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Week 9 was not a great week for the underdog as the only one to win outright were the Carolina Panthers, beating the New Orleans Saints 23-22 as 7-point underdogs. Five underdogs, though, covered the spread, including 2 of the 3 picks we made last week. The Miami Dolphins lost 30-27 to the Buffalo Bills, but covered the 6-point spread, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers covered the 9-point spread in a 30-24 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in overtime.
The Denver Broncos lost 41-10 as 9-point underdogs to Baltimore, so that was a dud of a pick. But after 9 weeks, we are 14-12-1 with our recommended underdog picks this season.
Time for more.
Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 10 underdog bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL underdog predictions: Week 10
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:13 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.
BRONCOS +8.5 (-110) at Chiefs – 1 p.m. (CBS)
The Chiefs have been the kings of 1-score wins. Six of their 8 wins have been by 1 score.
The Broncos struggled against Baltimore’s high-powered offense but will regroup. Three of their 4 losses have been by 1 score.
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49ers at BUCCANEERS +6 (-110) – 1 p.m. (FOX)
The Niners are expected to have RB Christian McCaffrey back and playing for the first time this season. But Tampa has had one of the toughest schedules in the NFL. Four of their 5 losses have been to the Baltimore Ravens, the Atlanta Falcons twice and Kansas City. Three of those have been by no more than 6 points.
They have beaten the Detroit Lions, Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles, all expected playoff teams at this point.
They will at least play toe-to-toe with the 49ers, who beat a hapless Dallas Cowboys team by only 6.
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DOLPHINS (+100) at Rams – Monday 8:15 p.m. (ABC/ESPN)
Yes, the Dolphins are barely underdogs on the moneyline and are are 1-point underdogs against the spread. But since QB Tua Tagovailoa returned, they lost by 1 point to the NFC West-leading Arizona Cardinals and by 3 points to the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills.
The Rams have won 3 in a row but 2 of their wins are against the Las Vegas Raiders and a Seattle Seahawks team that has lost 5 of 6. They allowed 424 yards of offense to Seattle.
The Dolphins will finally break through with Tagovailoa back.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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