The Detroit Pistons (3-10) are in the Big Peach Wednesday to play the Atlanta Hawks (6-7) at State Farm Arena. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Pistons-Hawks NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Detroit has done an awesome job cashing tickets for point-spread but has not done such a great job winning any of these games. Detroit is 6-3-1 against the spread in its last 10 games. The push was in its previous outing—a 113-107 loss to the Miami Heat as a 6-point road underdog.
The Pistons’ big offseason acquisition, SF Jerami Grant, is showing to be a worthwhile investment. He is leading the Pistons in scoring (24.9 points per game) on .467/.389/.863 shooting and is second on the team with 6.1 rebounds per game.
The Hawks have struggled to win outright or ATS coming into Wednesday’s game. Atlanta is just 3-7 in its last 10 games (4-6 ATS) but enters off a 108-97 home win as a 7-point favorite against the Minnesota Timberwolves Monday.
What’s surprising so far about the Hawks is how poorly they are shooting from the field and that Atlanta has relied on its defense. The Hawks are third in opponent’s effective field goal percentage and second in rebounds per game.
The Pistons lost their only meeting with the Hawks this season (128-120 in Atlanta) but covered as 10.5-point underdogs as part of a three-game ATS winning streak vs. Atlanta. Last season, Detroit pummeled the Hawks by 25 and 33 points in the final two meetings and won the 2019-20 season series 2-1.
Pistons at Hawks: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Pistons +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Hawks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pistons +4.5 (-110) | Hawks -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Pistons at Hawks: Key Injuries
Pistons
- PG Killian Hayes (hip) out
Hawks
- PG Trae Young (heel) probable
- SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) probable
- SG Cam Reddish (knee) questionable
- SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
- SF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) out
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Pistons at Hawks: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Pistons 114, Hawks 107
Money line (ML)
Despite Atlanta’s startling year over year improvement in defense, the Hawks didn’t defend the Pistons well in their first meeting this season and Detroit has scored at least 120 points in its last three games vs. Atlanta.
Detroit put up 120 earlier this season even without PG Derrick Rose (team leader in assists per game and second in points per game) and PF Blake Griffin.
Since Detroit is healthier this time, the Hawks are less healthy and I plan on betting Detroit to cover, I lean PISTONS (+165) for a quarter-unit.
Against the spread (ATS)
Atlanta’s end-of-game performances make the Hawks a tough team to back. The Hawks have the third-lowest net clutch rating and play at the second-fastest pace in the clutch. Atlanta loses its composure in the final minutes.
Detroit has its own issues with clutch rating and offensive efficiency but, to the Pistons’ credit, they rank second in defensive turnover percentage so they should capitalize on Atlanta’s miscues.
I’m on PISTONS +4.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN Under 219.5 (-110) but officially I’ll PASS ON THE TOTAL. The market is hammering the Under mostly because of Atlanta’s 2-11 O/U record but I’ve already made my case as to why Detroit’s offense could have some success in this one, which correlates with my Pistons’ money line and spread bets.
Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- Rookie Wire Power Rankings: LaMelo Ball, and the rise of Tyrese Maxey (Rookie Wire)
- Hoops Hype Rumors: Pistons | Hawks
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