The Los Angeles Dodgers (38-15) play the Colorado Rockies (22-29) Sunday afternoon at 3:10 p.m. ET as the NL West foes close out a four-game series at Coors Field. Below, we analyze the Dodgers-Rockies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Dodgers at Rockies: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. RHP Antonio Senzatela
Gonsolin is coming off a big effort at San Diego (7 IP, 4H, 1 ER) and heads into this turn with a 1.51 ERA and 0.79 WHIP.
- Is a fly-ball pitcher (34% GB) who has his numbers buoyed by a low rate of HR on batted balls in the air (4.9%). That number, along with a .214 batting average on balls in play, represents a skill that proves to be mostly unrepeatable. Translation: figure on Gonsolin’s surface ERA overselling true pitching skill by a wide margin.
Senzatela has logged a 3.30 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 10 GS.
- Senzatela’s surface numbers indicate a breakout season for the four-year veteran. But the Rockies right-hander has benefited from a .270 BABIP and a 79% left-on-base percentage. While Senzatela has made strides in some key areas (control, velocity), his overall skill set is still aligned with an ERA in the high 4s.
- The ERA has been a six-plus in 29 IP vs. LA in 2019-20. Current Dodger bats own a high-contact 1.005 OPS against him.
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Dodgers at Rockies: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Dodgers
- RP Caleb Ferguson (elbow ) out
- OF Joc Pederson (personal) out
Rockies
- 2B Chris Owings (hamstring) out
- 2B Brendan Rodgers (shoulder) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Dodgers at Rockies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
Money line (ML)
Los Angeles has outscored Colorado, 30-10, through games 1-3, and the Dodgers have now won five straight games overall. In get-away games on the road, LA is 8-1.
With a five-game lead in the West, the Dodgers could perhaps be in player-rest mode, and Gonsolin figures as a type to get over-bet. But Los Angeles has reached an elite level where for me, the club is tagged as “no fade.” That’s not to say the Dodgers will never lose again; they’re just good enough to confound analytics or pricing that have a lean the other way. And that’s the case on Sunday. I “LEAN” COLORADO (+185), the price is attractive. At +190, it maybe just too good. But for me, it’ll never be good enough.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The 2-1/2-run tag is trotted out here to create some more level action. Pass on DODGERS -2.5 (-106)/ROCKIES -115.
Over/Under (O/U)
With two starters worth fading, the strongest lean in this one is the OVER 12.5 (-110).
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