The Denver Nuggets (30-14) visit the New Orleans Pelicans (17-28) Friday at 8 p.m. ET at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. We analyze the Nuggets-Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Nuggets at Pelicans: Key injuries
Nuggets
- PG Jamal Murray (ankle) out
- SG Gary Harris (groin) questionable
- PF Paul Millsap (knee) out
- PF Mason Plumlee (foot) out
- SF Michael Porter Jr. (back) questionable
- C Bol Bol (foot) out
Pelicans
- SG JJ Redick (hamstring) probable
- SG Josh Hart (ankle) probable
- SF Darius Miller (Achilles) out
- SF Kenrich Williams (back) out
Nuggets at Pelicans: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
Prediction
New Orleans 118, Denver 113
Moneyline (ML)
AVOID. Denver is 13-8 (minus-5.4 units) on the road. New Orleans is 8-14 (minus-7.4) at home. The lean is toward the Pelicans (-167), but there is better expected value on the spread. A New Orleans line closer to -160 would flip the equation.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on New Orleans to win returns a profit of $5.99.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The Nuggets are 9-10-2 ATS on the road. At home, the Pelicans are 12-10 ATS. Denver is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games against sub-.400 teams. New Orleans is 6-1-1 ATS over its last eight contests against winning teams. The Pelicans have won six in a row when coming off a straight-up loss. The banged-up Nuggets are playing their third straight abroad in this one. In two other road trips of three-plus games, Denver is 0-2 in game No. 3 (average against-the-spread loss is 17 points). With the injuries and with a schedule that has them playing a fourth game in six nights, some extra midseason fatigue can be expected.
New Orleans rookie F Zion Williamson scored 17 points in the fourth quarter of his minute-restricted NBA debut, a 121-117 loss to the San Antonio Spurs Wednesday. The Williamson-version Pelicans were improved on the defensive glass. New Orleans is a productive team in transition, and this game could provide better opportunities in that area. Denver is turning the ball over more frequently of late and has seen a downturn in its offensive rebounding numbers. Back NEW ORLEANS (-2.5, -125) to win by at least 3 points.
Over/Under (O/U)
Winning Overs dot the recent trends for both sides, but the public may be a bit slow in adjusting. There is some decent value on the upside of OVER 228.5 (-129) for this contest.
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