series with Miami winning at home 21-19 in Week 3 and Buffalo winning at home 32-29 in Week 15.

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Dolphins at Bills odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:43 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +700 (bet $100 to win $700) | Bills -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +13.5 (-110) | Bills -13.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dolphins at Bills key injuries

Dolphins

OT Terron Armstead (toe/pec/knee/hip) questionable
OT Kendall Lamm (ankle) questionable
RB Raheem Mostert (thumb) questionable
QB Tua Tagovailo (concussion) out
QB Teddy Bridgewater (knee/finger) questionable

Bills

WR Isaiah McKenzie (hamstring) questionable
NT Jordan Phillips (shoulder) questionable

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Dolphins at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 31, Dolphins 17

Moneyline

PASS.

The -1000 odds for the Bills are far too high to make a moneyline play worth the risk.

Against the spread

PASS.

In a game without Tagovailoa heading the Dolphins’ offense, it seems logical to bet the Bills -13.5 (-110), but 2 touchdowns is too large of a spread to be comfortable with, especially when Miami still has its top offensive weapons in WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

Keep an eye on the turnover differential as Miami has the 30th-ranked defense in the league with only 14 turnovers while Buffalo has the 30th-ranked offense in the league with 27.

Over/Under

BET OVER 43.5 (-110).

The Dolphins Over/Under record is 8-9 while Buffalo’s is 6-10. Miami hit the Over 6 times in its final 10 regular season games and the Bills’ Over hit 3 times in their final 3 games.

In a divisional Wild Card Weekend matchup, both the Dolphins and Bills will look for big plays and a lot of points to ignite their respective playoff pushes.

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First look: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Dolphins at Bills AFC Wild Card odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Miami Dolphins (9-8) visit the Buffalo Bills (13-3) for a Sunday AFC Wild Card Game at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park. Kickoff is slated for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we look at Dolphins vs. Bills odds from Tipico Sportsbook; check back for all our NFL picks and predictions.

Miami is the No. 7 seed in the AFC bracket. The Dolphins clinched the AFC’s final playoff berth with an 11-6 win over the New York Jets and a New England Patriots loss to the Bills in Week 18. Miami — 1-5 straight up and 3-3 against the spread over its last 6 games — is in the playoffs for the 1st time since 2016.

The Bills defeated the Patriots 35-23 Sunday and enter the playoffs on a 7-game win streak (4-3 ATS). That streak includes Buffalo beating Miami 32-29 at home on Dec. 17. In that contest, QB Josh Allen helped rally the Bills with 304 passing yards, 4 TDs and 77 rushing yards. Buffalo went into the final 10 minutes trailing 29-21.

Also see: All Wild Card round odds and lines

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Dolphins at Bills odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Dolphins +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Bills -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +10.5 (-110) | Bills -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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2022 betting stats

ML: Dolphins 9-8 | Bills 13-3
ATS: Dolphins 9-8 | Bills 8-7-1
O/U: Dolphins 8-9 | Bills 6-10

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Dolphins vs. Bills head-to-head

Buffalo is a robust 10-2 against Miami since 2017 and has won 6 straight and 10 of the last 11 at home in the series.

This AFC matchup dates back to 1966 and the Dolphins lead the series 62-55-1.

The Dolphins are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Buffalo. The Over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings (7-1 in the last 8 games in Buffalo).

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Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Dolphins (8-5) travel to upstate New York to take on the Buffalo Bills (10-3) on Saturday. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (NFL Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dolphins vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins are on a 2-game losing streak, previously falling to the San Francisco Niners (33-17) and Los Angeles Chargers (23-17). Last week, Miami had no answer for QB Justin Herbert, giving up 432 yards.

QB Tua Tagovailoa struggled, going 10-for-28 for 145 yards and a TD. Four of the receptions and 81 of the yards went to WR Tyreek Hill, who also had a 56-yard fumble scoop-and-score in the 2nd quarter. Hill, in his 1st year with the franchise, has 100 receptions and broke former Dolphins WR Mark Clayton‘s single-season receiving yards record (1,389) last week.

Buffalo is on a 4-game winning streak, most recently beating the New York Jets 20-12, but failing to cover as 10-point favorites. In that span the Over is only 1-3 and the Bills are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). Having already clinched a playoff spot, the Bills will be looking to further cement a 1st-round bye with a win against Miami.

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Dolphins at Bills odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:38 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Bills -330 (bet $330 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +7 (-110) | Bills -7 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dolphins at Bills key injuries

Dolphins

DB Elijah Campbell (concussion) out
S Eric Rowe (hamstring) out
RB Jeff Wilson (hip) questionable

Bills

G Ryan Bates (ankle) out
NT Jordan Phillips (shoulder) out

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Dolphins at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 24, Dolphins 20

Moneyline

AVOID.

The odds for the home favorite pose too much of a risk with not enough of a reward. Backing Miami at (+270) given how good Buffalo has been doesn’t seem likely to pay off.

Against the spread

BET DOLPHINS +7 (-110).

Although they are on a losing streak, expect the Dolphins’ offense to come out firing with weapons like Hill and WR Jalen Waddle. The dynamic duo will surely make some noise and keep the Dolphins within 7 points.

In the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams, the underdog is 3-1-1. Miami has the weapons to win the battle in the trenches, and in the cold, that could be the difference here.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 44.5 (-110).

All the stats in this game point toward the Under.

For the Bills, the Under is 8-0 in their last 8 games following a straight-up win, 7-1 in their previous 8 against AFC opponents, 4-0 in their previous 4 against AFC East opponents, and 6-1 in their previous 7 games against teams with a winning record.

Although these are 2 high-powered offenses, the weather in Buffalo is predicted to be snowy and cold with a high of 32 degrees, which will affect both teams. The Bills’ secondary is also one of the best in the NFL and should at least limit what Hill and Waddle are capable of.

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First look: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Week 8 NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Miami Dolphins (1-6) and Buffalo Bills (4-2) meet Sunday in Week 8 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Highmark Stadium. Below, we look at the Dolphins vs. Bills odds and lines; check back for our NFL picks and predictions.

Miami suffered its sixth consecutive loss, falling at home on a field goal as time expired to the Atlanta Falcons 30-28 in Week 7. Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa finished with 291 passing yards and a career-high 4 touchdowns. His last TD pass gave Miami a 28-27 lead (after the extra point) with 2:27 to go, but Atlanta drove 57 yards in nine plays to set up the winning kick. Miami didn’t cover the spread as a 1.5-point underdog and the Over (47.5) hit by 1/2 point.

Buffalo is coming off a bye week following a 34-31 loss at the Tennessee Titans on Monday Night Football in Week 6. The Bills, who were 6-point favorites, came up short on a quarterback sneak on 4th-and-1 at the Titans 3-yard line with 12 seconds left when they could have tied it with a field goal.

Also see: All Week 8 odds and lines

Dolphins at Bills odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:48 a.m. ET.

Money line: Dolphins +570 (bet $100 to win $570) | Bills -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +13.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bills -13.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Over/Under (O/U): 49.5, O: -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | U: -110 (bet $110 to win $100)

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2021 betting stats:

ML: Dolphins 1-6 | Bills 4-2
ATS: Dolphins 2-5 | Bills 4-2
O/U: Dolphins 4-3 | Bills 3-3

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Dolphins at Bills head-to-head

Miami leads the all-time series 61-53-1, but Buffalo, which has a 3-1 advantage in postseason play, is 6-0 in the last six meetings and is 8-1 in the last nine dating back to 2017.

Sunday will be the second time these AFC East rivals face off in 2021. The Bills shut out the Dolphins 35-0 in Week 2 down in South Florida, easily covering the spread as 3.5-point favorites.

The Dolphins’ last win in the series was 21-17 home victory Dec. 2, 2018, barely covering as 3.5-point favorites. Miami’s last win at Buffalo was a 34-31 overtime victory Dec. 24, 2016, as a 4.5-point underdog.

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