The Detroit Tigers (27-39) and Kansas City Royals (30-35) continue a three-game AL Central set at Kauffman Stadium Tuesday. First pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Casey Mize is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. Mize is 3-4 with a 3.44 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 over 70 2/3 IP through 12 starts.
He posted two quality starts against the Royals in May, including 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball at Kauffman Stadium May 23. Mize owns a sparkling 2.80 ERA on the road. He went 6-plus innings in seven of his last eight starts (2.70 ERA over that stretch).
LHP Mike Minor is the projected starter for the Royals. He is 5-3 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 74 IP spanning 13 starts.
Minor has scuffled at home and owns a 5.93 ERA through 41 IP at Kauffman Stadium. He has been solid of late, though, and has a 3.32 ERA over his last 6 starts.
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Tigers at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Tigers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Royals -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-165) | Royals -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Royals 5, Tigers 4
Money line (ML)
Detroit defeated Kansas City 10-3 in Monday’s opener. With the loss, the Royals are just 1-9 over their last 10 contests.
Peg KANSAS CITY (-145) as a low-confidence (perhaps partial-unit) play. The starting pitcher peripherals swing opposite ways — detracting from Mize’s surface ERA and supporting better things from Minor. Neither bullpen has found much success overall, but the Royals have been borderline average in their home yard.
Throw in Detroit’s struggles against lefties (whiff-laden .629 OPS), and the home nine gets the edge.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run line, but consider a KC play if the payoff reaches +140.
Over/Under (O/U)
STEER CLEAR of a well-made total here. Pegging the starters as alternately overrated/underrated usually makes O/U betting difficult.
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