In a lightweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Diego Ferreira and Gregor Gillespie meet at UFC on ESPN 24 – also known as UFC Vegas 26 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 24 Ferreira vs. Gillespie odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the main card beginning at 8 p.m. ET.
UFC on ESPN 24 Ferreira vs. Gillespie: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Ferreira +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Gillespie -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +145)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -160 | No +135)
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UFC on ESPN 24 Ferreira vs. Gillespie: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Ferreira 17-3-0 | Gillespie 13-1-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
The underdog Ferreira (+140) is two inches taller than the favorite Gillespie (-165), while holding a three-inch reach advantage.
While the physical attributes are nice, and Ferreira has a slight advantage in significant strikes landed per minute, Gillespie dominates on the ground. He has 7.02-to-0.89 takedown average advantage, and a 47.92%-26.09% takedown accuracy advantage.
GILLESPIE (-165) is a tremendous option to get the finish, as each of his past six fights ended via stoppages, with five wins and one loss. He is looking to bounce back from a Round 1 knockout loss against Kevin Lee at UFC 244.
GILLESPIE BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+285) on the 5-way line is worth a look for a chance to nearly triple up.
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Over/Under (O/U)
Playing UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+145) is easily worth a play, as Gillespie has a good shot at the stoppage. Ferreira won’t go quietly into the night, so don’t get crazy and play Under 1.5 Rounds (+270), as tempting as that might be.
If you want a little extra wiggle room, take NO (+135): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?
To watch the early prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.
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