Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Wizards (2-18) welcome the Denver Nuggets (11-9) to Capital One Arena Saturday. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Wizards odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Nuggets swept 2-0 last season

The Nuggets lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers 126-114 Thursday, closing as a 3.5-point underdog. They were led by C Nikola Jokic, who notched 27 points on 13-for-26 shooting. Denver has covered in just 3 of its last 7 games and is 7-12-1 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Wizards lost to the Dallas Mavericks 137-101 Thursday, closing as a 13.5-point underdog. They have scored 101 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games. Washington started off the season 2-2 and has lost 16 in a row. It is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 at home and 5-14-1 ATS on the season.

Nuggets at Wizards odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100) | Wizards +625 (bet $100 to win $625)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -14.5 (-105) | Wizards +14.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nuggets at Wizards key injuries

Nuggets

  • F Aaron Gordon (calf) probable
  • G Jamal Murray (hamstring) questionable

Wizards

  • F Saddiq Bey (knee) out
  • G Malcolm Brogdon (hamstring) out
  • F Kyle Kuzma (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Nuggets at Wizards picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 122, Wizards 106

Moneyline

PASS.

The Wizards haven’t just lost, but they’ve been destroyed in the last week of action. They shouldn’t come out on top. On the other hand, the Nuggets are far too expensive to take to win outright.

Against the spread

BET NUGGETS -14.5 (-105).

The Wizards have played atrocious basketball over the last few weeks. In their last 5 games, they have a 19-point loss to Chicago at home, a 25-point loss to the LA Clippers at home, and a 36-point loss to the Mavericks at home. Washington hasn’t even competed in most of these games and shouldn’t be expected to change that Saturday.

The Nuggets haven’t covered well over the last few weeks, but they have managed to cover in 3 of their last 5 road games. They are 2-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite as well. Couple those trends together and back NUGGETS -14.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 233.5 (-110).

The Nuggets have traded off going Over and Under in their last 7 games and are primed to go Under after topping the 232 total against the Cavaliers Thursday.

The Wizards are 2-5 O/U in their last 7 games and have scored 108 or fewer in all but one of those. They rank last in offensive rating and have struggled to consistently score.

Play UNDER 233.5 (-110).

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Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Denver Nuggets at Washington Wizards odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Wizards (32-40) welcome the Denver Nuggets (48-24) to Capital One Arena Wednesday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Wizards odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Wizards and Nuggets have played once this season in the Mile High City with Denver winning 141-128, covering as an 11-point favorite. The Over 224.5 hit with ease.

The Nuggets have won just 2 of their last 7 games and are 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8. During that span while on the road, they are 2-3 straight up and ATS. Denver is 39-33 ATS on the season.

The Wizards lost 122-112 at Orlando Tuesday, failing to cover as a 1.5-point underdog. They are 1-6 straight up and ATS in their last 7. Washington is just 32-36-3 ATS on the season.

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Nuggets at Wizards odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -260 (bet $260 to win $100) | Wizards +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -6.5 (-108) | Wizards +6.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nuggets at Wizards key injuries

Nuggets

  • None

Wizards

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Nuggets at Wizards picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 124, Wizards 114

Moneyline

AVOID.

Denver is the far superior side, but as a (-260) road favorite, it has little value. Washington is the league’s 5th-worst team at home (16-18). It isn’t a great play at (+220) given its home struggles this season.

Against the spread

BET NUGGETS -6.5 (-108).

While Denver might be just 16-20 ATS on the road, Washington is 14-19-1 ATS at home this season. The Wizards rank 23rd in net rating, so they might not be as good as their record insinuates.

The Nuggets rank No. 1 in effective field goal rate while the Wizards rank 20th in defensive rating. Denver abused Washington the 1st time around, scoring 141, and it should have similar success.

The Wizards are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 home games, closing as an underdog in 5 of them. They are 1-4 ATS in the games they were an underdog in. Denver is 2-2 ATS in its last 4 road games.

Ultimately, considering how these teams match up and Denver’s offensive strength, back the NUGGETS -6.5 (-108).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 228.5 (-110).

The Wizards’ defense has been awful lately, allowing 117 or more in 3 straight games to competent offenses (Orlando, Sacramento and Cleveland). They have allowed 126 points per game over their last 2.

Denver has the NBA’s most efficient offense and should be able to score with ease. Washington is 2-0 O/U in its last 2 and 5-5 O/U in its last 10. Denver is 5-5 O/U in its last 10 and has scored at least 110 in 5 of its last 6.

Considering the trends mixed with the Wizards’ porous defense, back the OVER 228.5 (-110).

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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