NFC North roundtable: Who is the favorite to finish last in the division in 2023?

Who is the favorite to finish last in the NFC North in 2023? Our writers from the Bears, Lions, Packers and Vikings weigh in.

The Chicago Bears are building around Justin Fields, the Detroit Lions are entering the season as betting favorites to win the division, the Green Bay Packers are transitioning from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love and the Minnesota Vikings are attempting to repeat as division champs for the first time since 2008-09.

There’s a lot going on in the NFC North this season.

In the latest of a series of posts previewing the division ahead of the 2023 season, Alyssa Barbieri of Bears WireJeff Risdon of Lions WireZach Kruse of Packers Wire and Tyler Forness of Vikings Wire answered the question: Which team is the favorite to finish last in 2023?

NFC North roundtable: Realistic expectations for each team in 2023
NFC North roundtable: Biggest impact rookie for each team in 2023
NFC North roundtable: Biggest offseason addition for each team in 2023
NFC North roundtable: Who will be division’s most valuable player in 2023?
NFC North roundtable: Who is the division favorite entering 2023?
NFC North roundtable: Players on the hot seat entering 2023
NFC North roundtable: Biggest misconception about each team entering 2023
NFC North roundtable: Favorite offseason move made by division rival

NFL.com doesn’t like Broncos’ chances of going from ‘worst to first’ in 2023

Can the Broncos go from worst to first in the AFC West this year? Kevin Patra doesn’t like their odds.

The Denver Broncos finished at the bottom of the AFC West with a 5-12 record in 2022, something new head coach Sean Payton will aim to avoid in 2023.

NFL.com’s Kevin Patra recently ranked the eight last-place teams from 2022 based on their likelihood of jumping up to first in their division in 2023. The Broncos came in at No. 5 on that list, behind the Chicago Bears (No. 4), Cleveland Browns (No. 3), Atlanta Falcons (No. 2) and New York Jets (No. 1).

Here is part of Patra’s commentary on Denver’s ranking:

Sean Payton’s arrival immediately elevates Denver’s chances to compete. There is a lot to like on this roster. … The biggest question is whether Payton’s magic will coax Russell Wilson back to his Pro Bowl ways after a disastrous 2022 campaign. But the biggest knock on Denver’s chances of going from worst to first is playing in the AFC West, where they’d have to knock off Patrick Mahomes and the back-to-back-to-back-to-back-to-back-to-back-to-back division-winning Chiefs.

The Washington Commanders (No. 6), Houston Texans (No. 7) and Arizona Cardinals (No. 8) are ranked below the Broncos on NFL.com’s list.

Patra makes a fair point about KC being tough to top in 2023. It seems fair to say that most Denver fans would be pleased with simply returning to the playoffs as a Wild-Card team this season. A division title would be great, but the Broncos should first worry about snapping a seven-year playoff drought.

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Andy Dalton blunt on 2022 NFC South: ‘Nobody wanted to win the division last year’

Andy Dalton lost two of his three starts against NFC South teams last year. Now that he’s signed with the Panthers, the ex-Saints QB says it’s a division nobody wanted to win:

Andy Dalton went turncloak as a free agent this spring, leaving the New Orleans Saints to sign a solid contract with the Carolina Panthers (which helps the Saints as far as 2024 compensatory draft picks are concerned, too). But Dalton shared a blunt assessment of the NFC South after getting a good look at it as the Saints’ surprise starting quarterback for much of the 2022 season.

“Nobody wanted to win the division last year the way it was going,” Dalton reflected, per Panthers beat reporter Joe Person.

That includes Dalton, apparently. He lost two of his three starts against NFC South opponents in a 17-16 road defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and a season-ending 10-7 embarrassment at the hands of (who else?) Carolina, though he got the job done in a 21-18 win over the Atlanta Falcons. His efforts kept the Saints down-but-not-out for much of the season, including that miserable slog through January and December when none of the four NFC South teams wanted to separate from the pack.

Hopefully things go better in 2023. The Saints have replaced Dalton with Derek Carr, one of this year’s most expensive free agents, and the Panthers are preparing to pick a rookie quarterback for Dalton to help coach up with the first overall draft pick. Atlanta is still rebuilding and Tampa Bay is actively tanking, so this might end up being a two-horse race if Carolina gets that quarterback pick right.

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Sean Payton going to the Panthers would lead to bad blood, but a better trade return

Sean Payton going to the Panthers would lead to bad blood in an established rivalry, but it would also bring the Saints a better return in a trade:

Now that’s one way to send the New Orleans Saints fanbase into an uproar. The Saints greenlit an interview request from the Carolina Panthers for former head coach Sean Payton, who is still under contract with New Orleans through 2024 after stepping down from his post last year. The Panthers have been meeting with head coach candidates throughout the week after interim coach Steve Wilks led them to a 7-10 finish, having dismissed Matt Rhule midway through the 2022 season.

Now Payton is on the radar of an NFC South rival and he could soon be coaching against the Saints twice each year. He still needs to actually meet with Carolina and see what owner David Tepper is willing to offer him, and it would take a lot for him to willingly enter such a fraught situation — but if Tepper is willing to pay him $15 to $20 million a year and give him personnel control, well, that’s a tough offer to walk away from.

But this would definitely lead to bad blood within an established rivalry. The Saints have a narrow 29-28 lead over the Panthers in their series history. While it isn’t as spirited a feud as New Orleans enjoys with the Atlanta Falcons, there’s real passion and vitriol here. Having the greatest coach in franchise history leading a direct competitor would sure add fuel to that fire.

Trading Payton to Carolina would also bring a stronger return to the Saints. A division rival is going to be taxed more heavily than a team in another NFC division, or one hailing from the AFC. While New Orleans hasn’t worked out specific compensation with any team interviewing Payton in the days ahead, general manager Mickey Loomis has said that part of the process in approving those interviews is reaching a general understanding of what is needed to acquire Payton. And that price changes for each team based on their unique circumstances and available trade assets.

Remember, players can’t be involved in coach trades. Teams can only exchange draft picks and cash. And the Panthers could do more to drive up the price than any other team thanks to their stockpile of draft assets. They own selections in the 2023 draft including the ninth overall pick in the first round, a pair of second rounders, a third rounder, and two fourth-round selections. They also have their full allotment of picks in 2024 with a couple of more late-round picks thrown in for good measure.

The only hurdle is Payton himself. Carolina’s situation is not one that matches his ideal description of stable, supportive ownership and an effective front office. David Tepper has been a mercurial force after buying the franchise a couple of years ago, waffling on personnel decisions and pushing them to make ill-advised moves for a series of quarterbacks of varying competence. They still don’t have a quarterback, and Payton’s odds of finding one he wants to work with diminish if the Panthers trade the No. 9 pick for him. Even if Tepper offers him everything he wants, it’s tough to see him taking that offer seriously.

But stranger things have happened than an iconic coach being traded to a division rival. Payton’s own mentor Bill Parcells was once traded from the New England Patriots to the New York Jets. We shouldn’t dismiss this possibility out of hand. The Panthers are obviously willing to pay the price by seeking an interview in the first place. It just comes back to Payton’s willingness to take the job.

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Chiefs clinch playoff berth, win AFC West division for seventh consecutive season

For the seventh consecutive season, the #Chiefs have won the AFC West division and punched their ticket to the playoffs.

The Kansas City Chiefs have done it again, securing the 2022 AFC West division title.

They had a chance to lock up the division a week ago, but they didn’t get the help they needed to do so. This time around, all the Chiefs needed was to take care of business against the Houston Texans in Week 15. They managed to do so with a victory in overtime, now winning another AFC West title and clinching a playoff berth.

Kansas City has now won the AFC West for seven consecutive seasons, the longest active streak for a division winner in any NFL division. The Chiefs set the record last season for the most consecutive AFC West division titles with six and now they extend that record to seven. Each of the Broncos (2011-2015) and Raiders (1972-1976) has seen five consecutive wins.

This marks the eighth consecutive season that Kansas City has made it to the playoffs, extending a franchise record set a season ago. It’s again the longest active streak of playoff appearances by a team in the NFL.

This playoff berth marks the fifth consecutive season that a Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs team has gone to the playoffs. They’ve still never missed the playoffs since No. 15 has been the team’s starting quarterback.

Speaking of Mahomes, he spoke about the possibility of winning yet another AFC West title after Week 14’s win in Denver.

“Our goal is just to continue to get better each and every week,” Mahomes said. “We go into every season saying we want to win the AFC West, we want to get home field in the playoffs and we want to win the Super Bowl. We have not done it yet, but if we win the AFC West, that is our first goal. It is special. I want to make sure that guys remember that it is special to win the AFC West. Our next goal is to try to establish a home-field advantage. That is going to take us playing great football week in and week out. Then we will try to win the Super Bowl. That all takes building. You are not going to play your best football every week, but how can you build on your past week for the rest of the season to make sure you are playing your best football when the playoffs come around.”

This is merely one goal on the checklist to cross off for the Chiefs. Next up, they’ll look to keep pace with the Bills in hopes they slip up and surrender the No. 1 seed.

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NFC South collapses in Week 8, but the Saints are still in the basement

The whole NFC South collapsed in Week 8, and the Saints are still in the basement. But this widespread mediocrity gives them a way back to the top:

Let’s start with the good news. There’s absolutely a scenario where a seven-win New Orleans Saints team claims the NFC South title and goes into the postseason looking for an opportunistic win hosting an opponent with a better record — that is a distinctly real possibility. If the Saints can get some key players off of the injury report and onto the field, and if the coaches can do their jobs and cut down on all of the self-inflicted wounds, they’ll have a shot.

Now the bad news. Week 8 is nearly in the books and the Saints are ranked dead-last within the division. It’s a tough pill to swallow, but it’s the reality they’re in.

So we’ll swing back to focus on more good news. The division-leading Tampa Bay Buccaneers choked in a big spot against the Carolina Panthers to lose 21-3 and fall to a 3-4 record on the season. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Falcons got shellacked by the Cincinnati Bengals to the tune of 35-17. There’s just a game and a half separating the last-place Saints and first-place Bucs. The whole division is mediocre, which creates an opportunity for the Saints to rally back.

Bad has New Orleans has been, their division hasn’t been much better, and that’s keeping their competitive window open. Let’s take a deeper look at the state of the NFC South after Week 8’s games:

Pete Carroll on NFC West after Week 1: ‘The division came out roaring’

The NFC West was perfect after Week 1: “The division came out roaring,” Seattle Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said of the season openers.

The Seattle Seahawks weren’t the only team in the division to come out with a win in Week 1, every team in the NFC west emerged victorious in their season openers.

“The division came out roaring,” coach Pete Carroll said Monday. “There were a lot of points scored, a lot of big plays, and a lot of exceptional play. I had a chance to catch the highlights from the other teams while we were flying home last night, and it was just one big play after another.”

The Cardinals beat the Titans 38-13, the 49ers beat the Lions 41-33 and the Rams trounced the Bears 34-14.

“What do you expect, it’s arguably one of the toughest divisions in the league,” Carroll continued. “There’s no doubting it from the start. It’s going to have to make us better, that’s what this means. It was a pretty heralded opening.”

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NFC West Roundup: How the rest of the division fared in Week 17

NFC West roundup: The Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams defeated the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals in Week 17.

The 2020 NFL regular season has concluded, and the final results are in. The Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams won their respective contests against the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals and will face each other in the first round of the postseason, while the latter two teams turn their attention to the offseason. Let’s dive into the specifics of how both games went.

Seattle Seahawks 26, San Francisco 49ers 23

The Seahawks took a 6-0 lead in the first six minutes on Sunday but surrendered 16 unanswered points to the 49ers for nearly three full quarters of play due to the offense’s inability to find a rhythm and the defense staying on the field for too long as a result.

However, the Seahawks broke out offensively in the fourth quarter with two solid scoring drives ending in touchdown passes to Tyler Lockett to take a 19-16 lead. After that, Benson Mayowa strip-sacked CJ Beathard and Rasheem Green recovered the ball, which set up a rushing touchdown by Alex Collins. The 49ers would score a last-minute touchdown to cut the deficit to 26-23 but would fail to recover the ensuing onside kick.

The Seahawks swept the 49ers with this victory and will play the Los Angeles Rams in the wild card round of the postseason. San Francisco finishes the 2020 season at 6-10 at the bottom of the division and holds the 12th pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.

Saints beat the Panthers, sweep the NFC South for the first time in division history

The New Orleans Saints took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, sweeping the NFC South for the first time in division history.

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They’ve done it: the New Orleans Saints improved to 12-4 on the 2020 season with a win over the Carolina Panthers, who lost at home 33-7. Even without offensive superstars Michael Thomas (on injured reserve) and Alvin Kamara (on COVID-19 reserve), Drew Brees and his supporting cast racked up over 300 yards of offense, averaging nearly six yards per carry as a team.

The performance was powered by a big day from the Saints defense, which intercepted the Panthers quarterbacks five times while allowing just one conversion on third down. It was an impressive day all around after they knocked off some rust early on.

But here’s what’s most impressive: the Saints have now gone 6-0 against their NFC South rivals, sweeping the division for the first time since its founding way back in 2002. No other team has pulled that off: not the Panthers, not the Atlanta Falcons, and not the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Each team has come close before with 5-1 records against their divisional opponents:

  • Atlanta Falcons: 2010 and 2016
  • Carolina Panthers: 2003, 2013, and 2015
  • New Orleans Saints: 2011 and 2019
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2005 and 2007

But they’ve got bigger fish to fry. The Saints are advancing to the playoffs as NFC South champions, while the Buccaneers control the top wild-card seed. Carolina and Atlanta are faced with a long offseason of retooling and introspection before they’ll get a chance to compete again.

Here’s how the NFC South standings finalized for the 2020 season:

  1. 12-4 New Orleans Saints
  2. 11-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  3. 5-11 Carolina Panthers
  4. 4-12 Atlanta Falcons

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NFC West Roundup: How the rest of the division fared in Week 15

The Los Angeles Rams lost to the New York Jets, the Arizona Cardinals beat the Eagles, and San Francisco lost to the Dallas Cowboys.

Week 15 was a positive one for the Seattle Seahawks, as they defeated the Washington Football Team and took sole possession of first place in the NFC West.

Their biggest rival at the moment, the Los Angeles Rams, suffered an unfathomable loss to the previously winless New York Jets.

The Arizona Cardinals won to keep themselves in the postseason hunt, while the San Francisco 49ers lost and are out of playoff contention.

Let’s dive into the specifics.