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The Denver Nuggets (47-20) take on the Dallas Mavericks (38-29) Sunday with tip-off from American Airlines Center set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Nuggets lead 2-0
The Nuggets have won 5 in a row and 9 of 10. They took care of the San Antonio Spurs 117-106 Friday and covered their 10.5-point spread. C Nikola Jokic had 31 points, 7 boards and 5 assists, which seems like a light line for him. G Jamal Murray nearly had a triple-double with 15 points, 10 boards and 8 assists.
The Mavs came up short 126-119 at Oklahoma City Thursday. They covered as 9.5-point underdogs as G Luka Doncic (ankle) sat out. G Kyrie Irving did all he could with 36 points and 12 dimes. Doncic is questionable for this game, but he was able to practice Saturday, which is a good sign.
Nuggets at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Mavericks +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -3.5 (-115) | Mavericks +3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nuggets at Mavericks key injuries
Nuggets
- None
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (hamstring) questionable
- G Dante Exum (foot) questionable
- G Josh Green (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nuggets at Mavericks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 121, Mavericks 117
Moneyline
The Nuggets haven’t been to Dallas since Nov. 20, 2022, when they won 98-97. They have won the last 3 meetings overall. The 2 from this season were by 130-104 and 125-114 scores.
It’s tough to beat a team 3 times in a season, especially when this game is on the road, but the Nuggets are ablaze right now.
You can play the Nuggets if -165 isn’t out of your price range. I’m going with the spread instead. But I will sprinkle on a LUKA DONCIC TRIPLE-DOUBLE (+210). He had a string of 7 straight games with a trip-dub snapped due to injury in his last game. No one comes close to matching his trip-dub swag other than Jokic. He’ll put on a show.
Against the spread
Take the NUGGETS -3.5 (-115) here. They’re 7-3 ATS over the last 10 and have won and covered in each of the meetings with Dallas this season.
Over/Under
The Mavs are 6-4 O/U over the last 10, and the Nuggets are 4-6. The Over is 1-1 in their 2 matchups, and this is the smallest total – likely because the books aren’t certain Doncic will play. I expect him to, so let’s take advantage. Dallas still dropped 119 and 109 mostly without Luka the last 2 games.
Take the OVER 229.5 (-110).
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