Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (66-93) and Seattle Mariners (87-72) play the second game of a 4-game set Tuesday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Mariners Game 1 odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners lead 3-1

Tigers SS Javier Báez hit a 2-run HR in a 4-3 win at the Mariners Monday. Detroit starter RHP Bryan Garcia allowed 3 ER on 5 H with 6 K through 6 2/3 IP in the win.

Detroit has won 9 of its last 10 games.

Monday’s loss guaranteed that the Mariners will start the playoffs on the road this year. Seattle will open a best-of-3 AL wild-card series at Toronto or Cleveland Friday after securing its first postseason berth since 2001. Mariners LF Sam Haggerty injured his left groin in Monday’s loss after sliding into 2nd base in the 9th inning.

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Tigers at Mariners Game 1 projected starters

LHP Eduardo Rodríguez vs. RHP Chris Flexen

Rodríguez (5-5, 4.02 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 85 IP.

  • Last start: Win vs. the Kansas City Royals Thursday with 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 4 BB and 3 K
  • Has won 2 consecutive decisions
  • Last start vs. Mariners: Loss Sept. 1 with 4 IP, 6 R (5 ER), 6 H, 2 BB and 5 K

Flexen (8-9, 3.64 ERA) makes his 22nd start and 33rd appearance. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 133 2/3 IP.

  • Last appearance: Win vs. the Texas Rangers Thursday with 1 IP, 1R (0 ER), 0 H, 0 BB and 0 K
  • Last start: Loss Aug. 6 vs. the Los Angeles Angels with 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 5 K
  • Has won 6 of last 7 decisions
  • Last appearance vs. Tigers: Recorded a save Aug. 30 with 4 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 3 K

Tigers at Mariners Game 1 odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Tigers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Mariners -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-155) | Mariners -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)

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Tigers at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Tigers 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mariners (-175) moneyline should hit, but there is better value on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARINERS -1.5 (+122).

The Mariners should bounce back and win by margin after a disheartening loss vs. a Tigers team that has been overperforming as of late. Seattle has not lost 2 consecutive games vs. Detroit since June 8, 2021, when the Tigers closed as a -136 favorite at home.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-140).

The under is 5-1-2 in Detroit’s last 8 games and 4-2-1 in Seattle’s last 7 games. Don’t expect Detroit’s offense to plate a lot of runs after an unlikely win as a +228 underdog Monday.

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Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Detroit Tigers (14-26) stop by T-Mobile Park Monday to start a three-game set with the host Seattle Mariners (21-20) at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Detroit lost the rubber match with the Chicago Cubs Sunday 5-1 but were riding a four-game winning streak prior to the series and have won six of the last 10 games.

Seattle claimed its previous four-game series with the Cleveland Indians by winning the final three meetings after losing five straight. The Mariners are just 4-6 in their last 10 games.

Season series: 0-0.

RHP Casey Mize is the projected starter for the Tigers. Mize is 2-3 with a 4.19 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 18 ER). 1.27 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 over 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 4-2, in 6 IP with 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 4 K vs. the Kansas City Royals Wednesday.
  • Career vs. the Mariners: No appearances.

LHP Yusei Kikuchi is on the hill for the Mariners. Kikuchi is 1-2 with a 4.30 ERA (44 IP, 21 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 over 7 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 6 1/3 IP with 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 11 K in Seattle’s 6-4 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday.
  • Career vs. the Tigers: 0-0 with a 6.30 ERA (10 IP, 7 ER), 1.70 WHIP and 6.3 K/9 in 2 starts.
    • Vs. Tigers on the current roster: 28 at-bats with a .321/.367/.607 slash line, 2/1 K/BB, 1 HR and 4 RBIs.

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Tigers at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:16 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mariners -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-140) | Mariners -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Mariners 5, Tigers 1

Money line (ML)

PASS with a “lean” toward the Mariners (-175) since they are the right side, but I’d rather parlay Seattle’s money line with a similarly priced favorite for a plus-money payout.

Also, Seattle is just 3-4 in Kikuchi’s starts this season and Detroit is 4-3 in Mize’s starts, which rules out betting the Mariners on the money line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the MARINERS -0.5 (-115) FIRST 5 INNINGS since Seattle’s bats came alive against a strong Cleveland pitching staff this weekend and Detroit’s lineup is terrible vs. left-handed pitching.

Seattle scored seven runs in back-to-back wins over Cleveland, OF Mitch Haniger is tied atop the MLB with 12 home runs and the Mariners just called up one of the best prospects in baseball in CF Jarred Kelenic. 

The Tigers are by far the worst lineup vs. lefties. They rank in the bottom of the majors in wRC+, wOBA, OPS, BB/K rate and have the fourth-lowest hard-hit rate against left-handed pitching.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a quarter unit if at all because of Detroit’s hitting woes vs. lefties and, despite liking what Seattle’s lineup could be, it’s still bottom 10 in WAR, wRC+ and wOBA for the year.

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