Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 1

Breaking down the top players and sleepers for DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 1 DFS fantasy football

Welcome back to another season of DFS Domination. For the new readers, we rank all of the realistic plays for the Main Slate Millionaire contests on DraftKings (DK) and FanDuel (FD). We also offer a breakdown of suggested plays for the Primetime Slate. Our charts are color-ranked. Players in RED will struggle to reach 2.5x value. Players in BLACK will likely achieve 2.5x value but are not guaranteed additional success. Players in GREEN are likely to exceed 3x value.

I also provide the top four scorers at each position regardless of salary and a pair of discount sleepers at each position. Plus, you can find my favorite lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanball (FB).

DFS: The Primetime Slate

Sunday Night

Tom Brady (QB2) looked gaunt at a recent press conference. Perhaps age is finally turning the page on his career. I’m more concerned about his season-long well-being playing behind an offensive line filled out with third-stringers.

Dak Prescott (QB3) is probably the best option here as his ownership will be the lowest among the three playable options. Tampa Bay’s defense is no joke, but I prefer Dallas’ ability to throw against them much more than to run against the Bucs.

Despite their offensive line woes, Leonard Fournette (RB2) is a solid play this week. Lenny’s top backup is now an unproven rookie whose best attribute (receiving) is one that Fournette is also very good at. I will not be using Rachaad White (RB7) outside of Showdown contests until we see his actual usage.

Ezekiel Elliott (RB4) is not recommended this week. He will have a resurgence this year, just not this week. Tampa is elite up the middle against the run. This means ignoring Tony Pollard (RB6) as well. Of course, if I need to roster a third RB this week, Pollard’s price might put him in play.

Mike Evans (WR1) is the strongest play this week. Dallas has ballhawks in their secondary, but they also often overplay the ball. Chris Godwin (WR6) will be an OK play in a pass-heavy offense if he is cleared to go (still a big if). Julio Jones (WR7) will finish as high as WR4 if Godwin doesn’t play. Either way, he makes a nice WR3/flex play this week. Provided his hamstring allows him to play, Russell Gage (WR8) will also see a boost if Godwin misses the game. I like him as the third leg in a Brady-Evans triple stack.

CeeDee Lamb (WR2) was underwhelming last season when left to fend for himself. His supporting cast is even more suspect this year. So, unless you are playing Dak, fade him here. Jalen Tolbert (WR10) looked mediocre this preseason, but he will need to provide an immediate impact with Michael Gallup (knee) out. With no other options, Tolbert could be a sneaky play these first few weeks. Noah Brown (WR12) has experience with Dak, but don’t play him outside of Showdown contests.

Cameron Brate (TE3) and Kyle Rudolph (TE5) are looking to replace Rob Gronkowski’s production. Both are red-zone threats. If Godwin is out, Brate will definitely score.

Dalton Schultz (TE1) is the best option on this slate. Dak will need to establish an Option B in the passing game and Schultz will be it.

Monday Night

It will be an immediate revenge game for Russell Wilson (QB1). Against the weakest defense on the slate (including multiple injuries in their secondary), Wilson should lead the slate. Of course, the game script could minimize Wilson’s pass attempts in the second half.

With a strong defense facing Geno Smith (QB4), this will get ugly. The only reason to consider him here is as a pure punt play or as part of a run-it-back stack in superflex contests.

The two-headed Broncos’ backfield is back. Fortunately, Melvin Gordon (RB5) admits that he is the backup now. Javonte Williams (RB1) will move the ball at will against this defense. An early lead should provide both backs enough touches to be fantasy-relevant. The only way Williams fails to be the top back this week is if Denver decides to use them in a true 50-50 split. Neither back was a huge pass-catcher last year, but Seattle was abysmal against that role. Don’t be surprised if Williams hauls in five+ passes.

With Kenneth Walker III (groin) doubtful to play, Rashaad Penny (RB3) will need to pick up where he left off last season as the primary ball carrier for this run-first offense. Based on volume alone, you should consider him for RB2/flex. Travis Homer (RB8) could be considered in Showdown contests only.

We still do not know if Jerry Jeudy (WR4) or Courtland Sutton (WR3) will be Russell Wilson’s favorite receiver this season. I’m starting the year with my money on Sutton (the bigger body) being Option A, but they should both be viable as WR2 this week. KJ Hamler (WR11) could be a sneaky WR3/flex option here as his speed could translate into the Tyler Lockett role if he is fully recovered from his 2021 ACL injury.

If DK Metcalf (WR5) wasn’t DK Metcalf, he would barely have a pulse this week. Denver has a strong defensive backfield, which will frustrate Metcalf nearly as much as Geno’s lame duck throws will. Still, DK is a physical freak and by sheer volume, I expect he will sneak in a score. Tyler Lockett (WR9) is even less likely to make an impact this week. I want no part of him until Drew Lock takes over at QB. Dee Eskridge (WR13) can be used in Showdown contests only.

Injuries to rookie Greg Dulcich secure that Albert Okwuegbunam (TE2) will be the primary pass-catching TE to start the year. Seattle is solid at safety, but I still like Big Albert here on the small slate, especially if you use a double-TE lineup.

Noah Fant (TE4) also gets a revenge game right away. Unfortunately, he has not been in rhythm with Smith this preseason. It has been so bad that he is listed as the TE 1b behind Will Dissly (TE6) as 1a on the official depth chart. The Seahawks will use a lot of two-TE sets this season, and Smith will be forced to check down often making one playable. My money is on Fant since he has more natural talent.

The Main Slate: recommended DFS lineups

At DK: $5.5k for Matt Ryan. $5.2k for Chase Edmonds. $7.6k for Alvin Kamara. $5.9k for Amari Cooper. $5.5k for Michael Pittman.$5.2k for JuJu Smith-Schuster. $4.9k for T.J. Hockenson. $6.8k for D’Andre Swift at flex. $3.4k for the Carolina Panthers defense.

At FD: $6.9k for Ryan. $8.5k for Kamara. $7.6k for D’Andre Swift. $6.8k for Antonio Gibson at flex. $7.2k for Pittman. $6.6k for Mike Williams. $6.4k for Smith-Schuster. $5.3k for Pat Freiermuth. $4.7k for the Carolina Panthers defense.

At Fanball (double-flex – includes Sunday night): Jared Goff, Kamara, and Edmonds, Gibson at flex, Christian McCaffrey at second flex. Smith-Schuster, K.J. Osborn, DJ Chark, and Hayden Hurst.

Quarterbacks DraftKings FanDuel
Patrick Mahomes $7,700 $8,700
Justin Herbert $7,600 $8,400
Lamar Jackson $7,300 $8,500
Kyler Murray $7,200 $8,200
Aaron Rodgers $7,000 $7,800
Jalen Hurts $6,800 $8,000
Joe Burrow $6,400 $7,700
Kirk Cousins $6,100 $7,300
Trey Lance $6,000 $7,500
Derek Carr $5,900 $7,400
Ryan Tannehill $5,700 $7,100
Tua Tagovailoa $5,700 $7,000
Justin Fields $5,600 $6,900
Trevor Lawrence $5,600 $7,000
Carson Wentz $5,500 $6,800
Matt Ryan $5,500 $6,900
Jared Goff $5,400 $6,800
Mac Jones $5,400 $6,600
Baker Mayfield $5,300 $6,600
Davis Mills $5,300 $6,500
Jameis Winston $5,300 $6,700
Jacoby Brissett $5,200 $6,300
Marcus Mariota $5,200 $6,500
Daniel Jones $5,000 $7,100
Mitch Trubisky $5,000 $6,400
Joe Flacco $4,800 $6,200

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – There are two high-scoring matchups right away as Justin Herbert faces Derek Carr and Patrick Mahomes faces Kyler Murray. Also consider Lamar Jackson or Jalen Hurts as run-based alternatives. Still, I suggest going cheap this week with Matt Ryan, Jared Goff, Jameis Winston, or Davis Mills.

Fantasy Four-pack

Justin Herbert, Chargers vs. LVR
($7,600 DK, $8,400 FD)
This contest features a revenge game narrative for Herbert and the Chargers coming off being knocked out of the playoffs last year by Vegas. Plus, this game has the second-highest combined points so expect a shootout. Herbert has faced Vegas four times in his career averaging 311 yards and 2.75 TD per game. 300-3 sounds right here. Roll out the Herbert-Mike Williams stack this week.

Lamar Jackson, Ravens @ NYJ ($7,300 DK, $8,500 FD) Jackson will likely be without his top RB this week. This means he will do even more running than usual. From a DFS standpoint, that is like manna from heaven. Feel free to stack Jackson with both Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman.

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs @ ARI
($7,700 DK, $8,700 FD)
OK, we finally get to see a KC offense without Tyreek Hill. Mahomes still has myriad weapons to throw to, and I love both Marquez Valdes-Scantling and JuJu Smith-Schuster this week as Arizona can be beaten on the outside. This game has the highest projected points and will be a shootout. This sets up for a nice roll-it-back lineup with Marquise Brown included, too.

Kyler Murray, Cardinals vs. KC
($7,200 DK, $8,200 FD)
Murray also will be without his top weapon from last season. Fortunately, the Cardinals acquired Marquise Brown to fill in for him. KC has completely retooled its secondary this offseason. The newcomers are young and talented, but they may not be ready to face an Arizona Air Raid offense. Bump up Murray’s projections if Zach Ertz is cleared to play; otherwise, expect 280-3.

DFS Sleepers

Matt Ryan, Colts @ HOU
($5,500 DK, $6,900 FD)
Houston is young and improving, but they aren’t there yet. After last season’s shorthanded WR room in Atlanta, Ryan should be licking his chops to have Michael Pittman, Alec Pierce, and Parris Campbell to throw at. Ryan’s price makes him a great value option, especially paired with the equally discounted Pittman.

Jared Goff, Lions vs. PHI
($5,400 DK, $6,800 FD)
Motownphilly is back again this week. Last year, Goff’s final line against Philly was more boy than man. In his defense, his WR room had three total catches. His top three receiving options were a TE, his starting RB, and another RB who is out of the league. This year, he has Amon-Ra St. Brown, DJ Chark, Josh Reynolds, and Quintez Cephus to choose from — plus all of his auxiliary tools. Give him the manly 250-2 here on the discount.

Running backs DraftKings FanDuel
Jonathan Taylor $9,100 $10,200
Derrick Henry $8,600 $9,700
Christian McCaffrey $8,500 $9,500
Austin Ekeler $8,200 $9,400
Dalvin Cook
$7,900 $8,400
Alvin Kamara $7,600 $8,500
Joe Mixon $7,100 $8,300
James Conner $7,000 $7,700
D’Andre Swift $6,800 $7,600
Aaron Jones $6,700 $7,400
Nick Chubb $6,500 $7,800
Najee Harris $6,400 $8,200
Josh Jacobs $6,300 $7,000
Saquon Barkley $6,100 $6,800
David Montgomery $6,000 $6,600
Antonio Gibson $5,800 $6,800
Cordarrelle Patterson $5,800 $6,600
Damien Harris $5,700 $6,300
Kareem Hunt $5,700 $6,300
J.K. Dobbins $5,600 $6,900
James Robinson $5,600 $6,200
Travis Etienne $5,600 $6,200
Breece Hall $5,500 $6,400
Rhamondre Stevenson $5,500 $5,600
Clyde Edwards-Helaire $5,400 $5,800
Eli Mitchell $5,400 $6,700
Miles Sanders $5,400 $6,500
AJ Dillon $5,300 $6,100
Chase Edmonds $5,200 $5,800
Jamaal Williams $5,200 $5,700
Ronald Jones $5,200 $5,500
J.D. McKissic $5,100 $5,200
Jeff Wilson $5,100 $5,500
Michael Carter $5,100 $5,200
Nyheim Hines $5,100 $5,400
Kenyan Drake $5,000 $5,700
Rex Burkhead $4,900 $5,100
Dameon Pierce $4,800 $5,400
Zamir White $4,700 $4,900
Kenneth Gainwell $4,600 $5,300
Boston Scott $4,500 $4,900
Myles Gaskin $4,500 $4,900
Tyler Allgeier $4,500 $4,800
Mike Davis $4,400 $5,600
Eno Benjamin $4,200 $4,900
Jerick McKinnon $4,200 $5,200

Running Back

Weekly strategy – Each of the top-six priced options on both sites would make a great RB1 this week. The issue is fitting two of them under the cap. If I had to choose from among them, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara would be my first two picks. D’Andre Swift and Antonio Gibson would be my less expensive pivots. You could even pair two of that foursome. Even cheaper yet are likely lead options Chase Edmonds and Dameon Pierce. Just know that Pierce is going to have ridiculous ownership numbers, so you may want to fade him. If you want to punt RB2 without using Pierce, consider using Nyheim Hines or Kenyan Drake.

Fantasy Four-pack

Jonathan Taylor, Colts @ HOU
($9,100 DK, $10,200 FD)
Houston allowed the second-most rushing yards last year, including 288 to Taylor. Jonathan also added four rushing TDs in those two games. In those games, Taylor did nothing through the air. If he even catches a pittance of passes here, he is a lock for 3x (even with that high FD price).

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers vs. CLE
($8,500 DK, $9,500 FD)
Both DFS sites have McCaffrey priced below $10k. You will not get this discount all season. You may not even get this discount next week. Use it while you can. Cleveland is decent against the run, but CMC will do enough across the board to be a top-five overall scorer this week.

Alvin Kamara, Saints @ ATL
($7,600 DK, $8,500 FD)
Atlanta’s defense is better against the pass than the run. It won’t matter here because Kamara will beat them both ways. Anything short of 150 combo yards and a score would be disappointing. In fact, the only way he doesn’t reach that figure is if he is suspended over the weekend.

Derrick Henry, Titans vs. NYG
($8,600 DK, $9,700 FD)
The Giants improved their defense this offseason. Unfortunately, they still will have no answer for King Henry. Tennessee is devoid of receiving talent coming into this season, so they will have to lean even more than ever on their hoss RB. We may even see Henry pick up where he left off last season by developing into a semi-functioning pass-catcher, too.

DFS Sleepers

Antonio Gibson, Commanders vs. JAX
($5,800 DK, $6,800 FD)
You need to feel bad for Brian Robinson. Now, Washington will be forced to feed Gibson the ball. Despite being dissed by his coaching staff this preseason, he actually proved over the last couple of seasons that he is an incredibly talented RB. Jacksonville broke the bank to shore up their offense this offseason, but that defensive front is very young and unproven at this level. If J.D. McKissic (groin) is limited this week, bump Gibson’s value up even more.

Chase Edmonds, Dolphins vs. NE
($5,200 DK, $5,800 FD)
The release of Sony Michel left Edmonds as the early-down favorite in Miami. There are many weapons in this offense this year, but you know that Bill Belichick will be plotting to shut down both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. This should leave Edmonds free to overachieve this week. This time next week, his salary will be much higher.

Wide receivers DraftKings FanDuel
Davante Adams $8,100 $8,500
Justin Jefferson $7,800 $8,100
Deebo Samuel $7,400 $8,400
Ja’Marr Chase $7,100 $8,200
Keenan Allen $7,000 $7,400
Tyreek Hill $6,800 $7,700
Mike Williams $6,600 $6,600
Terry McLaurin $6,500 $7,000
A.J. Brown $6,400 $7,100
Jaylen Waddle $6,400 $6,800
Brandin Cooks $6,300 $6,600
Marquise Brown $6,200 $6,900
Amon-Ra St. Brown $6,100 $6,500
Tee Higgins $6,100 $7,000
Diontae Johnson $6,000 $6,700
DJ Moore $6,000 $6,400
Amari Cooper $5,900 $6,300
Hunter Renfrow $5,800 $5,900
Darnell Mooney $5,700 $6,200
Michael Thomas $5,700 $6,200
Allen Lazard $5,600 $6,500
Robert Woods $5,600 $5,600
DeVonta Smith $5,500 $6,100
Michael Pittman $5,500 $7,200
Adam Thielen $5,400 $6,100
Rashod Bateman $5,300 $6,100
Brandon Aiyuk $5,200 $5,600
JuJu Smith-Schuster $5,100 $6,400
Christian Kirk $5,100 $5,800
Christian Watson $5,100 $5,200
Elijah Moore $5,100 $6,000
Chase Claypool $5,000 $5,800
Drake London $5,000 $5,500
Jarvis Landry $5,000 $5,700
Treylon Burks $5,000 $5,900
Corey Davis $4,900 $5,400
K.J. Osborn $4,900 $5,200
Sterling Shepard $4,900 $5,500
DeVante Parker $4,800 $5,700
DJ Chark $4,800 $5,300
Kenny Golladay $4,800 $5,600
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine $4,800 $5,100
Robbie Anderson $4,800 $5,300
Tyler Boyd $4,800 $5,700
Garrett Wilson $4,700 $5,300
Marquez Valdes-Scantling $4,700 $5,500
Sammy Watkins $4,700 $5,500
A.J. Green $4,600 $5,700
Mecole Hardman $4,600 $5,400
Chris Olave $4,500 $5,000
Byron Pringle $4,400 $5,300
Donovan Peoples-Jones $4,400 $5,400
Marvin Jones $4,400 $5,000
Jakobi Meyers $4,300 $5,500
Bryan Edwards $4,200 $5,100
Curtis Samuel $4,200 $5,100
Darius Slayton $4,200 $5,100
Kendrick Bourne $4,200 $5,100
Nico Collins $4,200 $5,200
George Pickens $4,100 $5,200
Kadarius Toney $4,100 $5,300
Zay Jones $4,100 $5,100
Olamide Zaccheaus $4,000 $5,000
Rondale Moore $4,000 $5,500
Alec Pierce $3,900 $4,900
Cedrick Wilson $3,900 $5,100
Devin Duvernay $3,800 $5,000
Joshua Palmer $3,800 $4,900
Skyy Moore $3,800 $4,600
David Bell $3,600 $5,000
Jahan Dotson $3,400 $4,900
Nelson Agholor $3,400 $4,900
Quez Watkins $3,400 $5,200
Randall Cobb $3,400 $5,100
Parris Campbell $3,300 $5,200
Quintez Cephus $3,000 $4,800
Romeo Doubs $3,000 $5,000

Wide Receiver

Weekly strategy – Davante Adams gets to show off his connection with Derek Carr immediately. He and Justin Jefferson are the two best options up top. Either Chargers wide receiver would be a slightly cheaper pivot (I prefer Mike Williams). Also, consider going cheaper this week with JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquise Brown, or volume options like Amari Cooper, Darnell Mooney, Michael Pittman, and Rashod Bateman at WR1 and WR2. I also like Allen Lazard (ankle) in this range, if he gets a clean bill of health. The WR corps of Jacksonville, Detroit, and whoever suits up for the New York Giants each make WR3 sense based on their opponents. Still, my top punt options this week are K.J. Osborn, Sammy Watkins, Nico Collins, and the depth WRs for Arizona.

Fantasy Four-pack

Justin Jefferson, Vikings vs. GB
($7,800 DK, $8,100 FD)
The word on the street is that Minnesota is going to throw the ball considerably more this season. Green Bay has a pair of studly cornerbacks, but Jefferson is in a class of his own. I’m not expecting a ceiling game here, but 8-110-1 is in play.

Davante Adams, Raiders @ LAC
($8,100 DK, $8,500 FD)
The Chargers are also set at cornerback, but this will be a huge test in Week 1. Adams and Derek Carr make a great stack, and I love to run it back with Mike Williams here. Just know that will leave you penny-pinching elsewhere.

Mike Williams, Chargers vs. LVR
($6,600 DK, $6,600 FD)
Anytime the FD price is the same or lower than the DK price, you have to use the player there. The Raiders lack anyone at cornerback to body up with the tall and physical Williams. This feels like a 6-100 game with a long TD.

Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals vs. PIT
($7,100 DK, $8,200 FD)
Mark me concerned about rust from Joe Burrow after missing the preseason with appendix surgery. I’m also concerned about the number of weapons that Cincy has. Still, Pittsburgh cannot double-team all of them. Expect a floor of 6-70-1 with considerably higher upside if Burrow isn’t limited.

DFS Sleepers

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chiefs @ ARI
($5,200 DK, $6,400 FD)
Patrick Mahomes’ top (and most-proven) WR in a shootout matchup with Arizona, Sign me up! Throw in the reduced price and it is a mortal lock at WR1 or WR2. Consider using Kyler Murray at QB and then stacking Marquise Brown and running it back with Smith-Schuster.

Rashod Bateman, Ravens @ NYJ
($5,300 DK, $6,100 FD)
Bateman is now the true WR1 in Baltimore. Unfortunately, the team is still run-first and Mark Andrews is the real No. 1 target. The Jets have improved at every level on defense, but volume alone puts Bateman in play for 7-70-1.

Tight ends DraftKings FanDuel
Mark Andrews $6,800 $7,900
Travis Kelce $6,600 $8,000
George Kittle $5,900 $6,100
Kyle Pitts $5,700 $6,000
Darren Waller $5,400 $7,000
T.J. Hockenson $4,900 $5,700
Mike Gesicki $4,800 $5,500
Dallas Goedert $4,500 $5,700
Zach Ertz $4,400 $5,600
Pat Freiermuth $4,200 $5,300
David Njoku $3,900 $5,000
Robert Tonyan $3,900 $5,100
Gerald Everett $3,800 $5,200
Hunter Henry $3,800 $5,400
Austin Hooper $3,700 $4,800
Cole Kmet $3,700 $5,000
C.J. Uzomah $3,600 $4,800
Evan Engram $3,500 $4,900
Tyler Conklin $3,500 $5,000
Irv Smith $3,400 $5,100
Mo Alie-Cox $3,400 $4,800
Hayden Hurst $3,300 $4,900
Logan Thomas $3,200 $5,500
Adam Trautman $3,100 $4,700
Brevin Jordan $3,100 $4,800
John Bates $3,100 $4,700
Harrison Bryant $2,900 $4,600
Dan Arnold $2,800 $4,400
Donald Parham $2,800 $4,500
Jonnu Smith $2,800 $4,700
Ryan Griffin $2,700 $4,100
Daniel Bellinger $2,500 $4,100
Isaiah Likely $2,500 $4,100

Tight End

Weekly strategy – Feel free to pay up for Mark Andrews, Travis Kelce, or Kyle Pitts. Pitts on FD is almost free money compared to those other two. For lesser ownership, consider T.J. Hockenson and Pat Freiermuth. If you decide to punt the position (I wouldn’t this week), Austin Hooper, Cole Kmet, and Hayden Hurst are decent dice rolls.

Fantasy Four-pack

Travis Kelce, Chiefs @ ARI
($6,600 DK, $8,000 FD)
Patrick Mahomes went on record saying it would be a different target each week for fantasy purposes. I’ll believe that when I see it. Kelce was option 1a last year, and he will repeat that role here. That said, I don’t love the FD price considering how cheap some others are and since Arizona’s best DBs are in the middle.

Mark Andrews, Ravens @ NYJ
($6,800 DK, $7,900 FD)
There wasn’t a more reliable TE than Andrews last season. With Marquise Brown out of town, Andrews and Rashod Bateman will need to step up even further. Stack both of them with Lamar Jackson against a still learning-on-the-job Jets defense. The threesome should combine for four total scores.

Kyle Pitts, Falcons vs. NO
($5,700 DK, $6,000 FD)
The only thing missing from Pitts’ rookie season was TDs. Reverse TD-regression is assured this season, starting this week. I mean someone has to catch the ball in Atlanta. Lock him in for 8-90-1 here as Atlanta is forced to throw the ball to stay in this one.

T.J. Hockenson, Lions vs. PHI
($4,900 DK, $5,700 FD)
This may be my favorite TE play of the week. Detroit has more weapons to choose from, but Hockenson has the familiarity with Jared Goff from last season. This is the cheap stack to use so that you can go massive at RB.

DFS Sleepers

Cole Kmet, Bears vs. SF
($3,700 DK, $5,000 FD)
Kmet is the unquestioned number two option for Chicago. This means he will see close to 10 targets per week. If he can reel in 5-50 that puts him at 3x on DK already.

Austin Hooper, Titans vs. NYG
($3,700 DK, $4,900 FD)
The Titans are seriously lacking in reliable passing-game options. That is why Hooper should be in for a big start to the year until Treylon Burks gets more NFL-ready. Tennessee has effectively used their TEs in the red zone before. A short score seems imminent to go along with 5-50.