The Miami Dolphins (5-3) travel to Soldier Field to battle the Chicago Bears (3-5) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dolphins vs. Bears odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
After starting the season 3-0, the Dolphins struggled without Tua Tagovailoa at QB, losing their next 3 games. Since his return, the Dolphins have returned to form and won their last 2 matchups, including a comeback win Sunday in Detroit where Miami erased a 21-0 deficit to win 31-27.
The key to the success of Miami is the connection Tagovailoa has built with WR Tyreek Hill, who came over from the Chiefs in an offseason trade. Hill has 4 games of 160 yards or more this season; the record for any season is 6. With the way he and Tagovailoa are connecting, Hill may just get there.
The Bears shocked everyone with a dominant 33-14 win over the New England Patriots on Monday Night Football 2 weeks ago. They followed that up by being blitzed by Dallas 49-29 last Sunday. They now return home hoping the play of QB Justin Fields can continue to improve.
The Bears gutted their defense at the trade deadline. Not only did they trade DE Robert Quinn to the Philadelphia Eagles, but they also traded their best player in LB Roquan Smith to the Baltimore Ravens. These moves have given them more ammunition in the 2023 draft, but it has weakened them for the rest of 2022.
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Dolphins at Bears odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:06 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dolphins -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Bears +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins -4 (-112) | Bears +4 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Dolphins at Bears key injuries
Dolphins
- OT Terron Armstead (toe) questionable
- OG Liam Eichenberg (knee) out
- OT Austin Jackson (ankle) questionable
Bears
- FS Eddie Jackson (hip) questionable
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Dolphins at Bears picks and predictions
Prediction
Dolphins 30, Bears 17
Moneyline
PASS. The ML is too high to make a valid wager on this game.
Against the spread
BET MIAMI -4 (-112).
The Dolphins come into this game looking to keep pace with the Buffalo Bills in the AFC East. They are also hoping to win another road game and find their way into the AFC playoffs.
With Hill being dominant this season, the Dolphins finally have an offensive identity. Tagovailoa and his ascension this season shows why you cannot write someone off as a bust after a tough rookie season. Sometimes a new culture or a new scheme is all it takes to get the most out of someone.
The Bears are looking to get to the offseason and make moves to help their own struggling QB. They made moves at the trade deadline to land draft picks and this, along with the addition of WR Chase Claypool from the Pittsburgh Steelers, show they are looking to build toward the future.
The future is not Sunday. It is 2023 and beyond. The Bears were drubbed by the Cowboys in Week 8 and the same is in store this Sunday at home.
MIAMI -4.0 (-112) is my FAVORITE PLAY this week.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 45.5 (-110).
With an impressive passing attack and strong run game — behind RBs Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson — the Dolphins will be able to score on the Bears. The real question is: Will the Bears return the favor?
Chicago won’t be able to outscore Miami, but the Bears will be able to put up some points.
Newly acquired DE Bradley Chubb (from Denver) will add a pash rush to Miami, but he is new and will need to get acclimated to the scheme. The Bears running game with Fields and RBs David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert will move the ball and score.
With the likelihood of Miami getting to 30, Chicago just needs to get to 17. This is a good bet to happen, so I LEAN OVER 45.5 (-112) for the game.
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